Predictive Scheduling for Efficient Inference-Time Reasoning in Large Language Models
On the map: LLM reasoning → Test-time compute and efficient thinking
Abstract (arXiv)
Large language models (LLMs) achieve state-of-the-art accuracy on complex reasoning tasks by generating multiple chain-of-thought (CoT) traces, but using a fixed token budget per query leads to over-computation on easy inputs and under-computation on hard ones. We introduce Predictive Scheduling, a plug-and-play framework that pre-runs lightweight predictors, an MLP on intermediate transformer hidden states or a LoRA-fine-tuned classifier on raw question text, to estimate each query's optimal reasoning length or difficulty before any full generation. Our greedy batch allocator dynamically distributes a fixed total token budget across queries to maximize expected accuracy. On the GSM8K arithmetic benchmark, predictive scheduling yields up to 7.9 percentage points of absolute accuracy gain over uniform budgeting at identical token cost, closing over 50% of the gap to an oracle with perfect foresight. A systematic layer-wise study reveals that middle layers (12 - 17) of the transformer carry the richest signals for size estimation. These results demonstrate that pre-run budget prediction enables fine-grained control of the compute-accuracy trade-off, offering a concrete path toward latency-sensitive, cost-efficient LLM deployments.
Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Test-time compute and efficient thinking, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 9 of its 19 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 1 Feb 2026.
Builds on
9 of 19 references.
Closest ancestors · 4
Same direction, newest first
- 2024Efficiently Scaling LLM Reasoning with Certaindex30 Dec
- 2024Token-Budget-Aware LLM Reasoning24 Dec
- 2024Learning How Hard to Think: Input-Adaptive Allocation of LM Computation7 Oct
- 2024Escape Sky-high Cost: Early-stopping Self-Consistency for Multi-step Reasoning19 Jan
Other references · 5
- 2022Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Modelscited by 12,302
- 2021Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problemscited by 9,743
- 2025When More is Less: Understanding Chain-of-Thought Length in LLMscited by 182
- 2024Efficient LLM Scheduling by Learning to Rankcited by 83
- 2023Naver Labs Europe (SPLADE) @ TREC NeuCLIR 2022cited by 3
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 2.
2 papers.
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2025Plan and Budget: Effective and Efficient Test-Time Scaling on Reasoning Large Language Models
- 2025Inference-Time Computations for LLM Reasoning and Planning: A Benchmark and Insights
- 2025Reasoning on a Budget: A Survey of Adaptive and Controllable Test-Time Compute in LLMs
- 2025Latency and Token-Aware Test-Time Compute
- 2026ThinkBooster: A Unified Framework for Seamless Test-Time Scaling of LLM Reasoning
- 2025The Art of Scaling Test-Time Compute for Large Language Models
- 2025The Energy Cost of Reasoning: Analyzing Energy Usage in LLMs with Test-time Compute
- 2025Less is More: Improving LLM Reasoning with Minimal Test-Time Intervention