mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

On the Role of Temperature Sampling in Test-Time Scaling

arXiv 2510.02611 ↗First posted 2 Oct 2025cs.AI cs.CL cs.LGcited by 10

On the map: LLM reasoning → Test-time compute and efficient thinking

Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models (LLMs) can improve reasoning at inference time through test-time scaling (TTS), where multiple reasoning traces are generated and the best one is selected. Prior work shows that increasing the number of samples K steadily improves accuracy. In this paper, we demonstrate that this trend does not hold indefinitely: at large K, further scaling yields no gains, and certain hard questions remain unsolved regardless of the number of traces. Interestingly, we find that different sampling temperatures solve different subsets of problems, implying that single-temperature scaling explores only part of a model's potential. We therefore propose scaling along the temperature dimension, which enlarges the reasoning boundary of LLMs. Averaged over Qwen3 (0.6B, 1.7B, 4B, 8B) and five representative reasoning benchmarks (AIME 2024/2025, MATH500, LiveCodeBench, Hi-ToM), temperature scaling yields an additional 7.3 points over single-temperature TTS. Temperature scaling also enables base models to reach performance comparable to reinforcement learning (RL)-trained counterparts, without additional post-training. We further provide a comprehensive analysis of this phenomenon and design a multi-temperature voting method that reduces the overhead of temperature scaling. Overall, our findings suggest that TTS is more powerful than previously thought, and that temperature scaling offers a simple and effective way to unlock the latent potential of base models.

Key facts. Cited by 10 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Test-time compute and efficient thinking, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 0 of its 102 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 2 Oct 2025.

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  1. 2025The Art of Scaling Test-Time Compute for Large Language Models
  2. 2025Rethinking Inference-Time Scaling: Efficiency Limits and Linguistic Signals
  3. 2026Test-Time Scaling in Reasoning LLMs: Inference Regimes, Evaluation, and Reproducibility
  4. 2025Are We Scaling the Right Thing? A System Perspective on Test-Time Scaling
  5. 2025T1: Advancing Language Model Reasoning through Reinforcement Learning and Inference Scaling
  6. 2025Making Small Language Models Efficient Reasoners: Intervention, Supervision, Reinforcement
  7. 2025Step-level Verifier-guided Hybrid Test-Time Scaling for Large Language Models
  8. 2025Think Twice: Enhancing LLM Reasoning by Scaling Multi-round Test-time Thinking