Can LLMs Understand Time Series Anomalies?
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Abstract (arXiv)
Large Language Models (LLMs) have gained popularity in time series forecasting, but their potential for anomaly detection remains largely unexplored. Our study investigates whether LLMs can understand and detect anomalies in time series data, focusing on zero-shot and few-shot scenarios. Inspired by conjectures about LLMs' behavior from time series forecasting research, we formulate key hypotheses about LLMs' capabilities in time series anomaly detection. We design and conduct principled experiments to test each of these hypotheses. Our investigation reveals several surprising findings about LLMs for time series: (1) LLMs understand time series better as images rather than as text, (2) LLMs do not demonstrate enhanced performance when prompted to engage in explicit reasoning about time series analysis. (3) Contrary to common beliefs, LLMs' understanding of time series does not stem from their repetition biases or arithmetic abilities. (4) LLMs' behaviors and performance in time series analysis vary significantly across different models. This study provides the first comprehensive analysis of contemporary LLM capabilities in time series anomaly detection. Our results suggest that while LLMs can understand trivial time series anomalies, we have no evidence that they can understand more subtle real-world anomalies. Many common conjectures based on their reasoning capabilities do not hold. All synthetic dataset generators, final prompts, and evaluation scripts have been made available in https://github.com/rose-stl-lab/anomllm.
Key facts. Cited by 41 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 32 of its 46 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 7 Oct 2024.
Builds on
32 of 46 references.
References · 32
- 2020Language Models are Few-Shot Learnerscited by 32,199
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- 2019The Curious Case of Neural Text Degenerationcited by 2,881
- 2019ViLBERT: Pretraining Task-Agnostic Visiolinguistic Representations for Vision-and-Language Taskscited by 2,219
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- 2024MMLU-Pro: A More Robust and Challenging Multi-Task Language Understanding Benchmarkcited by 1,758
- 2022Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 1,400
- 2024How Far Are We to GPT-4V? Closing the Gap to Commercial Multimodal Models with Open-Source Suitescited by 1,033
- 2019VideoBERT: A Joint Model for Video and Language Representation Learningcited by 702
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- 2024Are Language Models Actually Useful for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 163
- 2020Current Time Series Anomaly Detection Benchmarks are Flawed and are Creating the Illusion of Progresscited by 148
- 2023How well do Large Language Models perform in Arithmetic tasks?cited by 130
- 2023Large language models can accurately predict searcher preferencescited by 129
- 2024ChartMimic: Evaluating LMM's Cross-Modal Reasoning Capability via Chart-to-Code Generationcited by 118
- 2024Large Language Models for Time Series: A Surveycited by 113
- 2022Local Evaluation of Time Series Anomaly Detection Algorithmscited by 79
- 2024Time Series Forecasting with LLMs: Understanding and Enhancing Model Capabilitiescited by 48
- 2024Position: What Can Large Language Models Tell Us about Time Series Analysiscited by 47
- 2024Large Language Model Guided Knowledge Distillation for Time Series Anomaly Detectioncited by 26
- 2023Leveraging Vision-Language Models for Granular Market Change Predictioncited by 22
- 2024Can LLMs Serve As Time Series Anomaly Detectors?cited by 22
- 2022Do Deep Neural Networks Contribute to Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection?cited by 19
- 2024Do Language Models Exhibit the Same Cognitive Biases in Problem Solving as Human Learners?cited by 19
- 2023Nominality Score Conditioned Time Series Anomaly Detection by Point/Sequential Reconstructioncited by 17
- 2024Position: Quo Vadis, Unsupervised Time Series Anomaly Detection?cited by 17
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 1; 2025: 25; 2026: 15.
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- 2025Refining Time Series Anomaly Detectors using Large Language Models26 Mar 2025
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- 2025BCAT: A Block Causal Transformer for PDE Foundation Models for Fluid Dynamics31 Jan 2025
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- 2026HEARTS: Benchmarking LLM Reasoning on Health Time Series25 Feb 2026
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- 2026Time Series Reasoning via Process-Verifiable Thinking Data Synthesis and Scheduling for Tailored LLM Reasoning8 Feb 2026
- 2026TSRBench: A Comprehensive Multi-task Multi-modal Time Series Reasoning Benchmark for Generalist Models26 Jan 2026
- 2026TimeART: Towards Agentic Time Series Reasoning via Tool-Augmentation20 Jan 2026
- 2026Rationale-Grounded In-Context Learning for Time Series Reasoning with Multimodal Large Language Models6 Jan 2026
- 2025SciTS: Scientific Time Series Understanding and Generation with LLMs26 Sep 2025
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- 2025How Can Time Series Analysis Benefit From Multiple Modalities? A Survey and Outlookcited by 20
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- 2025Revisiting LLMs as Zero-Shot Time-Series Forecasters: Small Noise Can Break Large Modelscited by 7
- 2025Time-RA: Towards Time Series Reasoning for Anomaly Diagnosis with LLM Feedbackcited by 7
- 2026ARFBench: Benchmarking Time Series Question Answering Ability for Software Incident Responsecited by 5
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12 most cited of 23 All 23 (JSON)
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- 2026Speaking Numbers to LLMs: Multi-Wavelet Number Embeddings for Time Series Forecasting25 Jun 2026
- 2026ARFBench: Benchmarking Time Series Question Answering Ability for Software Incident Response23 Apr 2026
- 2026ASTER: Latent Pseudo-Anomaly Generation for Unsupervised Time-Series Anomaly Detection15 Apr 2026
- 2026VAN-AD: Visual Masked Autoencoder with Normalizing Flow For Time Series Anomaly Detection27 Mar 2026
- 2026KairosVL: Orchestrating Time Series and Semantics for Unified Reasoning24 Feb 2026
- 2026TSAQA: Time Series Analysis Question And Answering Benchmark30 Jan 2026
- 2026LLM-Assisted Logic Rule Learning: Scaling Human Expertise for Time Series Anomaly Detection27 Jan 2026
- 2025The Forecast Critic: Leveraging Large Language Models for Poor Forecast Identification12 Dec 2025
- 2025AXIS: Explainable Time Series Anomaly Detection with Large Language Models29 Sep 2025
- 2025Time-RA: Towards Time Series Reasoning for Anomaly Diagnosis with LLM Feedback20 Jul 2025
- 2025From Time Series Analysis to Question Answering: A Survey in the LLM Era13 Jun 2025
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