mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

From Scores to Steps: Diagnosing and Improving LLM Performance in Evidence-Based Medical Calculations

arXiv 2509.16584 ↗First posted 20 Sep 2025cs.CL cs.AIcited by 11

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Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated promising performance on medical benchmarks; however, their ability to perform medical calculations, a crucial aspect of clinical decision-making, remains underexplored and poorly evaluated. Existing benchmarks often assess only the final answer with a wide numerical tolerance, overlooking systematic reasoning failures and potentially causing serious clinical misjudgments. In this work, we revisit medical calculation evaluation with a stronger focus on clinical trustworthiness. First, we clean and restructure the MedCalc-Bench dataset and propose a new step-by-step evaluation pipeline that independently assesses formula selection, entity extraction, and arithmetic computation. Under this granular framework, the accuracy of GPT-4o drops from 62.7% to 43.6%, revealing errors masked by prior evaluations. Second, we introduce an automatic error analysis framework that generates structured attribution for each failure mode. Human evaluation confirms its alignment with expert judgment, enabling scalable and explainable diagnostics. Finally, we propose a modular agentic pipeline, MedRaC, that combines retrieval-augmented generation and Python-based code execution. Without any fine-tuning, MedRaC improves the accuracy of different LLMs from 16.35% up to 53.19%. Our work highlights the limitations of current benchmark practices and proposes a more clinically faithful methodology. By enabling transparent and transferable reasoning evaluation, we move closer to making LLM-based systems trustworthy for real-world medical applications.

Key facts. Cited by 11 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 30 of its 59 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 20 Sep 2025.

Builds on

30 of 59 references.

References · 30

  1. 2023GPT-4 Technical Reportcited by 18,396
  2. 2023Judging LLM-as-a-Judge with MT-Bench and Chatbot Arenacited by 8,626
  3. 2022Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 5,708
  4. 2023Let's Verify Step by Stepcited by 3,789
  5. 2023Self-Refine: Iterative Refinement with Self-Feedbackcited by 3,442
  6. 2023G-Eval: NLG Evaluation using GPT-4 with Better Human Alignmentcited by 2,276
  7. 2022Large Language Models Encode Clinical Knowledgecited by 1,830
  8. 2024A Survey on LLM-as-a-Judgecited by 1,423
  9. 2020What Disease does this Patient Have? A Large-scale Open Domain Question Answering Dataset from Medical Examscited by 1,356
  10. 2019PubMedQA: A Dataset for Biomedical Research Question Answeringcited by 1,288
  11. 2022Program of Thoughts Prompting: Disentangling Computation from Reasoning for Numerical Reasoning Taskscited by 1,076
  12. 2025HealthBench: Evaluating Large Language Models Towards Improved Human Healthcited by 429
18 more
  1. 2023Large Language Models Are State-of-the-Art Evaluators of Translation Qualitycited by 420
  2. 2024Benchmarking Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Medicinecited by 331
  3. 2023Can Generalist Foundation Models Outcompete Special-Purpose Tuning? Case Study in Medicinecited by 329
  4. 2024MediQ: Question-Asking LLMs and a Benchmark for Reliable Interactive Clinical Reasoningcited by 154
  5. 2024MedCalc-Bench: Evaluating Large Language Models for Medical Calculationscited by 70
  6. 2025Evaluating Step-by-step Reasoning Traces: A Surveycited by 63
  7. 2024Improving Retrieval-Augmented Generation in Medicine with Iterative Follow-up Questionscited by 54
  8. 2023A Comprehensive Analysis of the Effectiveness of Large Language Models as Automatic Dialogue Evaluatorscited by 45
  9. 2023Summarizing, Simplifying, and Synthesizing Medical Evidence Using GPT-3 (with Varying Success)cited by 40
  10. 2024JMLR: Joint Medical LLM and Retrieval Training for Enhancing Reasoning and Professional Question Answering Capabilitycited by 32
  11. 2024Hidden flaws behind expert-level accuracy of multimodal GPT-4 vision in medicinecited by 31
  12. 2024From Medprompt to o1: Exploration of Run-Time Strategies for Medical Challenge Problems and Beyondcited by 24
  13. 2022StoryER: Automatic Story Evaluation via Ranking, Rating and Reasoningcited by 21
  14. 2024Comparing Two Model Designs for Clinical Note Generation; Is an LLM a Useful Evaluator of Consistency?cited by 20
  15. 2025Let's Verify Math Questions Step by Stepcited by 18
  16. 2025VeriFact: Verifying Facts in LLM-Generated Clinical Text with Electronic Health Recordscited by 17
  17. 2024MCQG-SRefine: Multiple Choice Question Generation and Evaluation with Iterative Self-Critique, Correction, and Comparison Feedbackcited by 14
  18. 2024Effectiveness of ChatGPT in explaining complex medical reports to patientscited by 2

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Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2025: 2; 2026: 9.

11 papers.

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Close in wording, no citation either way

  1. 2025Quantifying the Reasoning Abilities of LLMs on Real-world Clinical Cases
  2. 2025Automating Expert-Level Medical Reasoning Evaluation of Large Language Models
  3. 2026Improving Medical Calculation of LLMs with Embedded Coding
  4. 2025Evaluating Computational Accuracy of Large Language Models in Numerical Reasoning Tasks for Healthcare Applications
  5. 2026CLExEval: A Human-in-the-Loop Framework for Qualitative Evaluation of LLM Clinical Reasoning
  6. 2025Beyond the Leaderboard: Rethinking Medical Benchmarks for Large Language Models
  7. 2026Towards Reliable Medical LLMs: Benchmarking and Enhancing Confidence Estimation of Large Language Models in Medical Consultation
  8. 2025MedHELM: Holistic Evaluation of Large Language Models for Medical Tasks