Adaptation with Self-Evaluation to Improve Selective Prediction in LLMs
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Abstract (arXiv)
Large language models (LLMs) have recently shown great advances in a variety of tasks, including natural language understanding and generation. However, their use in high-stakes decision-making scenarios is still limited due to the potential for errors. Selective prediction is a technique that can be used to improve the reliability of the LLMs by allowing them to abstain from making predictions when they are unsure of the answer. In this work, we propose a novel framework for adaptation with self-evaluation to improve the selective prediction performance of LLMs. Our framework is based on the idea of using parameter-efficient tuning to adapt the LLM to the specific task at hand while improving its ability to perform self-evaluation. We evaluate our method on a variety of question-answering (QA) datasets and show that it outperforms state-of-the-art selective prediction methods. For example, on the CoQA benchmark, our method improves the AUACC from 91.23% to 92.63% and improves the AUROC from 74.61% to 80.25%.
Key facts. Cited by 49 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 22 of its 34 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Oct 2023.
Builds on
22 of 34 references.
References · 22
- 2017Attention Is All You Needcited by 59,932
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- 2022Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 5,601
- 2022PaLM: Scaling Language Modeling with Pathwayscited by 5,304
- 2016SQuAD: 100,000+ Questions for Machine Comprehension of Textcited by 4,115
- 2021The Power of Scale for Parameter-Efficient Prompt Tuningcited by 3,769
- 2022OPT: Open Pre-trained Transformer Language Modelscited by 3,464
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- 2022Large Language Models Encode Clinical Knowledgecited by 1,807
- 2022Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Knowcited by 1,783
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- 2017Selective Classification for Deep Neural Networkscited by 799
- 2021GPT Understands, Toocited by 715
- 2021P-Tuning v2: Prompt Tuning Can Be Comparable to Fine-tuning Universally Across Scales and Taskscited by 686
- 2018CoQA: A Conversational Question Answering Challengecited by 674
- 2023Benchmarking Large Language Models for News Summarizationcited by 444
- 2020How Can We Know When Language Models Know? On the Calibration of Language Models for Question Answeringcited by 439
- 2022Prompting GPT-3 To Be Reliablecited by 258
- 2022Out-of-Distribution Detection and Selective Generation for Conditional Language Modelscited by 193
- 2023Planning with Large Language Models for Code Generationcited by 179
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Citing papers per year: 2023: 1; 2024: 20; 2025: 17; 2026: 11.
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- 2025Variational Visual Question Answering for Uncertainty-Aware Selective Predictioncited by 5
- 2026On Calibration of Large Language Models: From Response To Capabilitycited by 5
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- 2026Is This Your Final Answer? Cross-Contextual Consistency as a Measure of LLM Credibility10 Aug 2026
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- 2026SIEVES: Selective Prediction Generalizes through Visual Evidence Scoring28 Apr 2026
- 2026Rationale Matters: Learning Transferable Rubrics via Proxy-Guided Critique for VLM Reward Models17 Mar 2026
- 2026End-to-End Chatbot Evaluation with Adaptive Reasoning and Uncertainty Filtering11 Mar 2026
- 2026On Calibration of Large Language Models: From Response To Capability14 Feb 2026
- 2026SCOPE: Selective Conformal Optimized Pairwise LLM Judging13 Feb 2026
- 2025Scoring, Reasoning, and Selecting the Best! Ensembling Large Language Models via a Peer-Review Process29 Dec 2025
37 more
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- 2025Reliable Inference in Edge-Cloud Model Cascades via Conformal Alignment20 Oct 2025
- 2025Self-Filtered Distillation with LLMs-generated Trust Indicators for Reliable Patent Classification6 Oct 2025
- 2025PIE: Performance Interval Estimation for Free-Form Generation Tasks9 Sep 2025
- 2025The Confidence Paradox: Can LLM Know When It's Wrong30 Jun 2025
- 2025The Consistency Hypothesis in Uncertainty Quantification for Large Language Models27 Jun 2025
- 2025From Calibration to Collaboration: LLM Uncertainty Quantification Should Be More Human-Centered9 Jun 2025
- 2025Loki's Dance of Illusions: A Comprehensive Survey of Hallucination in Large Language Models6 Jun 2025
- 2025High Accuracy, Less Talk (HALT): Reliable LLMs through Capability-Aligned Finetuning4 Jun 2025
- 2025Variational Visual Question Answering for Uncertainty-Aware Selective Prediction14 May 2025
- 2025Bottom-Up Synthesis of Knowledge-Grounded Task-Oriented Dialogues with Iteratively Self-Refined Prompts19 Apr 2025
- 2025Line of Duty: Evaluating LLM Self-Knowledge via Consistency in Feasibility Boundaries14 Mar 2025
- 2025Eliciting Language Model Behaviors with Investigator Agents3 Feb 2025
- 2025SETS: Leveraging Self-Verification and Self-Correction for Improved Test-Time Scaling31 Jan 2025
- 2025SUGAR: Leveraging Contextual Confidence for Smarter Retrieval9 Jan 2025
- 2024LLMs-as-Judges: A Comprehensive Survey on LLM-based Evaluation Methods7 Dec 2024
- 2024Efficiently Deploying LLMs with Controlled Risk3 Oct 2024
- 2024A Survey on the Honesty of Large Language Models27 Sep 2024
- 2024The Craft of Selective Prediction: Towards Reliable Case Outcome Classification -- An Empirical Study on European Court of Human Rights Cases27 Sep 2024
- 2024Know Your Limits: A Survey of Abstention in Large Language Models25 Jul 2024
- 2024Grounding and Evaluation for Large Language Models: Practical Challenges and Lessons Learned (Survey)10 Jul 2024
- 2024Attribute or Abstain: Large Language Models as Long Document Assistants10 Jul 2024
- 2024Teaching LLMs to Abstain across Languages via Multilingual Feedback22 Jun 2024
- 2024InternalInspector I2: Robust Confidence Estimation in LLMs through Internal States17 Jun 2024
- 2024Balancing Rigor and Utility: Mitigating Cognitive Biases in Large Language Models for Multiple-Choice Questions16 Jun 2024
- 2024Trustworthy and Practical AI for Healthcare: A Guided Deferral System with Large Language Models11 Jun 2024
- 2024Perception of Knowledge Boundary for Large Language Models through Semi-open-ended Question Answering23 May 2024
- 2024Topic Classification of Case Law Using a Large Language Model and a New Taxonomy for UK Law: AI Insights into Summary Judgment21 May 2024
- 2024Conformal Alignment: Knowing When to Trust Foundation Models with Guarantees16 May 2024
- 2024Overview of the EHRSQL 2024 Shared Task on Reliable Text-to-SQL Modeling on Electronic Health Records4 May 2024
- 2024LLMs' Reading Comprehension Is Affected by Parametric Knowledge and Struggles with Hypothetical Statements9 Apr 2024
- 2024Enabling Weak LLMs to Judge Response Reliability via Meta Ranking19 Feb 2024
- 2024Self-Alignment for Factuality: Mitigating Hallucinations in LLMs via Self-Evaluation14 Feb 2024
- 2024Recursive Chain-of-Feedback Prevents Performance Degradation from Redundant Prompting5 Feb 2024
- 2024Narrowing the Knowledge Evaluation Gap: Open-Domain Question Answering with Multi-Granularity Answers9 Jan 2024
- 2023Effective Large Language Model Adaptation for Improved Grounding and Citation Generation16 Nov 2023
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- 2025Variational Visual Question Answering for Uncertainty-Aware Selective Predictioncited by 5
- 2025Scoring, Reasoning, and Selecting the Best! Ensembling Large Language Models via a Peer-Review Processcited by 4
- 2024Recursive Chain-of-Feedback Prevents Performance Degradation from Redundant Promptingcited by 3
- 2026End-to-End Chatbot Evaluation with Adaptive Reasoning and Uncertainty Filteringcited by 0
- 2026End-to-End Chatbot Evaluation with Adaptive Reasoning and Uncertainty Filtering11 Mar 2026
- 2025Scoring, Reasoning, and Selecting the Best! Ensembling Large Language Models via a Peer-Review Process29 Dec 2025
- 2025Variational Visual Question Answering for Uncertainty-Aware Selective Prediction14 May 2025
- 2025SETS: Leveraging Self-Verification and Self-Correction for Improved Test-Time Scaling31 Jan 2025
- 2024Recursive Chain-of-Feedback Prevents Performance Degradation from Redundant Prompting5 Feb 2024
- 2024Self-Alignment for Factuality: Mitigating Hallucinations in LLMs via Self-Evaluationcited by 79
- 2024Conformal Alignment: Knowing When to Trust Foundation Models with Guaranteescited by 50
- 2024A Survey on the Honesty of Large Language Modelscited by 21
- 2026Aligning Language Models with Selective Predictioncited by 1
- 2026Aligning Language Models with Selective Prediction3 Jul 2026
- 2024A Survey on the Honesty of Large Language Models27 Sep 2024
- 2024Conformal Alignment: Knowing When to Trust Foundation Models with Guarantees16 May 2024
- 2024Self-Alignment for Factuality: Mitigating Hallucinations in LLMs via Self-Evaluation14 Feb 2024
- 2026Rationale Matters: Learning Transferable Rubrics via Proxy-Guided Critique for VLM Reward Modelscited by 3
- 2026SIEVES: Selective Prediction Generalizes through Visual Evidence Scoringcited by 1
- 2025Improving VQA Reliability: A Dual-Assessment Approach with Self-Reflection and Cross-Model Verificationcited by 0
- 2026Pro-Router: Token-Aware Progressive Model Routing with Adaptive Edge-Cloud Collaboration for Efficient Multimodal LLM Inferencecited by 0
- 2026Pro-Router: Token-Aware Progressive Model Routing with Adaptive Edge-Cloud Collaboration for Efficient Multimodal LLM Inference28 Aug 2026
- 2026SIEVES: Selective Prediction Generalizes through Visual Evidence Scoring28 Apr 2026
- 2026Rationale Matters: Learning Transferable Rubrics via Proxy-Guided Critique for VLM Reward Models17 Mar 2026
- 2025Improving VQA Reliability: A Dual-Assessment Approach with Self-Reflection and Cross-Model Verification16 Dec 2025
- 2025Eliciting Language Model Behaviors with Investigator Agentscited by 21
- 2024LLMs-as-Judges: A Comprehensive Survey on LLM-based Evaluation Methodscited by 451
- 2024Know Your Limits: A Survey of Abstention in Large Language Modelscited by 116
- 2023Effective Large Language Model Adaptation for Improved Grounding and Citation Generationcited by 44
- 2024InternalInspector I2: Robust Confidence Estimation in LLMs through Internal Statescited by 29
- 2025From Calibration to Collaboration: LLM Uncertainty Quantification Should Be More Human-Centeredcited by 21
- 2024Perception of Knowledge Boundary for Large Language Models through Semi-open-ended Question Answeringcited by 20
- 2024Grounding and Evaluation for Large Language Models: Practical Challenges and Lessons Learned (Survey)cited by 20
- 2024Narrowing the Knowledge Evaluation Gap: Open-Domain Question Answering with Multi-Granularity Answerscited by 18
- 2024Trustworthy and Practical AI for Healthcare: A Guided Deferral System with Large Language Modelscited by 16
- 2024Teaching LLMs to Abstain across Languages via Multilingual Feedbackcited by 14
- 2024LLMs' Reading Comprehension Is Affected by Parametric Knowledge and Struggles with Hypothetical Statementscited by 12
- 2026SCOPE: Selective Conformal Optimized Pairwise LLM Judgingcited by 12
12 most cited of 34 All 34 (JSON)
- 2026Calibrated Decisions at Scale: Converting Police Crash Narratives into Probabilistic Crash Variables with a System One Model (Jev)21 Sep 2026
- 2026Multi-Expert Conformal Risk Control for Pairwise LLM Judging in Open-Ended Dialogue27 Aug 2026
- 2026Is This Your Final Answer? Cross-Contextual Consistency as a Measure of LLM Credibility10 Aug 2026
- 2026Evaluation Pitfalls and Sparsity Limitations in LLM-based Confidence Estimates for Classification5 Aug 2026
- 2026On Calibration of Large Language Models: From Response To Capability14 Feb 2026
- 2026SCOPE: Selective Conformal Optimized Pairwise LLM Judging13 Feb 2026
- 2025WebDevJudge: Evaluating (M)LLMs as Critiques for Web Development Quality21 Oct 2025
- 2025Reliable Inference in Edge-Cloud Model Cascades via Conformal Alignment20 Oct 2025
- 2025Self-Filtered Distillation with LLMs-generated Trust Indicators for Reliable Patent Classification6 Oct 2025
- 2025PIE: Performance Interval Estimation for Free-Form Generation Tasks9 Sep 2025
- 2025The Confidence Paradox: Can LLM Know When It's Wrong30 Jun 2025
- 2025The Consistency Hypothesis in Uncertainty Quantification for Large Language Models27 Jun 2025
12 newest of 34 All 34 (JSON)