Towards Understanding and Quantifying Uncertainty for Text-to-Image Generation
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Abstract (arXiv)
Uncertainty quantification in text-to-image (T2I) generative models is crucial for understanding model behavior and improving output reliability. In this paper, we are the first to quantify and evaluate the uncertainty of T2I models with respect to the prompt. Alongside adapting existing approaches designed to measure uncertainty in the image space, we also introduce Prompt-based UNCertainty Estimation for T2I models (PUNC), a novel method leveraging Large Vision-Language Models (LVLMs) to better address uncertainties arising from the semantics of the prompt and generated images. PUNC utilizes a LVLM to caption a generated image, and then compares the caption with the original prompt in the more semantically meaningful text space. PUNC also enables the disentanglement of both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties via precision and recall, which image-space approaches are unable to do. Extensive experiments demonstrate that PUNC outperforms state-of-the-art uncertainty estimation techniques across various settings. Uncertainty quantification in text-to-image generation models can be used on various applications including bias detection, copyright protection, and OOD detection. We also introduce a comprehensive dataset of text prompts and generation pairs to foster further research in uncertainty quantification for generative models. Our findings illustrate that PUNC not only achieves competitive performance but also enables novel applications in evaluating and improving the trustworthiness of text-to-image models.
Key facts. Cited by 11 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 56 of its 76 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 4 Dec 2024.
Builds on
56 of 76 references.
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50 most cited of 56 All 56 (JSON)
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 3; 2026: 8.
11 papers.
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- 2026Uncertainty Quantification for Flow-Based Vision-Language-Action Modelscited by 4
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- 2026Benchmarking the Alignment of Data-Quality Metrics, Human Judgment and Land-Cover Segmentation Performance for Earth Observation23 Jun 2026
- 2026Uncertainty Quantification for Flow-Based Vision-Language-Action Models16 Jun 2026
- 2026Curriculum Group Policy Optimization: Adaptive Sampling for Unleashing the Potential of Text-to-Image Generation18 May 2026
- 2026Uncertainty-Aware Distribution-to-Distribution Flow Matching for Scientific Imaging23 Mar 2026
- 2026Uncertainty Quantification for Multimodal Large Language Models with Incoherence-adjusted Semantic Volume27 Feb 2026
- 2026Flow Matching with Uncertainty Quantification and Guidance10 Feb 2026
- 2025World Models That Know When They Don't Know - Controllable Video Generation with Calibrated Uncertainty5 Dec 2025
- 2025How Confident are Video Models? Empowering Video Models to Express their Uncertainty2 Oct 2025
- 2025Generative Uncertainty in Diffusion Models28 Feb 2025
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