An Operational Kardashev-Style Scale for Autonomous AI - Towards AGI and Superintelligence
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Abstract (arXiv)
We propose a Kardashev-inspired yet operational Autonomous AI (AAI) Scale that measures the progression from fixed robotic process automation (AAI-0) to full artificial general intelligence (AAI-4) and beyond. Unlike narrative ladders, our scale is multi-axis and testable. We define ten capability axes (Autonomy, Generality, Planning, Memory/Persistence, Tool Economy, Self-Revision, Sociality/Coordination, Embodiment, World-Model Fidelity, Economic Throughput) aggregated by a composite AAI-Index (a weighted geometric mean). We introduce a measurable Self-Improvement Coefficient kappa (capability growth per unit of agent-initiated resources) and two closure properties (maintenance and expansion) that convert ``self-improving AI'' into falsifiable criteria. We specify OWA-Bench, an open-world agency benchmark suite that evaluates long-horizon, tool-using, persistent agents. We define level gates for AAI-0ldots AAI-4 using thresholds on the axes, kappa, and closure proofs. Synthetic experiments illustrate how present-day systems map onto the scale and how the delegability frontier (quality vs. autonomy) advances with self-improvement. We also prove a theorem that AAI-3 agent becomes AAI-5 over time with sufficient conditions, formalizing "baby AGI" becomes Superintelligence intuition.
Key facts. Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 9 of its 42 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 17 Nov 2025.
Builds on
9 of 42 references.
References · 9
- 2018GLUE: A Multi-Task Benchmark and Analysis Platform for Natural Language Understandingcited by 4,899
- 2023Reflexion: Language Agents with Verbal Reinforcement Learningcited by 4,276
- 2023SWE-bench: Can Language Models Resolve Real-World GitHub Issues?cited by 3,373
- 2023RT-2: Vision-Language-Action Models Transfer Web Knowledge to Robotic Controlcited by 3,080
- 2023WebArena: A Realistic Web Environment for Building Autonomous Agentscited by 2,006
- 2017Domain Randomization for Transferring Deep Neural Networks from Simulation to the Real Worldcited by 1,498
- 2021Habitat 2.0: Training Home Assistants to Rearrange their Habitatcited by 511
- 2021iGibson 2.0: Object-Centric Simulation for Robot Learning of Everyday Household Taskscited by 194
- 2025A Definition of AGIcited by 27
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 3.
3 papers.
- 2025Psychometric Tests for AI Agents and Their Moduli Spacecited by 3
- 2025Self-Improving AI Agents through Self-Playcited by 2
- 2025The Geometry of Benchmarks: A New Path Toward AGIcited by 0
- 2025The Geometry of Benchmarks: A New Path Toward AGI3 Dec 2025
- 2025Self-Improving AI Agents through Self-Play2 Dec 2025
- 2025Psychometric Tests for AI Agents and Their Moduli Space24 Nov 2025
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