Scalable Uncertainty Quantification for Deep Operator Networks using Randomized Priors
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Abstract (arXiv)
We present a simple and effective approach for posterior uncertainty quantification in deep operator networks (DeepONets); an emerging paradigm for supervised learning in function spaces. We adopt a frequentist approach based on randomized prior ensembles, and put forth an efficient vectorized implementation for fast parallel inference on accelerated hardware. Through a collection of representative examples in computational mechanics and climate modeling, we show that the merits of the proposed approach are fourfold. (1) It can provide more robust and accurate predictions when compared against deterministic DeepONets. (2) It shows great capability in providing reliable uncertainty estimates on scarce data-sets with multi-scale function pairs. (3) It can effectively detect out-of-distribution and adversarial examples. (4) It can seamlessly quantify uncertainty due to model bias, as well as noise corruption in the data. Finally, we provide an optimized JAX library called em UQDeepONet that can accommodate large model architectures, large ensemble sizes, as well as large data-sets with excellent parallel performance on accelerated hardware, thereby enabling uncertainty quantification for DeepONets in realistic large-scale applications.
Key facts. Cited by 39 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 32 of its 69 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 6 Mar 2022.
Builds on
32 of 69 references.
References · 32
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- 2018Neural Tangent Kernel: Convergence and Generalization in Neural Networkscited by 2,597
- 2017What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?cited by 2,335
- 2019DeepONet: Learning nonlinear operators for identifying differential equations based on the universal approximation theorem of operatorscited by 1,965
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- 2019A Simple Baseline for Bayesian Uncertainty in Deep Learningcited by 555
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- 2015Weight Uncertainty in Neural Networkscited by 554
- 2017Solving high-dimensional partial differential equations using deep learningcited by 549
- 2016Deep Exploration via Bootstrapped DQNcited by 518
- 2019Deep Ensembles: A Loss Landscape Perspectivecited by 438
- 2021Neural Operator: Learning Maps Between Function Spacescited by 413
- 2020B-PINNs: Bayesian Physics-Informed Neural Networks for Forward and Inverse PDE Problems with Noisy Datacited by 329
- 2015Scalable Bayesian Optimization Using Deep Neural Networkscited by 284
- 2020On the eigenvector bias of Fourier feature networks: From regression to solving multi-scale PDEs with physics-informed neural networkscited by 279
- 2018Randomized Prior Functions for Deep Reinforcement Learningcited by 218
- 2017Hidden Physics Models: Machine Learning of Nonlinear Partial Differential Equationscited by 208
- 2022Uncertainty Quantification in Scientific Machine Learning: Methods, Metrics, and Comparisonscited by 169
- 2018Deep Bayesian Bandits Showdown: An Empirical Comparison of Bayesian Deep Networks for Thompson Samplingcited by 166
- 2018Adversarial Uncertainty Quantification in Physics-Informed Neural Networkscited by 120
- 2021Improved architectures and training algorithms for deep operator networkscited by 85
- 2018Quantifying Uncertainties in Natural Language Processing Taskscited by 79
- 2022DeepONet-Grid-UQ: A Trustworthy Deep Operator Framework for Predicting the Power Grid's Post-Fault Trajectoriescited by 30
- 2021Accelerated replica exchange stochastic gradient Langevin diffusion enhanced Bayesian DeepONet for solving noisy parametric PDEscited by 22
- 2018Physics-informed deep generative modelscited by 16
- 2021Output-Weighted Sampling for Multi-Armed Bandits with Extreme Payoffscited by 5
- 2019n-MeRCI: A new Metric to Evaluate the Correlation Between Predictive Uncertainty and True Errorcited by 2
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 5; 2023: 9; 2024: 10; 2025: 11; 2026: 4.
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- 2022Multifidelity deep neural operators for efficient learning of partial differential equations with application to fast inverse design of nanoscale heat transportcited by 92
- 2022Reliable extrapolation of deep neural operators informed by physics or sparse observationscited by 62
- 2022NeuralUQ: A comprehensive library for uncertainty quantification in neural differential equations and operatorscited by 33
- 2023Uncertainty quantification for noisy inputs-outputs in physics-informed neural networks and neural operatorscited by 28
- 2024RiemannONets: Interpretable Neural Operators for Riemann Problemscited by 28
- 2024Conformalized-DeepONet: A Distribution-Free Framework for Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Operator Networkscited by 28
- 2022Variationally Mimetic Operator Networkscited by 19
- 2023IB-UQ: Information bottleneck based uncertainty quantification for neural function regression and neural operator learningcited by 18
- 2023D2NO: Efficient Handling of Heterogeneous Input Function Spaces with Distributed Deep Neural Operatorscited by 18
- 2024Using Uncertainty Quantification to Characterize and Improve Out-of-Domain Learning for PDEscited by 14
- 2023On Approximating the Dynamic Response of Synchronous Generators via Operator Learning: A Step Towards Building Deep Operator-based Power Grid Simulatorscited by 13
- 2025Active operator learning with predictive uncertainty quantification for partial differential equationscited by 12
27 more
- 2022Variational Bayes Deep Operator Network: A data-driven Bayesian solver for parametric differential equationscited by 11
- 2024Composite Bayesian Optimization In Function Spaces Using NEON -- Neural Epistemic Operator Networkscited by 10
- 2024Federated scientific machine learning for approximating functions and solving differential equations with data heterogeneitycited by 8
- 2025Guaranteed prediction sets for functional surrogate modelscited by 7
- 2023A hybrid Decoder-DeepONet operator regression framework for unaligned observation datacited by 6
- 2024Time-Series Forecasting, Knowledge Distillation, and Refinement within a Multimodal PDE Foundation Modelcited by 6
- 2023Randomized prior wavelet neural operator for uncertainty quantificationcited by 4
- 2023Multi-fidelity climate model parameterization for better generalization and extrapolationcited by 4
- 2024Uncertainty quantification for deeponets with ensemble kalman inversioncited by 4
- 2024Alpha-VI DeepONet: A prior-robust variational Bayesian approach for enhancing DeepONets with uncertainty quantificationcited by 4
- 2025E-PINNs: Epistemic Physics-Informed Neural Networkscited by 4
- 2025Cauchy Random Features for Operator Learning in Sobolev Spacecited by 3
- 2025Conformalized-KANs: Uncertainty Quantification with Coverage Guarantees for Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) in Scientific Machine Learningcited by 3
- 2023Scalable Bayesian optimization with high-dimensional outputs using randomized prior networkscited by 2
- 2024Learning Latent Space Dynamics with Model-Form Uncertainties: A Stochastic Reduced-Order Modeling Approachcited by 2
- 2024Empowering Bayesian Neural Networks with Functional Priors through Anchored Ensembling for Mechanics Surrogate Modeling Applicationscited by 2
- 2025Probabilistic Predictions of Process-Induced Deformation in Carbon/Epoxy Composites Using a Deep Operator Networkcited by 2
- 2025Towards Robust Surrogate Models: Benchmarking Machine Learning Approaches to Expediting Phase Field Simulations of Brittle Fracturecited by 1
- 2025LVM-GP: Uncertainty-Aware PDE Solver via coupling latent variable model and Gaussian processcited by 1
- 2025Deep set based operator learning with uncertainty quantificationcited by 1
- 2026Uncertainty-Aware Data-Based Method for Fast and Reliable Shape Optimizationcited by 1
- 2026Diffusion-Based Stochastic Operator Networks for Uncertainty Quantification in Stochastic Partial Differential Equationscited by 1
- 2026GeoQ: Geometry-Aware Conditional Quantile Error Estimation for Scientific Surrogate Modelscited by 1
- 2023Ensemble models outperform single model uncertainties and predictions for operator-learning of hypersonic flowscited by 0
- 2025An optimal Petrov-Galerkin framework for operator networkscited by 0
- 2025Active Learning Design: Modeling Force Output for Axisymmetric Soft Pneumatic Actuatorscited by 0
- 2026Two-Step MV-DeepONet: Probabilistic Operator Learning for Uncertainty Propagation Driven by Random Input Fieldscited by 0
- 2026GeoQ: Geometry-Aware Conditional Quantile Error Estimation for Scientific Surrogate Models21 Aug 2026
- 2026Two-Step MV-DeepONet: Probabilistic Operator Learning for Uncertainty Propagation Driven by Random Input Fields10 Aug 2026
- 2026Diffusion-Based Stochastic Operator Networks for Uncertainty Quantification in Stochastic Partial Differential Equations16 May 2026
- 2026Uncertainty-Aware Data-Based Method for Fast and Reliable Shape Optimization29 Jan 2026
- 2025Probabilistic Predictions of Process-Induced Deformation in Carbon/Epoxy Composites Using a Deep Operator Network15 Dec 2025
- 2025Deep set based operator learning with uncertainty quantification30 Sep 2025
- 2025LVM-GP: Uncertainty-Aware PDE Solver via coupling latent variable model and Gaussian process30 Jul 2025
- 2025Towards Robust Surrogate Models: Benchmarking Machine Learning Approaches to Expediting Phase Field Simulations of Brittle Fracture9 Jul 2025
- 2025Conformalized-KANs: Uncertainty Quantification with Coverage Guarantees for Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) in Scientific Machine Learning21 Apr 2025
- 2025Active Learning Design: Modeling Force Output for Axisymmetric Soft Pneumatic Actuators1 Apr 2025
- 2025E-PINNs: Epistemic Physics-Informed Neural Networks25 Mar 2025
- 2025An optimal Petrov-Galerkin framework for operator networks6 Mar 2025
27 more
- 2025Active operator learning with predictive uncertainty quantification for partial differential equations5 Mar 2025
- 2025Cauchy Random Features for Operator Learning in Sobolev Space1 Mar 2025
- 2025Guaranteed prediction sets for functional surrogate models30 Jan 2025
- 2024Federated scientific machine learning for approximating functions and solving differential equations with data heterogeneity17 Oct 2024
- 2024Time-Series Forecasting, Knowledge Distillation, and Refinement within a Multimodal PDE Foundation Model17 Sep 2024
- 2024Empowering Bayesian Neural Networks with Functional Priors through Anchored Ensembling for Mechanics Surrogate Modeling Applications8 Sep 2024
- 2024Learning Latent Space Dynamics with Model-Form Uncertainties: A Stochastic Reduced-Order Modeling Approach30 Aug 2024
- 2024Alpha-VI DeepONet: A prior-robust variational Bayesian approach for enhancing DeepONets with uncertainty quantification1 Aug 2024
- 2024Composite Bayesian Optimization In Function Spaces Using NEON -- Neural Epistemic Operator Networks3 Apr 2024
- 2024Using Uncertainty Quantification to Characterize and Improve Out-of-Domain Learning for PDEs15 Mar 2024
- 2024Uncertainty quantification for deeponets with ensemble kalman inversion6 Mar 2024
- 2024Conformalized-DeepONet: A Distribution-Free Framework for Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Operator Networks23 Feb 2024
- 2024RiemannONets: Interpretable Neural Operators for Riemann Problems16 Jan 2024
- 2023Uncertainty quantification for noisy inputs-outputs in physics-informed neural networks and neural operators19 Nov 2023
- 2023Ensemble models outperform single model uncertainties and predictions for operator-learning of hypersonic flows31 Oct 2023
- 2023D2NO: Efficient Handling of Heterogeneous Input Function Spaces with Distributed Deep Neural Operators29 Oct 2023
- 2023Multi-fidelity climate model parameterization for better generalization and extrapolation19 Sep 2023
- 2023A hybrid Decoder-DeepONet operator regression framework for unaligned observation data18 Aug 2023
- 2023Scalable Bayesian optimization with high-dimensional outputs using randomized prior networks14 Feb 2023
- 2023IB-UQ: Information bottleneck based uncertainty quantification for neural function regression and neural operator learning7 Feb 2023
- 2023Randomized prior wavelet neural operator for uncertainty quantification2 Feb 2023
- 2023On Approximating the Dynamic Response of Synchronous Generators via Operator Learning: A Step Towards Building Deep Operator-based Power Grid Simulators29 Jan 2023
- 2022Reliable extrapolation of deep neural operators informed by physics or sparse observations13 Dec 2022
- 2022Variationally Mimetic Operator Networks26 Sep 2022
- 2022NeuralUQ: A comprehensive library for uncertainty quantification in neural differential equations and operators25 Aug 2022
- 2022Variational Bayes Deep Operator Network: A data-driven Bayesian solver for parametric differential equations12 Jun 2022
- 2022Multifidelity deep neural operators for efficient learning of partial differential equations with application to fast inverse design of nanoscale heat transport14 Apr 2022
- 2022Multifidelity deep neural operators for efficient learning of partial differential equations with application to fast inverse design of nanoscale heat transportcited by 92
- 2022Reliable extrapolation of deep neural operators informed by physics or sparse observationscited by 62
- 2022NeuralUQ: A comprehensive library for uncertainty quantification in neural differential equations and operatorscited by 33
- 2023Uncertainty quantification for noisy inputs-outputs in physics-informed neural networks and neural operatorscited by 28
- 2024RiemannONets: Interpretable Neural Operators for Riemann Problemscited by 28
- 2024Conformalized-DeepONet: A Distribution-Free Framework for Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Operator Networkscited by 28
- 2022Variationally Mimetic Operator Networkscited by 19
- 2023IB-UQ: Information bottleneck based uncertainty quantification for neural function regression and neural operator learningcited by 18
- 2023D2NO: Efficient Handling of Heterogeneous Input Function Spaces with Distributed Deep Neural Operatorscited by 18
- 2024Using Uncertainty Quantification to Characterize and Improve Out-of-Domain Learning for PDEscited by 14
- 2023On Approximating the Dynamic Response of Synchronous Generators via Operator Learning: A Step Towards Building Deep Operator-based Power Grid Simulatorscited by 13
- 2025Active operator learning with predictive uncertainty quantification for partial differential equationscited by 12
12 most cited of 39 All 39 (JSON)
- 2026GeoQ: Geometry-Aware Conditional Quantile Error Estimation for Scientific Surrogate Models21 Aug 2026
- 2026Two-Step MV-DeepONet: Probabilistic Operator Learning for Uncertainty Propagation Driven by Random Input Fields10 Aug 2026
- 2026Diffusion-Based Stochastic Operator Networks for Uncertainty Quantification in Stochastic Partial Differential Equations16 May 2026
- 2026Uncertainty-Aware Data-Based Method for Fast and Reliable Shape Optimization29 Jan 2026
- 2025Probabilistic Predictions of Process-Induced Deformation in Carbon/Epoxy Composites Using a Deep Operator Network15 Dec 2025
- 2025Deep set based operator learning with uncertainty quantification30 Sep 2025
- 2025LVM-GP: Uncertainty-Aware PDE Solver via coupling latent variable model and Gaussian process30 Jul 2025
- 2025Towards Robust Surrogate Models: Benchmarking Machine Learning Approaches to Expediting Phase Field Simulations of Brittle Fracture9 Jul 2025
- 2025Conformalized-KANs: Uncertainty Quantification with Coverage Guarantees for Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) in Scientific Machine Learning21 Apr 2025
- 2025Active Learning Design: Modeling Force Output for Axisymmetric Soft Pneumatic Actuators1 Apr 2025
- 2025E-PINNs: Epistemic Physics-Informed Neural Networks25 Mar 2025
- 2025An optimal Petrov-Galerkin framework for operator networks6 Mar 2025
12 newest of 39 All 39 (JSON)