ForecastOcc: Vision-based Semantic Occupancy Forecasting
On the map: World models → World models for autonomous driving
Abstract (arXiv)
Autonomous driving requires forecasting both geometry and semantics over time to effectively reason about future environment states. Existing vision-based occupancy forecasting methods focus on motion-related categories such as static and dynamic objects, while semantic information remains largely absent. Recent semantic occupancy forecasting approaches address this gap but rely on past occupancy predictions obtained from separate networks. This makes current methods sensitive to error accumulation and prevents learning spatio-temporal features directly from images. In this work, we present ForecastOcc, the first framework for vision-based semantic occupancy forecasting that jointly predicts future occupancy states and semantic categories. Our framework yields semantic occupancy forecasts for multiple horizons directly from past camera images, without relying on externally estimated maps. We evaluate ForecastOcc in two complementary settings: multi-view forecasting on the Occ3D-nuScenes dataset and monocular forecasting on SemanticKITTI, where we establish the first benchmark for this task. We introduce the first baselines by adapting two 2D forecasting modules within our framework. Importantly, we propose a novel architecture that incorporates a temporal cross-attention forecasting module, a 2D-to-3D view transformer, a 3D encoder for occupancy prediction, and a semantic occupancy head for voxel-level forecasts across multiple horizons. Extensive experiments on both datasets show that ForecastOcc consistently outperforms baselines, yielding semantically rich, future-aware predictions that capture scene dynamics and semantics critical for autonomous driving.
Key facts. Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in World models for autonomous driving, one of 11 directions in World models. Builds on 31 of its 33 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 Feb 2026.
Builds on
31 of 33 references.
Closest ancestors · 7
Same direction, newest first
- 2025OccProphet: Pushing Efficiency Frontier of Camera-Only 4D Occupancy Forecasting with Observer-Forecaster-Refiner Framework21 Feb
- 2024DOME: Taming Diffusion Model into High-Fidelity Controllable Occupancy World Model14 Oct
- 2023Cam4DOcc: Benchmark for Camera-Only 4D Occupancy Forecasting in Autonomous Driving Applications29 Nov
- 2023OccWorld: Learning a 3D Occupancy World Model for Autonomous Driving27 Nov
- 2023Occ3D: A Large-Scale 3D Occupancy Prediction Benchmark for Autonomous Driving27 Apr
- 2023Point Cloud Forecasting as a Proxy for 4D Occupancy Forecasting25 Feb
- 2022Differentiable Raycasting for Self-supervised Occupancy Forecasting4 Oct
Other references · 24
- 2015Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognitioncited by 51,809
- 2019EfficientNet: Rethinking Model Scaling for Convolutional Neural Networkscited by 6,415
- 2020Lift, Splat, Shoot: Encoding Images From Arbitrary Camera Rigs by Implicitly Unprojecting to 3Dcited by 1,040
- 2022BEVDet4D: Exploit Temporal Cues in Multi-camera 3D Object Detectioncited by 340
- 2023OccFormer: Dual-path Transformer for Vision-based 3D Semantic Occupancy Predictioncited by 287
- 2021FIERY: Future Instance Prediction in Bird's-Eye View from Surround Monocular Camerascited by 239
- 2022BEVerse: Unified Perception and Prediction in Birds-Eye-View for Vision-Centric Autonomous Drivingcited by 191
- 2023COTR: Compact Occupancy TRansformer for Vision-based 3D Occupancy Predictioncited by 94
- 2022StretchBEV: Stretching Future Instance Prediction Spatially and Temporallycited by 47
- 2025UniOcc: A Unified Benchmark for Occupancy Forecasting and Prediction in Autonomous Drivingcited by 27
- 2023PowerBEV: A Powerful Yet Lightweight Framework for Instance Prediction in Bird's-Eye Viewcited by 24
- 2025STCOcc: Sparse Spatial-Temporal Cascade Renovation for 3D Occupancy and Scene Flow Predictioncited by 20
12 more
- 2022Dynamics-Aware Spatiotemporal Occupancy Prediction in Urban Environmentscited by 17
- 2023AmodalSynthDrive: A Synthetic Amodal Perception Dataset for Autonomous Drivingcited by 13
- 2023Panoptic Out-of-Distribution Segmentationcited by 13
- 2022Neural Architecture Search for Dense Prediction Tasks in Computer Visioncited by 11
- 2023Syn-Mediverse: A Multimodal Synthetic Dataset for Intelligent Scene Understanding of Healthcare Facilitiescited by 10
- 2024Progressive Multi-Modal Fusion for Robust 3D Object Detectioncited by 10
- 2025Label-Efficient LiDAR Semantic Segmentation with 2D-3D Vision Transformer Adapterscited by 8
- 2023Amodal Optical Flowcited by 7
- 2025Open-Set LiDAR Panoptic Segmentation Guided by Uncertainty-Aware Learningcited by 5
- 2025Dynamic Robot-Assisted Surgery with Hierarchical Class-Incremental Semantic Segmentationcited by 3
- 2024Panoptic-Depth Forecastingcited by 1
- 2024Efficient Learning of Object Placement with Intra-Category Transfercited by 1
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2026: 6.
6 papers.
- 2026UP-Fuse: Uncertainty-guided LiDAR-Camera Fusion for 3D Panoptic Segmentationcited by 5
- 2026Latent Gaussian Splatting for 4D Panoptic Occupancy Trackingcited by 3
- 2026Hyp2Former: Hierarchy-Aware Hyperbolic Embeddings for Open-Set Panoptic Segmentationcited by 0
- 2026Streaming Gaussian Encoding for 4D Panoptic Occupancy Trackingcited by 0
- 2026Leveraging Vision-Based Point Cloud Map Priors for Camera-Based 3D Object Detection and Online Vectorized HD Mappingcited by 0
- 2026RoadOcc Learns When to Persist, Transport, or Refresh Memory for Roadside Occupancy Predictioncited by 0
- 2026RoadOcc Learns When to Persist, Transport, or Refresh Memory for Roadside Occupancy Prediction23 Sep 2026
- 2026Leveraging Vision-Based Point Cloud Map Priors for Camera-Based 3D Object Detection and Online Vectorized HD Mapping22 Sep 2026
- 2026Streaming Gaussian Encoding for 4D Panoptic Occupancy Tracking29 Jun 2026
- 2026Hyp2Former: Hierarchy-Aware Hyperbolic Embeddings for Open-Set Panoptic Segmentation4 May 2026
- 2026Latent Gaussian Splatting for 4D Panoptic Occupancy Tracking26 Feb 2026
- 2026UP-Fuse: Uncertainty-guided LiDAR-Camera Fusion for 3D Panoptic Segmentation22 Feb 2026
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2024UnO: Unsupervised Occupancy Fields for Perception and Forecasting
- 2024Driving in the Occupancy World: Vision-Centric 4D Occupancy Forecasting and Planning via World Models for Autonomous Driving
- 2024Spatiotemporal Decoupling for Efficient Vision-Based Occupancy Forecasting
- 2025OccLE: Label-Efficient 3D Semantic Occupancy Prediction
- 2026CascadeOcc: Rethinking 3D Occupancy World Models with Cascaded VQ Representations
- 2025Semi-Supervised Vision-Centric 3D Occupancy World Model for Autonomous Driving
- 2026GEM: Gaussian Evolution Model for Occupancy Forecasting and Motion Planning
- 2021Learning Occupancy Priors of Human Motion from Semantic Maps of Urban Environments