Out-of-Distribution Detection Should Use Conformal Prediction (and Vice-versa?)
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Abstract (arXiv)
Research on Out-Of-Distribution (OOD) detection focuses mainly on building scores that efficiently distinguish OOD data from In Distribution (ID) data. On the other hand, Conformal Prediction (CP) uses non-conformity scores to construct prediction sets with probabilistic coverage guarantees. In this work, we propose to use CP to better assess the efficiency of OOD scores. Specifically, we emphasize that in standard OOD benchmark settings, evaluation metrics can be overly optimistic due to the finite sample size of the test dataset. Based on the work of (Bates et al., 2022), we define new conformal AUROC and conformal FRP@TPR95 metrics, which are corrections that provide probabilistic conservativeness guarantees on the variability of these metrics. We show the effect of these corrections on two reference OOD and anomaly detection benchmarks, OpenOOD (Yang et al., 2022) and ADBench (Han et al., 2022). We also show that the benefits of using OOD together with CP apply the other way around by using OOD scores as non-conformity scores, which results in improving upon current CP methods. One of the key messages of these contributions is that since OOD is concerned with designing scores and CP with interpreting these scores, the two fields may be inherently intertwined.
Key facts. Cited by 7 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 27 of its 41 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Mar 2024.
Builds on
27 of 41 references.
References · 27
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15 more
- 2022ViM: Out-Of-Distribution with Virtual-logit Matchingcited by 404
- 2020Classification with Valid and Adaptive Coveragecited by 390
- 2020Uncertainty Sets for Image Classifiers using Conformal Predictioncited by 365
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- 2019SelectiveNet: A Deep Neural Network with an Integrated Reject Optioncited by 333
- 2016Least Ambiguous Set-Valued Classifiers with Bounded Error Levelscited by 270
- 2022OpenOOD: Benchmarking Generalized Out-of-Distribution Detectioncited by 267
- 2022ADBench: Anomaly Detection Benchmarkcited by 230
- 2022Extremely Simple Activation Shaping for Out-of-Distribution Detectioncited by 212
- 2021Testing for Outliers with Conformal p-valuescited by 133
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Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2024: 1; 2025: 3; 2026: 3.
7 papers.
- 2025Out-of-Distribution Detection for Safety Assurance of AI and Autonomous Systemscited by 2
- 2024Thinking in Groups: Permutation Tests Reveal Near-Out-of-Distributioncited by 1
- 2026Geometrically Constrained Outlier Synthesiscited by 1
- 2025Uncertainty-Aware Concept Bottleneck Models with Enhanced Interpretabilitycited by 0
- 2025General OOD Detection via Model-aware and Subspace-aware Variable Prioritycited by 0
- 2026Softmax is not Enough (for Adaptive Conformal Classification)cited by 0
- 2026Beyond a Single Signal: SPECTREG2, A Unified MultiExpert Anomaly Detector for Unknown Unknownscited by 0
- 2026Beyond a Single Signal: SPECTREG2, A Unified MultiExpert Anomaly Detector for Unknown Unknowns22 Mar 2026
- 2026Geometrically Constrained Outlier Synthesis9 Mar 2026
- 2026Softmax is not Enough (for Adaptive Conformal Classification)23 Feb 2026
- 2025General OOD Detection via Model-aware and Subspace-aware Variable Priority15 Dec 2025
- 2025Out-of-Distribution Detection for Safety Assurance of AI and Autonomous Systems24 Oct 2025
- 2025Uncertainty-Aware Concept Bottleneck Models with Enhanced Interpretability1 Oct 2025
- 2024Thinking in Groups: Permutation Tests Reveal Near-Out-of-Distribution21 Mar 2024