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Informed Forecasting: Leveraging Auxiliary Knowledge to Boost LLM Performance on Time Series Forecasting

arXiv 2505.10213 ↗First posted 15 May 2025cs.LG stat.APcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

With the widespread adoption of Large Language Models (LLMs), there is a growing need to establish best practices for leveraging their capabilities beyond traditional natural language tasks. In this paper, a novel cross-domain knowledge transfer framework is proposed to enhance the performance of LLMs in time series forecasting -- a task of increasing relevance in fields such as energy systems, finance, and healthcare. The approach systematically infuses LLMs with structured temporal information to improve their forecasting accuracy. This study evaluates the proposed method on a real-world time series dataset and compares it to a naive baseline where the LLM receives no auxiliary information. Results show that knowledge-informed forecasting significantly outperforms the uninformed baseline in terms of predictive accuracy and generalization. These findings highlight the potential of knowledge transfer strategies to bridge the gap between LLMs and domain-specific forecasting tasks.

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References · 13

  1. 2023Large Language Modelscited by 774
  2. 2023Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Modelscited by 680
  3. 2023Large Language Models Are Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasterscited by 491
  4. 2023ChatGPT for Robotics: Design Principles and Model Abilitiescited by 296
  5. 2019Financial Time Series Forecasting with Deep Learning : A Systematic Literature Review: 2005-2019cited by 270
  6. 2022PromptCast: A New Prompt-based Learning Paradigm for Time Series Forecastingcited by 170
  7. 2023LLM4TS: Aligning Pre-Trained LLMs as Data-Efficient Time-Series Forecasterscited by 127
  8. 2024Mapping the Increasing Use of LLMs in Scientific Paperscited by 112
  9. 2024TimeCMA: Towards LLM-Empowered Multivariate Time Series Forecasting via Cross-Modality Alignmentcited by 97
  10. 2023Temporal Data Meets LLM -- Explainable Financial Time Series Forecastingcited by 77
  11. 2024Time Series Forecasting with LLMs: Understanding and Enhancing Model Capabilitiescited by 48
  12. 2025Retrieval-augmented Large Language Models for Financial Time Series Forecastingcited by 12
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  1. 2020A Doubly Stochastic Simulator with Applications in Arrivals Modeling and Simulationcited by 1

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