Interventional Sum-Product Networks: Causal Inference with Tractable Probabilistic Models
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Abstract (arXiv)
While probabilistic models are an important tool for studying causality, doing so suffers from the intractability of inference. As a step towards tractable causal models, we consider the problem of learning interventional distributions using sum-product networks (SPNs) that are over-parameterized by gate functions, e.g., neural networks. Providing an arbitrarily intervened causal graph as input, effectively subsuming Pearl's do-operator, the gate function predicts the parameters of the SPN. The resulting interventional SPNs are motivated and illustrated by a structural causal model themed around personal health. Our empirical evaluation on three benchmark data sets as well as a synthetic health data set clearly demonstrates that interventional SPNs indeed are both expressive in modelling and flexible in adapting to the interventions.
Key facts. Cited by 22 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 24 of its 59 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 20 Feb 2021.
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24 of 59 references.
References · 24
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- 2015MADE: Masked Autoencoder for Distribution Estimationcited by 307
- 2019Causality for Machine Learningcited by 243
- 2020Differentiable Causal Discovery from Interventional Datacited by 218
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12 more
- 2020CausalML: Python Package for Causal Machine Learningcited by 74
- 2015Learning Causal Graphs with Small Interventionscited by 63
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 4; 2022: 4; 2023: 5; 2024: 4; 2025: 2; 2026: 3.
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- 2023Causal Parrots: Large Language Models May Talk Causality But Are Not Causalcited by 150
- 2022Can Foundation Models Talk Causality?cited by 30
- 2023Modeling Causal Mechanisms with Diffusion Models for Interventional and Counterfactual Queriescited by 24
- 2021HyperSPNs: Compact and Expressive Probabilistic Circuitscited by 14
- 2023Compositional Probabilistic and Causal Inference using Tractable Circuit Modelscited by 10
- 2024A Compositional Atlas for Algebraic Circuitscited by 10
- 2025Scaling Probabilistic Circuits via Monarch Matricescited by 9
- 2023Characteristic Circuitscited by 8
- 2024Restructuring Tractable Probabilistic Circuitscited by 7
- 2024Conditional Generative Models are Sufficient to Sample from Any Causal Effect Estimandcited by 4
- 2025CausalMan: A physics-based simulator for large-scale causalitycited by 4
- 2022Pearl Causal Hierarchy on Image Data: Intricacies & Challengescited by 3
10 more
- 2024chiSPN: Characteristic Interventional Sum-Product Networks for Causal Inference in Hybrid Domainscited by 3
- 2022GT-CausIn: a novel causal-based insight for traffic predictioncited by 2
- 2026Context-specific Credibility-aware Multimodal Fusion with Conditional Probabilistic Circuitscited by 2
- 2021Explaining Deep Tractable Probabilistic Models: The sum-product network casecited by 1
- 2021A Taxonomy for Inference in Causal Model Familiescited by 1
- 2021The Causal Loss: Driving Correlation to Imply Causationcited by 1
- 2026Geometry-Aware Probabilistic Circuits via Voronoi Tessellationscited by 1
- 2022Continual Causal Abstractionscited by 0
- 2023MCNS: Mining Causal Natural Structures Inside Time Series via A Novel Internal Causality Schemecited by 0
- 2026Interventional Causal Circuits for Safe Robot Action Testing and Failure Recoverycited by 0
- 2026Interventional Causal Circuits for Safe Robot Action Testing and Failure Recovery16 Jul 2026
- 2026Context-specific Credibility-aware Multimodal Fusion with Conditional Probabilistic Circuits27 Mar 2026
- 2026Geometry-Aware Probabilistic Circuits via Voronoi Tessellations12 Mar 2026
- 2025Scaling Probabilistic Circuits via Monarch Matrices14 Jun 2025
- 2025CausalMan: A physics-based simulator for large-scale causality18 Feb 2025
- 2024A Compositional Atlas for Algebraic Circuits7 Dec 2024
- 2024Restructuring Tractable Probabilistic Circuits19 Nov 2024
- 2024chiSPN: Characteristic Interventional Sum-Product Networks for Causal Inference in Hybrid Domains14 Aug 2024
- 2024Conditional Generative Models are Sufficient to Sample from Any Causal Effect Estimand12 Feb 2024
- 2023Characteristic Circuits12 Dec 2023
- 2023MCNS: Mining Causal Natural Structures Inside Time Series via A Novel Internal Causality Scheme13 Sep 2023
- 2023Causal Parrots: Large Language Models May Talk Causality But Are Not Causal24 Aug 2023
10 more
- 2023Compositional Probabilistic and Causal Inference using Tractable Circuit Models17 Apr 2023
- 2023Modeling Causal Mechanisms with Diffusion Models for Interventional and Counterfactual Queries2 Feb 2023
- 2022Continual Causal Abstractions23 Dec 2022
- 2022Pearl Causal Hierarchy on Image Data: Intricacies & Challenges23 Dec 2022
- 2022GT-CausIn: a novel causal-based insight for traffic prediction12 Dec 2022
- 2022Can Foundation Models Talk Causality?14 Jun 2022
- 2021HyperSPNs: Compact and Expressive Probabilistic Circuits2 Dec 2021
- 2021The Causal Loss: Driving Correlation to Imply Causation22 Oct 2021
- 2021A Taxonomy for Inference in Causal Model Families22 Oct 2021
- 2021Explaining Deep Tractable Probabilistic Models: The sum-product network case19 Oct 2021
- 2023Causal Parrots: Large Language Models May Talk Causality But Are Not Causalcited by 150
- 2022Can Foundation Models Talk Causality?cited by 30
- 2021HyperSPNs: Compact and Expressive Probabilistic Circuitscited by 14
- 2023Compositional Probabilistic and Causal Inference using Tractable Circuit Modelscited by 10
- 2024A Compositional Atlas for Algebraic Circuitscited by 10
- 2025Scaling Probabilistic Circuits via Monarch Matricescited by 9
- 2023Characteristic Circuitscited by 8
- 2024Restructuring Tractable Probabilistic Circuitscited by 7
- 2024Conditional Generative Models are Sufficient to Sample from Any Causal Effect Estimandcited by 4
- 2025CausalMan: A physics-based simulator for large-scale causalitycited by 4
- 2022Pearl Causal Hierarchy on Image Data: Intricacies & Challengescited by 3
- 2024chiSPN: Characteristic Interventional Sum-Product Networks for Causal Inference in Hybrid Domainscited by 3
12 most cited of 21 All 21 (JSON)
- 2026Interventional Causal Circuits for Safe Robot Action Testing and Failure Recovery16 Jul 2026
- 2026Context-specific Credibility-aware Multimodal Fusion with Conditional Probabilistic Circuits27 Mar 2026
- 2026Geometry-Aware Probabilistic Circuits via Voronoi Tessellations12 Mar 2026
- 2025Scaling Probabilistic Circuits via Monarch Matrices14 Jun 2025
- 2025CausalMan: A physics-based simulator for large-scale causality18 Feb 2025
- 2024A Compositional Atlas for Algebraic Circuits7 Dec 2024
- 2024Restructuring Tractable Probabilistic Circuits19 Nov 2024
- 2024chiSPN: Characteristic Interventional Sum-Product Networks for Causal Inference in Hybrid Domains14 Aug 2024
- 2024Conditional Generative Models are Sufficient to Sample from Any Causal Effect Estimand12 Feb 2024
- 2023Characteristic Circuits12 Dec 2023
- 2023MCNS: Mining Causal Natural Structures Inside Time Series via A Novel Internal Causality Scheme13 Sep 2023
- 2023Causal Parrots: Large Language Models May Talk Causality But Are Not Causal24 Aug 2023
12 newest of 21 All 21 (JSON)