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A Comparative Study of Model Adaptation Strategies for Multi-Treatment Uplift Modeling

arXiv 2511.01185 ↗First posted 3 Nov 2025cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Uplift modeling has emerged as a crucial technique for individualized treatment effect estimation, particularly in fields such as marketing and healthcare. Modeling uplift effects in multi-treatment scenarios plays a key role in real-world applications. Current techniques for modeling multi-treatment uplift are typically adapted from binary-treatment works. In this paper, we investigate and categorize all current model adaptations into two types: Structure Adaptation and Feature Adaptation. Through our empirical experiments, we find that these two adaptation types cannot maintain effectiveness under various data characteristics (noisy data, mixed with observational data, etc.). To enhance estimation ability and robustness, we propose Orthogonal Function Adaptation (OFA) based on the function approximation theorem. We conduct comprehensive experiments with multiple data characteristics to study the effectiveness and robustness of all model adaptation techniques. Our experimental results demonstrate that our proposed OFA can significantly improve uplift model performance compared to other vanilla adaptation methods and exhibits the highest robustness.

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References · 9

  1. 2015Estimation and Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Random Forestscited by 597
  2. 2017Meta-learners for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Machine Learningcited by 475
  3. 2017Quasi-Oracle Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 328
  4. 2016Learning Representations for Counterfactual Inferencecited by 327
  5. 2019Adapting Neural Networks for the Estimation of Treatment Effectscited by 285
  6. 2023Explicit Feature Interaction-aware Uplift Network for Online Marketingcited by 25
  7. 2019Qini-based Uplift Regressioncited by 7
  8. 2023Robustness-enhanced Uplift Modeling with Adversarial Feature Desensitizationcited by 5
  9. 2024KG-TREAT: Pre-training for Treatment Effect Estimation by Synergizing Patient Data with Knowledge Graphscited by 5

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