mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Enhancing few-shot time series forecasting with LLM-guided diffusion

arXiv 2602.00040 ↗First posted 19 Jan 2026cs.LG cs.AIcited by 0

On the map: Diffusion models → Flow matching, time series and science

Abstract (arXiv)

Time series forecasting in specialized domains is often constrained by limited data availability, where conventional models typically require large-scale datasets to effectively capture underlying temporal dynamics. To tackle this few-shot challenge, we propose LTSM-DIFF (Large-scale Temporal Sequential Memory with Diffusion), a novel learning framework that integrates the expressive power of large language models with the generative capability of diffusion models. Specifically, the LTSM module is fine-tuned and employed as a temporal memory mechanism, extracting rich sequential representations even under data-scarce conditions. These representations are then utilized as conditional guidance for a joint probability diffusion process, enabling refined modeling of complex temporal patterns. This design allows knowledge transfer from the language domain to time series tasks, substantially enhancing both generalization and robustness. Extensive experiments across diverse benchmarks demonstrate that LTSM-DIFF consistently achieves state-of-the-art performance in data-rich scenarios, while also delivering significant improvements in few-shot forecasting. Our work establishes a new paradigm for time series analysis under data scarcity.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Flow matching, time series and science, one of 14 directions in Diffusion models. Builds on 22 of its 25 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 19 Jan 2026.

Builds on

22 of 25 references.

Closest ancestors · 6

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2024Retrieval-Augmented Diffusion Models for Time Series Forecasting24 Oct
  2. 2024MG-TSD: Multi-Granularity Time Series Diffusion Models with Guided Learning Process9 Mar
  3. 2023Predict, Refine, Synthesize: Self-Guiding Diffusion Models for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting21 Jul
  4. 2023Non-autoregressive Conditional Diffusion Models for Time Series Prediction8 Jun
  5. 2021CSDI: Conditional Score-based Diffusion Models for Probabilistic Time Series Imputation7 Jul
  6. 2021Autoregressive Denoising Diffusion Models for Multivariate Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting28 Jan

Other references · 16

  1. 2020Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Modelscited by 20,851
  2. 2020Denoising Diffusion Implicit Modelscited by 9,655
  3. 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 1,981
  4. 2021Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecastingcited by 1,654
  5. 2023iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecastingcited by 906
  6. 2023Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Modelscited by 680
  7. 2022Diffusion-based Time Series Imputation and Forecasting with Structured State Space Modelscited by 195
  8. 2024Deep Time Series Models: A Comprehensive Survey and Benchmarkcited by 191
  9. 2023One Transformer Fits All Distributions in Multi-Modal Diffusion at Scalecited by 185
  10. 2024Are Language Models Actually Useful for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 163
  11. 2023LLM4TS: Aligning Pre-Trained LLMs as Data-Efficient Time-Series Forecasterscited by 127
  12. 2024CALF: Aligning LLMs for Time Series Forecasting via Cross-modal Fine-Tuningcited by 105
4 more
  1. 2023Diffusion Model as Representation Learnercited by 95
  2. 2025Time-VLM: Exploring Multimodal Vision-Language Models for Augmented Time Series Forecastingcited by 59
  3. 2024Multi-Patch Prediction: Adapting LLMs for Time Series Representation Learningcited by 25
  4. 2024TimeRAG: BOOSTING LLM Time Series Forecasting via Retrieval-Augmented Generationcited by 18

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  1. 2026Distribution-Aware Diffusion-LLM for Robust Ultra-Long-Term Time Series Forecasting
  2. 2025Small but Mighty: Enhancing Time Series Forecasting with Lightweight LLMs
  3. 2025UniDiff: A Unified Diffusion Framework for Multimodal Time Series Forecasting
  4. 2024TimeDiT: General-purpose Diffusion Transformers for Time Series Foundation Model
  5. 2025StoxLSTM: A Stochastic Extended Long Short-Term Memory Network for Time Series Forecasting
  6. 2025Multimodal Conditioned Diffusive Time Series Forecasting
  7. 2025Fusing Large Language Models with Temporal Transformers for Time Series Forecasting
  8. 2026Rethinking the Role of LLMs in Time Series Forecasting