mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Time Travel is Cheating: Going Live with DeepFund for Real-Time Fund Investment Benchmarking

arXiv 2505.11065 ↗First posted 16 May 2025cs.CE cs.AI cs.MAcited by 21

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Abstract (arXiv)

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated notable capabilities across financial tasks, including financial report summarization, earnings call transcript analysis, and asset classification. However, their real-world effectiveness in managing complex fund investment remains inadequately assessed. A fundamental limitation of existing benchmarks for evaluating LLM-driven trading strategies is their reliance on historical back-testing, inadvertently enabling LLMs to "time travel"-leveraging future information embedded in their training corpora, thus resulting in possible information leakage and overly optimistic performance estimates. To address this issue, we introduce DeepFund, a live fund benchmark tool designed to rigorously evaluate LLM in real-time market conditions. Utilizing a multi-agent architecture, DeepFund connects directly with real-time stock market data-specifically data published after each model pretraining cutoff-to ensure fair and leakage-free evaluations. Empirical tests on nine flagship LLMs from leading global institutions across multiple investment dimensions-including ticker-level analysis, investment decision-making, portfolio management, and risk control-reveal significant practical challenges. Notably, even cutting-edge models such as DeepSeek-V3 and Claude-3.7-Sonnet incur net trading losses within DeepFund real-time evaluation environment, underscoring the present limitations of LLMs for active fund management. Our code is available at https://github.com/HKUSTDial/DeepFund.

Key facts. Cited by 21 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 45 of its 79 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 May 2025.

Builds on

45 of 79 references.

References · 45

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  1. 2023FinMem: A Performance-Enhanced LLM Trading Agent with Layered Memory and Character Designcited by 164
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Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2025: 5; 2026: 16.

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  1. 2025A Survey of Reasoning and Agentic Systems in Time Series with Large Language Modelscited by 21
  2. 2025LiveTradeBench: Seeking Real-World Alpha with Large Language Modelscited by 13
  3. 2026InfoPO: Information-Driven Policy Optimization for User-Centric Agentscited by 12
  4. 2026From Knowing to Doing: A Memory-Controlled Benchmark for LLM Trading Agents on Stock Marketscited by 11
  5. 2025Alpha-R1: Alpha Screening with LLM Reasoning via Reinforcement Learningcited by 7
  6. 2025Advancing Event Forecasting through Massive Training of Large Language Models: Challenges, Solutions, and Broader Impactscited by 6
  7. 2026Unified-MAS: Universally Generating Domain-Specific Nodes for Empowering Automatic Multi-Agent Systemscited by 4
  8. 2026PortBench: A Correlation-Aware, Full-Pipeline Benchmark for LLM-Driven Portfolio Managementcited by 3
  9. 2025TradeTrap: Are LLM-based Trading Agents Truly Reliable and Faithful?cited by 2
  10. 2026LEAF: A Living Benchmark for Event-Augmented Forecastingcited by 2
  11. 2026From Natural Language to Executable Option Strategies via Large Language Modelscited by 1
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  3. 2026FinSAgent: Corpus-Aligned Multi-Agent RAG Framework for Evidence-Grounded SEC Filing Question Answeringcited by 0
  4. 2026F2Agent: Financial Fusion of Agentic Intelligence for Multimodal Tradingcited by 0
  5. 2026OpenPM: Auditable Point-in-Time Evaluation for LLM Portfolio-Management Agentscited by 0
  6. 2026Artificial Intelligence in Equity and Crypto Markets: Progress, Profitability Evidence, and the Limits of Automated Investingcited by 0
  7. 2026EverMine: Dissecting the Self-Evolution of Research Capabilities in Long-Horizon Alpha Researchcited by 0
  8. 2026Can AI Make Money in Crypto? Measuring the Gap from Backtests to Real Marketscited by 0
  9. 2026From Search to Research: Exploring Search Scaling in Autonomous Quantitative Factor Miningcited by 0