mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Monte Carlo DropBlock for Modelling Uncertainty in Object Detection

arXiv 2108.03614 ↗First posted 8 Aug 2021cs.CVcited by 20

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Abstract (arXiv)

With the advancements made in deep learning, computer vision problems like object detection and segmentation have seen a great improvement in performance. However, in many real-world applications such as autonomous driving vehicles, the risk associated with incorrect predictions of objects is very high. Standard deep learning models for object detection such as YOLO models are often overconfident in their predictions and do not take into account the uncertainty in predictions on out-of-distribution data. In this work, we propose an efficient and effective approach to model uncertainty in object detection and segmentation tasks using Monte-Carlo DropBlock (MC-DropBlock) based inference. The proposed approach applies drop-block during training time and test time on the convolutional layer of the deep learning models such as YOLO. We show that this leads to a Bayesian convolutional neural network capable of capturing the epistemic uncertainty in the model. Additionally, we capture the aleatoric uncertainty using a Gaussian likelihood. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach on modeling uncertainty in object detection and segmentation tasks using out-of-distribution experiments. Experimental results show that MC-DropBlock improves the generalization, calibration, and uncertainty modeling capabilities of YOLO models in object detection and segmentation.

Key facts. Cited by 20 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 31 of its 58 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 Aug 2021.

Builds on

31 of 58 references.

References · 31

  1. 2014Microsoft COCO: Common Objects in Contextcited by 17,498
  2. 2015Faster R-CNN: Towards Real-Time Object Detection with Region Proposal Networkscited by 9,617
  3. 2014ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challengecited by 8,441
  4. 2020End-to-End Object Detection with Transformerscited by 7,384
  5. 2017Mask R-CNNcited by 7,259
  6. 2017On Calibration of Modern Neural Networkscited by 4,860
  7. 2015You Only Look Once: Unified, Real-Time Object Detectioncited by 4,829
  8. 2015Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learningcited by 4,416
  9. 2015SSD: Single Shot MultiBox Detectorcited by 3,125
  10. 2018YOLOv3: An Incremental Improvementcited by 2,652
  11. 2017What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?cited by 2,335
  12. 2020YOLOv4: Optimal Speed and Accuracy of Object Detectioncited by 1,624
19 more
  1. 2016Inception-v4, Inception-ResNet and the Impact of Residual Connections on Learningcited by 1,509
  2. 2016YOLO9000: Better, Faster, Strongercited by 1,429
  3. 2019Generalized Intersection over Union: A Metric and A Loss for Bounding Box Regressioncited by 1,361
  4. 2019Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty in Machine Learning: An Introduction to Concepts and Methodscited by 903
  5. 2014Deep Neural Networks are Easily Fooled: High Confidence Predictions for Unrecognizable Imagescited by 774
  6. 2021CoAtNet: Marrying Convolution and Attention for All Data Sizescited by 566
  7. 2018Predictive Uncertainty Estimation via Prior Networkscited by 555
  8. 2015Weight Uncertainty in Neural Networkscited by 554
  9. 2015Variational Dropout and the Local Reparameterization Trickcited by 489
  10. 2019YOLACT: Real-time Instance Segmentationcited by 441
  11. 2015Recent Advances in Convolutional Neural Networkscited by 360
  12. 2018DropBlock: A regularization method for convolutional networkscited by 261
  13. 2020A Review and Comparative Study on Probabilistic Object Detection in Autonomous Drivingcited by 115
  14. 2017Dropout Sampling for Robust Object Detection in Open-Set Conditionscited by 112
  15. 2019Gaussian YOLOv3: An Accurate and Fast Object Detector Using Localization Uncertainty for Autonomous Drivingcited by 105
  16. 2019BayesOD: A Bayesian Approach for Uncertainty Estimation in Deep Object Detectorscited by 68
  17. 2019Uncertainty Estimation in One-Stage Object Detectioncited by 36
  18. 2019Capturing Object Detection Uncertainty in Multi-Layer Grid Mapscited by 10
  19. 2020Stochastic-YOLO: Efficient Probabilistic Object Detection under Dataset Shiftscited by 9

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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2022: 3; 2023: 3; 2024: 8; 2025: 4; 2026: 2.

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  1. 2022VOS: Learning What You Don't Know by Virtual Outlier Synthesiscited by 300
  2. 2022Unknown-Aware Object Detection: Learning What You Don't Know from Videos in the Wildcited by 70
  3. 2024Adaptive Bounding Box Uncertainties via Two-Step Conformal Predictioncited by 23
  4. 2023Confident Object Detection via Conformal Prediction and Conformal Risk Control: an Application to Railway Signalingcited by 22
  5. 2025Evaluating Uncertainty and Quality of Vision-Language-Action-enabled Robotscited by 17
  6. 2023Normalizing Flow based Feature Synthesis for Outlier-Aware Object Detectioncited by 16
  7. 2024Can OOD Object Detectors Learn from Foundation Models?cited by 10
  8. 2024Explaining Predictive Uncertainty by Exposing Second-Order Effectscited by 9
  9. 2023Conformal Prediction for Trustworthy Detection of Railway Signalscited by 7
  10. 2024Bounding Box Stability against Feature Dropout Reflects Detector Generalization across Environmentscited by 6
  11. 2025Robust Vision-Based Runway Detection through Conformal Prediction and Conformal mAPcited by 5
  12. 2022Identifying Out-of-Distribution Samples in Real-Time for Safety-Critical 2D Object Detection with Margin Entropy Losscited by 3
8 more
  1. 2024Segmenting Medical Images with Limited Datacited by 3
  2. 2024An End-to-End Real-World Camera Imaging Pipelinecited by 3
  3. 2025HybridFlow: Quantification of Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty with a Single Hybrid Modelcited by 3
  4. 2024Beyond Conformal Predictors: Adaptive Conformal Inference with Confidence Predictorscited by 2
  5. 2024Teaching with Uncertainty: Unleashing the Potential of Knowledge Distillation in Object Detectioncited by 1
  6. 2025Towards Reliable Test-Time Adaptation: Style Invariance as a Correctness Likelihoodcited by 1
  7. 2026Monte Carlo Stochastic Depth for Uncertainty Estimation in Deep Learningcited by 0
  8. 2026Instance-Level Post Hoc Uncertainty Quantification in Object Detectioncited by 0