mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Axiomatic Foundations of Counterfactual Explanations

arXiv 2602.04028 ↗First posted 3 Feb 2026cs.AI cs.LG stat.MEcited by 1

Not on the map. Why?

Abstract (arXiv)

Explaining autonomous and intelligent systems is critical in order to improve trust in their decisions. Counterfactuals have emerged as one of the most compelling forms of explanation. They address ``why not'' questions by revealing how decisions could be altered. Despite the growing literature, most existing explainers focus on a single type of counterfactual and are restricted to local explanations, focusing on individual instances. There has been no systematic study of alternative counterfactual types, nor of global counterfactuals that shed light on a system's overall reasoning process. This paper addresses the two gaps by introducing an axiomatic framework built on a set of desirable properties for counterfactual explainers. It proves impossibility theorems showing that no single explainer can satisfy certain axiom combinations simultaneously, and fully characterizes all compatible sets. Representation theorems then establish five one-to-one correspondences between specific subsets of axioms and the families of explainers that satisfy them. Each family gives rise to a distinct type of counterfactual explanation, uncovering five fundamentally different types of counterfactuals. Some of these correspond to local explanations, while others capture global explanations. Finally, the framework situates existing explainers within this taxonomy, formally characterizes their behavior, and analyzes the computational complexity of generating such explanations.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 25 of its 61 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 3 Feb 2026.

Builds on

25 of 61 references.

References · 25

  1. 2017Explanation in Artificial Intelligence: Insights from the Social Sciencescited by 1,206
  2. 2017Counterfactual Explanations without Opening the Black Box: Automated Decisions and the GDPRcited by 1,089
  3. 2017Counterfactual Fairnesscited by 804
  4. 2019Explaining Machine Learning Classifiers through Diverse Counterfactual Explanationscited by 614
  5. 2018Explanations based on the Missing: Towards Contrastive Explanations with Pertinent Negativescited by 262
  6. 2019Interpretable Counterfactual Explanations Guided by Prototypescited by 223
  7. 2020Counterfactual Explanations and Algorithmic Recourses for Machine Learning: A Reviewcited by 174
  8. 2020Multi-Objective Counterfactual Explanationscited by 157
  9. 2021Benchmarking and Survey of Explanation Methods for Black Box Modelscited by 136
  10. 2020On The Reasons Behind Decisionscited by 100
  11. 2021If Only We Had Better Counterfactual Explanations: Five Key Deficits to Rectify in the Evaluation of Counterfactual XAI Techniquescited by 82
  12. 2020On the Fairness of Causal Algorithmic Recoursecited by 70
13 more
  1. 2020Decisions, Counterfactual Explanations and Strategic Behaviorcited by 44
  2. 2022On Tackling Explanation Redundancy in Decision Treescited by 44
  3. 2021Explanations for Monotonic Classifierscited by 39
  4. 2024Robust Counterfactual Explanations in Machine Learning: A Surveycited by 29
  5. 2020Black Box Explanation by Learning Image Exemplars in the Latent Feature Spacecited by 23
  6. 2024Local vs. Global Interpretability: A Computational Complexity Perspectivecited by 23
  7. 2021A Few Good Counterfactuals: Generating Interpretable, Plausible and Diverse Counterfactual Explanationscited by 19
  8. 2021Counterfactual Explanations for Machine Learning: Challenges Revisitedcited by 19
  9. 2023Promoting Counterfactual Robustness through Diversitycited by 17
  10. 2021A unified logical framework for explanations in classifier systemscited by 15
  11. 2024Understanding Individual Agent Importance in Multi-Agent System via Counterfactual Reasoningcited by 11
  12. 2024Abductive explanations of classifiers under constraints: Complexity and propertiescited by 7
  13. 2025Counterfactual Explanations for Model Ensembles Using Entropic Risk Measurescited by 5

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  1. 2025A Non-Interventionist Approach to Causal Reasoning based on Lewisian Counterfactuals
  2. 2026The Illusion of textitWhat If: Evaluating the Breakdown of Counterfactual Reasoning in LLMs
  3. 2025On the Eligibility of LLMs for Counterfactual Reasoning: A Decompositional Study
  4. 2025Executable Counterfactuals: Improving LLMs' Causal Reasoning Through Code
  5. 2023Do Models Explain Themselves? Counterfactual Simulatability of Natural Language Explanations
  6. 2023Axiomatizations of causal reasoning under indeterministic causal laws
  7. 2023Attribution-Scores and Causal Counterfactuals as Explanations in Artificial Intelligence
  8. 2026Deterministic Event-Graph Substrates as World Models for Counterfactual Reasoning