Counterfactual Multihop QA: A Cause-Effect Approach for Reducing Disconnected Reasoning
On the map: LLM reasoning → Causal reasoning in LLMs
Abstract (arXiv)
Multi-hop QA requires reasoning over multiple supporting facts to answer the question. However, the existing QA models always rely on shortcuts, e.g., providing the true answer by only one fact, rather than multi-hop reasoning, which is referred as textitdisconnected reasoning problem. To alleviate this issue, we propose a novel counterfactual multihop QA, a causal-effect approach that enables to reduce the disconnected reasoning. It builds upon explicitly modeling of causality: 1) the direct causal effects of disconnected reasoning and 2) the causal effect of true multi-hop reasoning from the total causal effect. With the causal graph, a counterfactual inference is proposed to disentangle the disconnected reasoning from the total causal effect, which provides us a new perspective and technology to learn a QA model that exploits the true multi-hop reasoning instead of shortcuts. Extensive experiments have conducted on the benchmark HotpotQA dataset, which demonstrate that the proposed method can achieve notable improvement on reducing disconnected reasoning. For example, our method achieves 5.8% higher points of its Supps score on HotpotQA through true multihop reasoning. The code is available at supplementary material.
Key facts. Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Causal reasoning in LLMs, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 32 of its 48 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 13 Oct 2022.
Builds on
32 of 48 references.
References · 32
- 2018BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understandingcited by 40,204
- 2020Dense Passage Retrieval for Open-Domain Question Answeringcited by 3,779
- 2018HotpotQA: A Dataset for Diverse, Explainable Multi-hop Question Answeringcited by 3,686
- 2019XLNet: Generalized Autoregressive Pretraining for Language Understandingcited by 2,801
- 2020Big Bird: Transformers for Longer Sequencescited by 1,673
- 2020Constructing A Multi-hop QA Dataset for Comprehensive Evaluation of Reasoning Stepscited by 1,259
- 2020Leveraging Passage Retrieval with Generative Models for Open Domain Question Answeringcited by 1,203
- 2013Direct and Indirect Effectscited by 276
- 2020Counterfactual VQA: A Cause-Effect Look at Language Biascited by 266
- 2020Answering Complex Open-Domain Questions with Multi-Hop Dense Retrievalcited by 160
- 2019Learning to Retrieve Reasoning Paths over Wikipedia Graph for Question Answeringcited by 147
- 2019Multi-hop Reading Comprehension through Question Decomposition and Rescoringcited by 119
20 more
- 2021Counterfactual Attention Learning for Fine-Grained Visual Categorization and Re-identificationcited by 114
- 2021Causal Attention for Vision-Language Taskscited by 111
- 2019Compositional Questions Do Not Necessitate Multi-hop Reasoningcited by 87
- 2019Hierarchical Graph Network for Multi-hop Question Answeringcited by 83
- 2021Causal Attention for Unbiased Visual Recognitioncited by 80
- 2019Cognitive Graph for Multi-Hop Reading Comprehension at Scalecited by 65
- 2019Dynamically Fused Graph Network for Multi-hop Reasoningcited by 63
- 2019Avoiding Reasoning Shortcuts: Adversarial Evaluation, Training, and Model Development for Multi-Hop QAcited by 63
- 2019Answering Complex Open-domain Questions Through Iterative Query Generationcited by 60
- 2019Revealing the Importance of Semantic Retrieval for Machine Reading at Scalecited by 50
- 2019Multi-hop Question Answering via Reasoning Chainscited by 42
- 2019Answering while Summarizing: Multi-task Learning for Multi-hop QA with Evidence Extractioncited by 39
- 2021Adaptive Information Seeking for Open-Domain Question Answeringcited by 29
- 2020A Simple Yet Strong Pipeline for HotpotQAcited by 24
- 2022Modeling Multi-hop Question Answering as Single Sequence Predictioncited by 21
- 2019Multi-step Entity-centric Information Retrieval for Multi-Hop Question Answeringcited by 20
- 2021Connecting Attributions and QA Model Behavior on Realistic Counterfactualscited by 20
- 2020HopRetriever: Retrieve Hops over Wikipedia to Answer Complex Questionscited by 19
- 2021Cross-Domain Empirical Risk Minimization for Unbiased Long-tailed Classificationcited by 19
- 2021Robustifying Multi-hop QA through Pseudo-Evidentiality Trainingcited by 13
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2024: 4; 2025: 0; 2026: 2.
6 papers.
- 2024Causal Prompting: Debiasing Large Language Model Prompting based on Front-Door Adjustmentcited by 29
- 2024Lost in the Middle, and In-Between: Enhancing Language Models' Ability to Reason Over Long Contexts in Multi-Hop QAcited by 13
- 2024DINER: Debiasing Aspect-based Sentiment Analysis with Multi-variable Causal Inferencecited by 3
- 2024ACCORD: Closing the Commonsense Measurability Gapcited by 1
- 2026CompactRAG: Reducing LLM Calls and Token Overhead in Multi-Hop Question Answeringcited by 1
- 2026Dr. Free: You Don't Need Difficulty Rewards for Self-Evolving Search Agentscited by 0
- 2026Dr. Free: You Don't Need Difficulty Rewards for Self-Evolving Search Agents27 Sep 2026
- 2026CompactRAG: Reducing LLM Calls and Token Overhead in Multi-Hop Question Answering5 Feb 2026
- 2024Lost in the Middle, and In-Between: Enhancing Language Models' Ability to Reason Over Long Contexts in Multi-Hop QA13 Dec 2024
- 2024ACCORD: Closing the Commonsense Measurability Gap4 Jun 2024
- 2024Causal Prompting: Debiasing Large Language Model Prompting based on Front-Door Adjustment5 Mar 2024
- 2024DINER: Debiasing Aspect-based Sentiment Analysis with Multi-variable Causal Inference2 Mar 2024
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2026Better Think Thrice: Learning to Reason Causally with Double Counterfactual Consistency
- 2025CounterBench: Evaluating and Improving Counterfactual Reasoning in Large Language Models
- 2025Compressed Causal Reasoning: Quantization and GraphRAG Effects on Interventional and Counterfactual Accuracy
- 2025Executable Counterfactuals: Improving LLMs' Causal Reasoning Through Code
- 2026The Illusion of textitWhat If: Evaluating the Breakdown of Counterfactual Reasoning in LLMs
- 2026CRiT-QA: Evaluating Multi-hop Reasoning with Counterfactual Chains and Distractor Traps
- 2024Causal Walk: Debiasing Multi-Hop Fact Verification with Front-Door Adjustment
- 2025Causal-Counterfactual RAG: The Integration of Causal-Counterfactual Reasoning into RAG