A Causal Analysis of Harm
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Abstract (arXiv)
As autonomous systems rapidly become ubiquitous, there is a growing need for a legal and regulatory framework to address when and how such a system harms someone. There have been several attempts within the philosophy literature to define harm, but none of them has proven capable of dealing with with the many examples that have been presented, leading some to suggest that the notion of harm should be abandoned and "replaced by more well-behaved notions". As harm is generally something that is caused, most of these definitions have involved causality at some level. Yet surprisingly, none of them makes use of causal models and the definitions of actual causality that they can express. In this paper we formally define a qualitative notion of harm that uses causal models and is based on a well-known definition of actual causality (Halpern, 2016). The key novelty of our definition is that it is based on contrastive causation and uses a default utility to which the utility of actual outcomes is compared. We show that our definition is able to handle the examples from the literature, and illustrate its importance for reasoning about situations involving autonomous systems.
Key facts. Cited by 15 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 6 of its 48 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 11 Oct 2022.
Builds on
6 of 48 references.
References · 6
- 2018Abstracting Causal Modelscited by 104
- 2015A Modification of the Halpern-Pearl Definition of Causalitycited by 47
- 2021Causal Sufficiency and Actual Causationcited by 29
- 2022Counterfactual harmcited by 29
- 2013Graded Causation and Defaultscited by 13
- 2022Quantifying Harmcited by 10
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Citing papers per year: 2023: 2; 2024: 8; 2025: 3; 2026: 2.
15 papers.
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- 2024Towards Guaranteed Safe AI: A Framework for Ensuring Robust and Reliable AI Systemscited by 94
- 2024Controlling Counterfactual Harm in Decision Support Systems Based on Prediction Setscited by 9
- 2024SkiLD: Unsupervised Skill Discovery Guided by Factor Interactionscited by 9
- 2023A Measure-Theoretic Axiomatisation of Causalitycited by 8
- 2024On the Pros and Cons of Active Learning for Moral Preference Elicitationcited by 6
- 2024Harm Mitigation in Recommender Systems under User Preference Dynamicscited by 5
- 2024Counterfactual Effect Decomposition in Multi-Agent Sequential Decision Makingcited by 4
- 2025The Limits of Predicting Agents from Behaviourcited by 3
- 2023Analyzing Intentional Behavior in Autonomous Agents under Uncertaintycited by 2
- 2024Nondeterministic Causal Modelscited by 2
- 2024Matchings, Predictions and Counterfactual Harm in Refugee Resettlement Processescited by 1
- 2025Towards Developing Ethical Reasoners: Integrating Probabilistic Reasoning and Decision-Making for Complex AI Systemscited by 1
3 more
- 2025A Counterfactual Cause in Situation Calculuscited by 0
- 2026Actual causality in fault treescited by 0
- 2026Path-specific harm decomposition: A partial identification frameworkcited by 0
- 2026Path-specific harm decomposition: A partial identification framework24 Sep 2026
- 2026Actual causality in fault trees2 Jul 2026
- 2025The Limits of Predicting Agents from Behaviour3 Jun 2025
- 2025Towards Developing Ethical Reasoners: Integrating Probabilistic Reasoning and Decision-Making for Complex AI Systems28 Feb 2025
- 2025A Counterfactual Cause in Situation Calculus12 Jan 2025
- 2024SkiLD: Unsupervised Skill Discovery Guided by Factor Interactions24 Oct 2024
- 2024Counterfactual Effect Decomposition in Multi-Agent Sequential Decision Making16 Oct 2024
- 2024On the Pros and Cons of Active Learning for Moral Preference Elicitation26 Jul 2024
- 2024Harm Mitigation in Recommender Systems under User Preference Dynamics14 Jun 2024
- 2024Controlling Counterfactual Harm in Decision Support Systems Based on Prediction Sets10 Jun 2024
- 2024Matchings, Predictions and Counterfactual Harm in Refugee Resettlement Processes24 May 2024
- 2024Nondeterministic Causal Models22 May 2024
3 more
- 2024Controlling Counterfactual Harm in Decision Support Systems Based on Prediction Setscited by 9
- 2024SkiLD: Unsupervised Skill Discovery Guided by Factor Interactionscited by 9
- 2023A Measure-Theoretic Axiomatisation of Causalitycited by 8
- 2024On the Pros and Cons of Active Learning for Moral Preference Elicitationcited by 6
- 2024Harm Mitigation in Recommender Systems under User Preference Dynamicscited by 5
- 2025The Limits of Predicting Agents from Behaviourcited by 3
- 2023Analyzing Intentional Behavior in Autonomous Agents under Uncertaintycited by 2
- 2024Nondeterministic Causal Modelscited by 2
- 2024Matchings, Predictions and Counterfactual Harm in Refugee Resettlement Processescited by 1
- 2025Towards Developing Ethical Reasoners: Integrating Probabilistic Reasoning and Decision-Making for Complex AI Systemscited by 1
- 2025A Counterfactual Cause in Situation Calculuscited by 0
- 2026Actual causality in fault treescited by 0
12 most cited of 13 All 13 (JSON)
- 2026Path-specific harm decomposition: A partial identification framework24 Sep 2026
- 2026Actual causality in fault trees2 Jul 2026
- 2025The Limits of Predicting Agents from Behaviour3 Jun 2025
- 2025Towards Developing Ethical Reasoners: Integrating Probabilistic Reasoning and Decision-Making for Complex AI Systems28 Feb 2025
- 2025A Counterfactual Cause in Situation Calculus12 Jan 2025
- 2024SkiLD: Unsupervised Skill Discovery Guided by Factor Interactions24 Oct 2024
- 2024On the Pros and Cons of Active Learning for Moral Preference Elicitation26 Jul 2024
- 2024Harm Mitigation in Recommender Systems under User Preference Dynamics14 Jun 2024
- 2024Controlling Counterfactual Harm in Decision Support Systems Based on Prediction Sets10 Jun 2024
- 2024Matchings, Predictions and Counterfactual Harm in Refugee Resettlement Processes24 May 2024
- 2024Nondeterministic Causal Models22 May 2024
- 2023Analyzing Intentional Behavior in Autonomous Agents under Uncertainty4 Jul 2023
12 newest of 13 All 13 (JSON)