mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Decision-Making Behavior Evaluation Framework for LLMs under Uncertain Context

arXiv 2406.05972 ↗First posted 10 Jun 2024cs.AI cs.CY cs.HCcited by 41

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Abstract (arXiv)

When making decisions under uncertainty, individuals often deviate from rational behavior, which can be evaluated across three dimensions: risk preference, probability weighting, and loss aversion. Given the widespread use of large language models (LLMs) in decision-making processes, it is crucial to assess whether their behavior aligns with human norms and ethical expectations or exhibits potential biases. Several empirical studies have investigated the rationality and social behavior performance of LLMs, yet their internal decision-making tendencies and capabilities remain inadequately understood. This paper proposes a framework, grounded in behavioral economics, to evaluate the decision-making behaviors of LLMs. Through a multiple-choice-list experiment, we estimate the degree of risk preference, probability weighting, and loss aversion in a context-free setting for three commercial LLMs: ChatGPT-4.0-Turbo, Claude-3-Opus, and Gemini-1.0-pro. Our results reveal that LLMs generally exhibit patterns similar to humans, such as risk aversion and loss aversion, with a tendency to overweight small probabilities. However, there are significant variations in the degree to which these behaviors are expressed across different LLMs. We also explore their behavior when embedded with socio-demographic features, uncovering significant disparities. For instance, when modeled with attributes of sexual minority groups or physical disabilities, Claude-3-Opus displays increased risk aversion, leading to more conservative choices. These findings underscore the need for careful consideration of the ethical implications and potential biases in deploying LLMs in decision-making scenarios. Therefore, this study advocates for developing standards and guidelines to ensure that LLMs operate within ethical boundaries while enhancing their utility in complex decision-making environments.

Key facts. Cited by 41 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 14 of its 46 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 Jun 2024.

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14 of 46 references.

References · 14

  1. 2020Language Models are Few-Shot Learnerscited by 32,199
  2. 2022Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Modelscited by 12,302
  3. 2019BART: Denoising Sequence-to-Sequence Pre-training for Natural Language Generation, Translation, and Comprehensioncited by 5,874
  4. 2022Large Language Models Are Human-Level Prompt Engineerscited by 1,020
  5. 2023BloombergGPT: A Large Language Model for Financecited by 923
  6. 2021GLaM: Efficient Scaling of Language Models with Mixture-of-Expertscited by 890
  7. 2024SnapKV: LLM Knows What You are Looking for Before Generationcited by 848
  8. 2023Large Language Models as Optimizerscited by 830
  9. 2023Can Large Language Models Transform Computational Social Science?cited by 245
  10. 2023Playing repeated games with Large Language Modelscited by 213
  11. 2023Bias Runs Deep: Implicit Reasoning Biases in Persona-Assigned LLMscited by 191
  12. 2023Can Large Language Models Serve as Rational Players in Game Theory? A Systematic Analysiscited by 91
2 more
  1. 2024From LLM to NMT: Advancing Low-Resource Machine Translation with Claudecited by 57
  2. 2024Prompting Techniques for Reducing Social Bias in LLMs through System 1 and System 2 Cognitive Processescited by 38

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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2024: 2; 2025: 24; 2026: 15.

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  1. 2025The Prompt Makes the Person(a): A Systematic Evaluation of Sociodemographic Persona Prompting for Large Language Modelscited by 40
  2. 2024A Survey on Large Language Model-Based Social Agents in Game-Theoretic Scenarioscited by 23
  3. 2025PDE-Controller: LLMs for Autoformalization and Reasoning of PDEscited by 23
  4. 2025Constrained Discrete Diffusioncited by 16
  5. 2025Do Large Language Models Know What They Are Capable Of?cited by 9
  6. 2026OEP: Poisoning Self-Evolving LLM Agents via Locally Correct but Non-Transferable Experiencescited by 9
  7. 2025Reasoning Under Uncertainty: Exploring Probabilistic Reasoning Capabilities of LLMscited by 8
  8. 2025AIM-Bench: Evaluating Decision-making Biases of Agentic LLM as Inventory Managercited by 6
  9. 2026Are LLM Decisions Faithful to Verbal Confidence?cited by 6
  10. 2025Answer, Refuse, or Guess? Investigating Risk-Aware Decision Making in Language Modelscited by 5
  11. 2025Teaching AI to Handle Exceptions: Supervised Fine-Tuning with Human-Aligned Judgmentcited by 4
  12. 2025Noise, Adaptation, and Strategy: Assessing LLM Fidelity in Decision-Makingcited by 4
29 more
  1. 2025Large Language Newsvendor: Decision Biases and Cognitive Mechanismscited by 4
  2. 2026Can Revealed Preferences Clarify LLM Alignment and Steering?cited by 4
  3. 2024An Experimental Study of Competitive Market Behavior Through LLMscited by 3
  4. 2025Comparing Exploration-Exploitation Strategies of LLMs and Humans: Insights from Standard Multi-armed Bandit Experimentscited by 3
  5. 2025Rethinking Prospect Theory for LLMs: Revealing the Instability of Decision-Making under Epistemic Uncertaintycited by 3
  6. 2026Would a Large Language Model Pay Extra for a View? Inferring Willingness to Pay from Subjective Choicescited by 3
  7. 2025Causality Is Key to Understand and Balance Multiple Goals in Trustworthy ML and Foundation Modelscited by 2
  8. 2025Who Gets the Kidney? Human-AI Alignment, Indecision, and Moral Valuescited by 2
  9. 2025Adaptive Preference Optimization with Uncertainty-aware Utility Anchorcited by 2
  10. 2025Can Large Language Models Develop Gambling Addiction?cited by 2
  11. 2026Discovering Differences in Strategic Behavior Between Humans and LLMscited by 2
  12. 2026Apparent Psychological Profiles of Large Language Models are Largely a Measurement Artifactcited by 2
  13. 2025Cash or Comfort? How LLMs Value Your Inconveniencecited by 1
  14. 2025GG-BBQ: German Gender Bias Benchmark for Question Answeringcited by 1
  15. 2025Getting out of the Big-Muddy: Escalation of Commitment in LLMscited by 1
  16. 2025Risk Profiling and Modulation for LLMscited by 1
  17. 2026Identity-Robust Language Model Generation via Content Integrity Preservationcited by 1
  18. 2026Funny or Persuasive, but Not Both: Evaluating Fine-Grained Multi-Concept Control in LLMscited by 1
  19. 2026Fin-Bias: Comprehensive Evaluation for LLM Decision-Making under human bias in Finance Domaincited by 1
  20. 2026Out-of-Distribution Generalization of Risk Aversion in Language Modelscited by 1
  21. 2025A Computational Theory for Efficient Mini Agent Evaluation with Causal Guaranteescited by 0
  22. 2025AI Agents and Hard Choicescited by 0
  23. 2025Artificial Finance: How AI Thinks About Moneycited by 0
  24. 2025BEACON: A Unified Behavioral-Tactical Framework for Explainable Cybercrime Analysis with Large Language Modelscited by 0
  25. 2026Status Hierarchies in Language Modelscited by 0
  26. 2026Language Models Exhibit Inconsistent Biases Towards Algorithmic Agents and Human Expertscited by 0
  27. 2026Dynamics of Cognitive Heterogeneity: Investigating Behavioral Biases in Multi-Stage Supply Chains with LLM-Based Simulationcited by 0
  28. 2026Decisive: Guiding User Decisions with Optimal Preference Elicitation from Unstructured Documentscited by 0
  29. 2026LLM Consumer Behavior Theory: Foundations of a Novel Research Fieldcited by 0