Efficient Large-Scale Traffic Forecasting with Transformers: A Spatial Data Management Perspective
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Abstract (arXiv)
Road traffic forecasting is crucial in real-world intelligent transportation scenarios like traffic dispatching and path planning in city management and personal traveling. Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) stand out as the mainstream solution in this task. Nevertheless, the quadratic complexity of remarkable dynamic spatial modeling-based STGNNs has become the bottleneck over large-scale traffic data. From the spatial data management perspective, we present a novel Transformer framework called PatchSTG to efficiently and dynamically model spatial dependencies for large-scale traffic forecasting with interpretability and fidelity. Specifically, we design a novel irregular spatial patching to reduce the number of points involved in the dynamic calculation of Transformer. The irregular spatial patching first utilizes the leaf K-dimensional tree (KDTree) to recursively partition irregularly distributed traffic points into leaf nodes with a small capacity, and then merges leaf nodes belonging to the same subtree into occupancy-equaled and non-overlapped patches through padding and backtracking. Based on the patched data, depth and breadth attention are used interchangeably in the encoder to dynamically learn local and global spatial knowledge from points in a patch and points with the same index of patches. Experimental results on four real world large-scale traffic datasets show that our PatchSTG achieves train speed and memory utilization improvements up to 10× and 4× with the state-of-the-art performance.
Key facts. Cited by 26 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 18 of its 62 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 13 Dec 2024.
Builds on
18 of 62 references.
References · 18
- 2020An Image is Worth 16x16 Words: Transformers for Image Recognition at Scalecited by 30,186
- 2021Swin Transformer: Hierarchical Vision Transformer using Shifted Windowscited by 12,139
- 2017Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecastingcited by 1,136
- 2020Adaptive Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network for Traffic Forecastingcited by 530
- 2019GMAN: A Graph Multi-Attention Network for Traffic Predictioncited by 434
- 2021Spatial-Temporal Graph ODE Networks for Traffic Flow Forecastingcited by 210
- 2021Dynamic Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network for Traffic Prediction: Benchmark and Solutioncited by 157
- 2021Graph Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Traffic Forecastingcited by 133
- 2023LargeST: A Benchmark Dataset for Large-Scale Traffic Forecastingcited by 118
- 2022A Generalization of ViT/MLP-Mixer to Graphscited by 93
- 2023DiffSTG: Probabilistic Spatio-Temporal Graph Forecasting with Denoising Diffusion Modelscited by 81
- 2024RAGraph: A General Retrieval-Augmented Graph Learning Frameworkcited by 24
6 more
- 2023Uncertainty Quantification via Spatial-Temporal Tweedie Model for Zero-inflated and Long-tail Travel Demand Predictioncited by 19
- 2024RPMixer: Shaking Up Time Series Forecasting with Random Projections for Large Spatial-Temporal Datacited by 17
- 2023Rethinking Sensors Modeling: Hierarchical Information Enhanced Traffic Forecastingcited by 11
- 2022PatchGT: Transformer over Non-trainable Clusters for Learning Graph Representationscited by 8
- 2024MILLION: A General Multi-Objective Framework with Controllable Risk for Portfolio Managementcited by 6
- 2024COMET: NFT Price Prediction with Wallet Profilingcited by 2
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 12; 2026: 14.
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- 2025Efficient Multivariate Time Series Forecasting via Calibrated Language Models with Privileged Knowledge Distillationcited by 20
- 2025Unraveling Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models via the Pipeline Lens: A Comprehensive Reviewcited by 10
- 2025Learning with Calibration: Exploring Test-Time Computing of Spatio-Temporal Forecastingcited by 9
- 2025How Different from the Past? Spatio-Temporal Time Series Forecasting with Self-Supervised Deviation Learningcited by 4
- 2025A Survey of Physics-Informed AI for Complex Urban Systemscited by 2
- 2025S2Transformer: Scalable Structured Transformers for Global Station Weather Forecastingcited by 2
- 2026FaST: Efficient and Effective Long-Horizon Forecasting for Large-Scale Spatial-Temporal Graphs via Mixture-of-Expertscited by 2
- 2026Position: The Inevitable End of One-Architecture-Fits-All-Domains in Time Series Forecastingcited by 2
- 2026Effective Dataset Distillation for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting with Bi-dimensional Compressioncited by 2
- 2025Rigid-Deformation Decomposition AI Framework for 3D Spatio-Temporal Prediction of Vehicle Collision Dynamicscited by 1
- 2025Efficient Traffic Forecasting on Large-Scale Road Network by Regularized Adaptive Graph Convolutioncited by 1
- 2025HieraMix: A Hierarchical MLP-Mixer for Large-Scale Traffic Forecastingcited by 1
14 more
- 2026Nested Spatio-Temporal Time Series Forecastingcited by 1
- 2026Do We Really Need Adaptive Global Spatial Attention for Traffic Forecasting?cited by 1
- 2025Robust Spatiotemporal Forecasting Using Adaptive Deep-Unfolded Variational Mode Decompositioncited by 0
- 2025DPANet: Dual Pyramid Attention Network for Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 0
- 2025CometNet: Contextual Motif-guided Long-term Time Series Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026Learning from Complexity: Exploring Dynamic Sample Pruning of Spatio-Temporal Trainingcited by 0
- 2026Continuous Cross-Domain Traffic State Prediction via Memory-Augmented Graph Liquid Time-Constant Networkscited by 0
- 2026Structure-Aware Graph Multi-Task Learning for Dynamic Sparse OD Demand Predictioncited by 0
- 2026Frequency-Domain Multi-Modality Transportation Modelingcited by 0
- 2026Fourier Geometric Wind Power Forecasting with Numerical Weather Predictioncited by 0
- 2026Neural Architecture Search for Traffic Prediction: A Survey of Methods, Challenges, and Future Directionscited by 0
- 2026Learning Local Heterogeneity and Cross-Region Context for Large-Scale Traffic Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026FreSia: Frequency-Semantic Instantiation and Alignment for Multivariate Time Series Analysiscited by 0
- 2026VaryST: Generalizable Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Beyond the Closed-World Settingcited by 0
- 2026VaryST: Generalizable Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Beyond the Closed-World Setting14 Oct 2026
- 2026FreSia: Frequency-Semantic Instantiation and Alignment for Multivariate Time Series Analysis5 Oct 2026
- 2026Learning Local Heterogeneity and Cross-Region Context for Large-Scale Traffic Forecasting23 Sep 2026
- 2026Neural Architecture Search for Traffic Prediction: A Survey of Methods, Challenges, and Future Directions29 Jul 2026
- 2026Fourier Geometric Wind Power Forecasting with Numerical Weather Prediction19 Jul 2026
- 2026Do We Really Need Adaptive Global Spatial Attention for Traffic Forecasting?14 Jul 2026
- 2026Frequency-Domain Multi-Modality Transportation Modeling9 Jul 2026
- 2026Structure-Aware Graph Multi-Task Learning for Dynamic Sparse OD Demand Prediction19 Jun 2026
- 2026Continuous Cross-Domain Traffic State Prediction via Memory-Augmented Graph Liquid Time-Constant Networks14 Jun 2026
- 2026Nested Spatio-Temporal Time Series Forecasting15 May 2026
- 2026Effective Dataset Distillation for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting with Bi-dimensional Compression11 Mar 2026
- 2026Learning from Complexity: Exploring Dynamic Sample Pruning of Spatio-Temporal Training22 Feb 2026
14 more
- 2026Position: The Inevitable End of One-Architecture-Fits-All-Domains in Time Series Forecasting2 Feb 2026
- 2026FaST: Efficient and Effective Long-Horizon Forecasting for Large-Scale Spatial-Temporal Graphs via Mixture-of-Experts8 Jan 2026
- 2025HieraMix: A Hierarchical MLP-Mixer for Large-Scale Traffic Forecasting26 Nov 2025
- 2025CometNet: Contextual Motif-guided Long-term Time Series Forecasting11 Nov 2025
- 2025How Different from the Past? Spatio-Temporal Time Series Forecasting with Self-Supervised Deviation Learning6 Oct 2025
- 2025DPANet: Dual Pyramid Attention Network for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting18 Sep 2025
- 2025S2Transformer: Scalable Structured Transformers for Global Station Weather Forecasting10 Sep 2025
- 2025Robust Spatiotemporal Forecasting Using Adaptive Deep-Unfolded Variational Mode Decomposition31 Aug 2025
- 2025A Survey of Physics-Informed AI for Complex Urban Systems9 Jun 2025
- 2025Efficient Traffic Forecasting on Large-Scale Road Network by Regularized Adaptive Graph Convolution8 Jun 2025
- 2025Unraveling Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models via the Pipeline Lens: A Comprehensive Review2 Jun 2025
- 2025Learning with Calibration: Exploring Test-Time Computing of Spatio-Temporal Forecasting31 May 2025
- 2025Efficient Multivariate Time Series Forecasting via Calibrated Language Models with Privileged Knowledge Distillation4 May 2025
- 2025Rigid-Deformation Decomposition AI Framework for 3D Spatio-Temporal Prediction of Vehicle Collision Dynamics25 Mar 2025
- 2025Unraveling Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models via the Pipeline Lens: A Comprehensive Reviewcited by 10
- 2025Learning with Calibration: Exploring Test-Time Computing of Spatio-Temporal Forecastingcited by 9
- 2025How Different from the Past? Spatio-Temporal Time Series Forecasting with Self-Supervised Deviation Learningcited by 4
- 2025A Survey of Physics-Informed AI for Complex Urban Systemscited by 2
- 2025S2Transformer: Scalable Structured Transformers for Global Station Weather Forecastingcited by 2
- 2026Position: The Inevitable End of One-Architecture-Fits-All-Domains in Time Series Forecastingcited by 2
- 2026Effective Dataset Distillation for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting with Bi-dimensional Compressioncited by 2
- 2025Rigid-Deformation Decomposition AI Framework for 3D Spatio-Temporal Prediction of Vehicle Collision Dynamicscited by 1
- 2025Efficient Traffic Forecasting on Large-Scale Road Network by Regularized Adaptive Graph Convolutioncited by 1
- 2025HieraMix: A Hierarchical MLP-Mixer for Large-Scale Traffic Forecastingcited by 1
- 2026Nested Spatio-Temporal Time Series Forecastingcited by 1
- 2026Do We Really Need Adaptive Global Spatial Attention for Traffic Forecasting?cited by 1
12 most cited of 24 All 24 (JSON)
- 2026VaryST: Generalizable Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Beyond the Closed-World Setting14 Oct 2026
- 2026FreSia: Frequency-Semantic Instantiation and Alignment for Multivariate Time Series Analysis5 Oct 2026
- 2026Learning Local Heterogeneity and Cross-Region Context for Large-Scale Traffic Forecasting23 Sep 2026
- 2026Neural Architecture Search for Traffic Prediction: A Survey of Methods, Challenges, and Future Directions29 Jul 2026
- 2026Fourier Geometric Wind Power Forecasting with Numerical Weather Prediction19 Jul 2026
- 2026Do We Really Need Adaptive Global Spatial Attention for Traffic Forecasting?14 Jul 2026
- 2026Frequency-Domain Multi-Modality Transportation Modeling9 Jul 2026
- 2026Structure-Aware Graph Multi-Task Learning for Dynamic Sparse OD Demand Prediction19 Jun 2026
- 2026Continuous Cross-Domain Traffic State Prediction via Memory-Augmented Graph Liquid Time-Constant Networks14 Jun 2026
- 2026Nested Spatio-Temporal Time Series Forecasting15 May 2026
- 2026Effective Dataset Distillation for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting with Bi-dimensional Compression11 Mar 2026
- 2026Learning from Complexity: Exploring Dynamic Sample Pruning of Spatio-Temporal Training22 Feb 2026
12 newest of 24 All 24 (JSON)