Time Travel is Cheating: Going Live with DeepFund for Real-Time Fund Investment Benchmarking
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Abstract (arXiv)
Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated notable capabilities across financial tasks, including financial report summarization, earnings call transcript analysis, and asset classification. However, their real-world effectiveness in managing complex fund investment remains inadequately assessed. A fundamental limitation of existing benchmarks for evaluating LLM-driven trading strategies is their reliance on historical back-testing, inadvertently enabling LLMs to "time travel"-leveraging future information embedded in their training corpora, thus resulting in possible information leakage and overly optimistic performance estimates. To address this issue, we introduce DeepFund, a live fund benchmark tool designed to rigorously evaluate LLM in real-time market conditions. Utilizing a multi-agent architecture, DeepFund connects directly with real-time stock market data-specifically data published after each model pretraining cutoff-to ensure fair and leakage-free evaluations. Empirical tests on nine flagship LLMs from leading global institutions across multiple investment dimensions-including ticker-level analysis, investment decision-making, portfolio management, and risk control-reveal significant practical challenges. Notably, even cutting-edge models such as DeepSeek-V3 and Claude-3.7-Sonnet incur net trading losses within DeepFund real-time evaluation environment, underscoring the present limitations of LLMs for active fund management. Our code is available at https://github.com/HKUSTDial/DeepFund.
Key facts. Cited by 21 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 45 of its 79 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 May 2025.
Builds on
45 of 79 references.
References · 45
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- 2026Can Agentic Trading Systems Pay for Their Own Intelligence?11 Jul 2026
- 2026From Knowing to Doing: A Memory-Controlled Benchmark for LLM Trading Agents on Stock Markets27 May 2026
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- 2026InfoPO: Information-Driven Policy Optimization for User-Centric Agents28 Feb 2026
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