Amortized Causal Discovery: Learning to Infer Causal Graphs from Time-Series Data
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Abstract (arXiv)
On time-series data, most causal discovery methods fit a new model whenever they encounter samples from a new underlying causal graph. However, these samples often share relevant information which is lost when following this approach. Specifically, different samples may share the dynamics which describe the effects of their causal relations. We propose Amortized Causal Discovery, a novel framework that leverages such shared dynamics to learn to infer causal relations from time-series data. This enables us to train a single, amortized model that infers causal relations across samples with different underlying causal graphs, and thus leverages the shared dynamics information. We demonstrate experimentally that this approach, implemented as a variational model, leads to significant improvements in causal discovery performance, and show how it can be extended to perform well under added noise and hidden confounding.
Key facts. Cited by 99 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 18 Jun 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 13; 2022: 14; 2023: 27; 2024: 19; 2025: 13; 2026: 13.
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- 2026CDFM: Towards a General-Purpose Causal Discovery Foundation Model13 Jul 2026
- 2026Integrating Causal DAGs in Deep RL: Activating Minimal Markovian States with Multi-Order Exposure8 May 2026
- 2026TTCD:Transformer Integrated Temporal Causal Discovery from Non-Stationary Time Series Data27 Apr 2026
- 2026Causal-INSIGHT: Probing Temporal Models to Extract Causal Structure26 Mar 2026
- 2026Enes Causal Discovery25 Mar 2026
- 2026Causal Transfer in Medical Image Analysis25 Mar 2026
- 2026Disentangling Dynamical Systems: Causal Representation Learning Meets Local Sparse Attention15 Mar 2026
- 2026Distributed Dynamic Invariant Causal Prediction in Environmental Time Series3 Mar 2026
- 2026Large Causal Models for Temporal Causal Discovery20 Feb 2026
- 2026Your Autoregressive Model Already Reveals the Causal Graph1 Feb 2026
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