MCNS: Mining Causal Natural Structures Inside Time Series via A Novel Internal Causality Scheme
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Abstract (arXiv)
Causal inference permits us to discover covert relationships of various variables in time series. However, in most existing works, the variables mentioned above are the dimensions. The causality between dimensions could be cursory, which hinders the comprehension of the internal relationship and the benefit of the causal graph to the neural networks (NNs). In this paper, we find that causality exists not only outside but also inside the time series because it reflects a succession of events in the real world. It inspires us to seek the relationship between internal subsequences. However, the challenges are the hardship of discovering causality from subsequences and utilizing the causal natural structures to improve NNs. To address these challenges, we propose a novel framework called Mining Causal Natural Structure (MCNS), which is automatic and domain-agnostic and helps to find the causal natural structures inside time series via the internal causality scheme. We evaluate the MCNS framework and impregnation NN with MCNS on time series classification tasks. Experimental results illustrate that our impregnation, by refining attention, shape selection classification, and pruning datasets, drives NN, even the data itself preferable accuracy and interpretability. Besides, MCNS provides an in-depth, solid summary of the time series and datasets.
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References · 13
- 2019Attention is not Explanationcited by 916
- 2018The UCR Time Series Archivecited by 421
- 2021Causal Abstractions of Neural Networkscited by 401
- 2019Is Attention Interpretable?cited by 387
- 2020High-recall causal discovery for autocorrelated time series with latent confounderscited by 82
- 2019Time Series Deconfounder: Estimating Treatment Effects over Time in the Presence of Hidden Confounderscited by 74
- 2017Toeplitz Inverse Covariance-Based Clustering of Multivariate Time Series Datacited by 47
- 2019Causal Discovery and Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments with State-Space Modelscited by 45
- 2021Interventional Sum-Product Networks: Causal Inference with Tractable Probabilistic Modelscited by 22
- 2021Causal Hidden Markov Model for Time Series Disease Forecastingcited by 19
- 2020Causal Inference of Script Knowledgecited by 17
- 2021Everything Has a Cause: Leveraging Causal Inference in Legal Text Analysiscited by 14
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