Learning to Combat Compounding-Error in Model-Based Reinforcement Learning
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Abstract (arXiv)
Despite its potential to improve sample complexity versus model-free approaches, model-based reinforcement learning can fail catastrophically if the model is inaccurate. An algorithm should ideally be able to trust an imperfect model over a reasonably long planning horizon, and only rely on model-free updates when the model errors get infeasibly large. In this paper, we investigate techniques for choosing the planning horizon on a state-dependent basis, where a state's planning horizon is determined by the maximum cumulative model error around that state. We demonstrate that these state-dependent model errors can be learned with Temporal Difference methods, based on a novel approach of temporally decomposing the cumulative model errors. Experimental results show that the proposed method can successfully adapt the planning horizon to account for state-dependent model accuracy, significantly improving the efficiency of policy learning compared to model-based and model-free baselines.
Key facts. Cited by 39 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 24 Dec 2019.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 1; 2022: 6; 2023: 7; 2024: 10; 2025: 6; 2026: 9.
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- 2024Survey on Large Language Model-Enhanced Reinforcement Learning: Concept, Taxonomy, and Methodscited by 116
- 2023Diffusion Models for Reinforcement Learning: A Surveycited by 91
- 2023MADiff: Offline Multi-agent Learning with Diffusion Modelscited by 75
- 2025WorldGym: World Model as An Environment for Policy Evaluationcited by 64
- 2022Investigating Compounding Prediction Errors in Learned Dynamics Modelscited by 47
- 2022Deep Surrogate Assisted Generation of Environmentscited by 40
- 2024Diffusion Model Predictive Controlcited by 36
- 2024Diffusion World Model: Future Modeling Beyond Step-by-Step Rollout for Offline Reinforcement Learningcited by 31
- 2024Entropy-regularized Diffusion Policy with Q-Ensembles for Offline Reinforcement Learningcited by 31
- 2024Learning Latent Dynamic Robust Representations for World Modelscited by 21
- 2023Self-Supervised Reinforcement Learning that Transfers using Random Featurescited by 11
- 2025Implicit Search via Discrete Diffusion: A Study on Chesscited by 11
27 more
- 2022Mingling Foresight with Imagination: Model-Based Cooperative Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learningcited by 6
- 2023Diminishing Return of Value Expansion Methods in Model-Based Reinforcement Learningcited by 6
- 2024Learning to Play Atari in a World of Tokenscited by 6
- 2025First Order Model-Based RL through Decoupled Backpropagationcited by 5
- 2023Monte Carlo Tree Search in the Presence of Transition Uncertaintycited by 4
- 2022Revisiting Model-based Value Expansioncited by 3
- 2025Deep SPI: Safe Policy Improvement via World Modelscited by 3
- 2026WIMLE: Uncertainty-Aware World Models with IMLE for Sample-Efficient Continuous Controlcited by 3
- 2026Looped World Modelscited by 3
- 2021Explaining Off-Policy Actor-Critic From A Bias-Variance Perspectivecited by 2
- 2022Backward Imitation and Forward Reinforcement Learning via Bi-directional Model Rolloutscited by 2
- 2024Denoising Diffusion Planner: Learning Complex Paths from Low-Quality Demonstrationscited by 2
- 2025Learning to Walk With Less: A Dyna-Style Approach to Quadrupedal Locomotioncited by 2
- 2026Extracting Search Trees from LLM Reasoning Traces Reveals Myopic Planningcited by 2
- 2026Latent Goal Prediction from Language for Model-Based Planningcited by 2
- 2023Reinforcement Learning under External Influence: Guarantees, Algorithms, and Sample Complexitycited by 1
- 2023Multi-timestep models for Model-based Reinforcement Learningcited by 1
- 2024Deep Learning Based Simulators for the Phosphorus Removal Process Control in Wastewater Treatment via Deep Reinforcement Learning Algorithmscited by 1
- 2024Learning Long-Horizon Predictions for Quadrotor Dynamicscited by 1
- 2026Coupled Local and Global World Models for Efficient First Order RLcited by 1
- 2026Advantage-Guided Diffusion for Model-Based Reinforcement Learningcited by 1
- 2026Dream-MPC: Gradient-Based Model Predictive Control with Latent Imaginationcited by 1
- 2022Reinforcement Learning in System Identificationcited by 0
- 2024Diminishing Return of Value Expansion Methodscited by 0
- 2025Heterogeneous Decision Making in Mixed Traffic: Uncertainty-aware Planning and Bounded Rationalitycited by 0
- 2026A Pontryagin Method of Model-based Reinforcement Learning via Hamiltonian Actor-Criticcited by 0
- 2026Reinforcement Learning: From Algorithms To Foundation Modelscited by 0
- 2026Reinforcement Learning: From Algorithms To Foundation Models20 Jul 2026
- 2026Looped World Models16 Jun 2026
- 2026Latent Goal Prediction from Language for Model-Based Planning26 May 2026
- 2026Extracting Search Trees from LLM Reasoning Traces Reveals Myopic Planning7 May 2026
- 2026Dream-MPC: Gradient-Based Model Predictive Control with Latent Imagination6 May 2026
- 2026Advantage-Guided Diffusion for Model-Based Reinforcement Learning10 Apr 2026
- 2026A Pontryagin Method of Model-based Reinforcement Learning via Hamiltonian Actor-Critic30 Mar 2026
- 2026WIMLE: Uncertainty-Aware World Models with IMLE for Sample-Efficient Continuous Control15 Feb 2026
- 2026Coupled Local and Global World Models for Efficient First Order RL5 Feb 2026
- 2025Deep SPI: Safe Policy Improvement via World Models14 Oct 2025
- 2025Learning to Walk With Less: A Dyna-Style Approach to Quadrupedal Locomotion8 Sep 2025
- 2025First Order Model-Based RL through Decoupled Backpropagation29 Aug 2025
27 more
- 2025WorldGym: World Model as An Environment for Policy Evaluation31 May 2025
- 2025Implicit Search via Discrete Diffusion: A Study on Chess27 Feb 2025
- 2025Heterogeneous Decision Making in Mixed Traffic: Uncertainty-aware Planning and Bounded Rationality25 Feb 2025
- 2024Diminishing Return of Value Expansion Methods29 Dec 2024
- 2024Denoising Diffusion Planner: Learning Complex Paths from Low-Quality Demonstrations28 Oct 2024
- 2024Diffusion Model Predictive Control7 Oct 2024
- 2024Learning Long-Horizon Predictions for Quadrotor Dynamics17 Jul 2024
- 2024Learning to Play Atari in a World of Tokens3 Jun 2024
- 2024Learning Latent Dynamic Robust Representations for World Models10 May 2024
- 2024Survey on Large Language Model-Enhanced Reinforcement Learning: Concept, Taxonomy, and Methods30 Mar 2024
- 2024Entropy-regularized Diffusion Policy with Q-Ensembles for Offline Reinforcement Learning6 Feb 2024
- 2024Diffusion World Model: Future Modeling Beyond Step-by-Step Rollout for Offline Reinforcement Learning5 Feb 2024
- 2024Deep Learning Based Simulators for the Phosphorus Removal Process Control in Wastewater Treatment via Deep Reinforcement Learning Algorithms23 Jan 2024
- 2023Monte Carlo Tree Search in the Presence of Transition Uncertainty18 Dec 2023
- 2023Diffusion Models for Reinforcement Learning: A Survey2 Nov 2023
- 2023Multi-timestep models for Model-based Reinforcement Learning9 Oct 2023
- 2023MADiff: Offline Multi-agent Learning with Diffusion Models27 May 2023
- 2023Self-Supervised Reinforcement Learning that Transfers using Random Features26 May 2023
- 2023Reinforcement Learning under External Influence: Guarantees, Algorithms, and Sample Complexity25 May 2023
- 2023Diminishing Return of Value Expansion Methods in Model-Based Reinforcement Learning7 Mar 2023
- 2022Reinforcement Learning in System Identification14 Dec 2022
- 2022Backward Imitation and Forward Reinforcement Learning via Bi-directional Model Rollouts4 Aug 2022
- 2022Deep Surrogate Assisted Generation of Environments9 Jun 2022
- 2022Mingling Foresight with Imagination: Model-Based Cooperative Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning20 Apr 2022
- 2022Revisiting Model-based Value Expansion28 Mar 2022
- 2022Investigating Compounding Prediction Errors in Learned Dynamics Models17 Mar 2022
- 2021Explaining Off-Policy Actor-Critic From A Bias-Variance Perspective6 Oct 2021
- 2025WorldGym: World Model as An Environment for Policy Evaluationcited by 64
- 2024Diffusion World Model: Future Modeling Beyond Step-by-Step Rollout for Offline Reinforcement Learningcited by 31
- 2024Learning Latent Dynamic Robust Representations for World Modelscited by 21
- 2024Learning to Play Atari in a World of Tokenscited by 6
- 2025Deep SPI: Safe Policy Improvement via World Modelscited by 3
- 2026WIMLE: Uncertainty-Aware World Models with IMLE for Sample-Efficient Continuous Controlcited by 3
- 2026Looped World Modelscited by 3
- 2026Latent Goal Prediction from Language for Model-Based Planningcited by 2
- 2026Coupled Local and Global World Models for Efficient First Order RLcited by 1
- 2026Advantage-Guided Diffusion for Model-Based Reinforcement Learningcited by 1
- 2026Reinforcement Learning: From Algorithms To Foundation Modelscited by 0
- 2026Reinforcement Learning: From Algorithms To Foundation Models20 Jul 2026
- 2026Looped World Models16 Jun 2026
- 2026Latent Goal Prediction from Language for Model-Based Planning26 May 2026
- 2026Advantage-Guided Diffusion for Model-Based Reinforcement Learning10 Apr 2026
- 2026WIMLE: Uncertainty-Aware World Models with IMLE for Sample-Efficient Continuous Control15 Feb 2026
- 2026Coupled Local and Global World Models for Efficient First Order RL5 Feb 2026
- 2025Deep SPI: Safe Policy Improvement via World Models14 Oct 2025
- 2025WorldGym: World Model as An Environment for Policy Evaluation31 May 2025
- 2024Learning to Play Atari in a World of Tokens3 Jun 2024
- 2024Learning Latent Dynamic Robust Representations for World Models10 May 2024
- 2024Diffusion World Model: Future Modeling Beyond Step-by-Step Rollout for Offline Reinforcement Learning5 Feb 2024
- 2025First Order Model-Based RL through Decoupled Backpropagationcited by 5
- 2025Learning to Walk With Less: A Dyna-Style Approach to Quadrupedal Locomotioncited by 2
- 2024Deep Learning Based Simulators for the Phosphorus Removal Process Control in Wastewater Treatment via Deep Reinforcement Learning Algorithmscited by 1
- 2026Dream-MPC: Gradient-Based Model Predictive Control with Latent Imaginationcited by 1
- 2024Diminishing Return of Value Expansion Methodscited by 0
- 2026A Pontryagin Method of Model-based Reinforcement Learning via Hamiltonian Actor-Criticcited by 0
- 2026Dream-MPC: Gradient-Based Model Predictive Control with Latent Imagination6 May 2026
- 2026A Pontryagin Method of Model-based Reinforcement Learning via Hamiltonian Actor-Critic30 Mar 2026
- 2025Learning to Walk With Less: A Dyna-Style Approach to Quadrupedal Locomotion8 Sep 2025
- 2025First Order Model-Based RL through Decoupled Backpropagation29 Aug 2025
- 2024Diminishing Return of Value Expansion Methods29 Dec 2024
- 2024Deep Learning Based Simulators for the Phosphorus Removal Process Control in Wastewater Treatment via Deep Reinforcement Learning Algorithms23 Jan 2024
- 2023Diffusion Models for Reinforcement Learning: A Surveycited by 91
- 2023MADiff: Offline Multi-agent Learning with Diffusion Modelscited by 75
- 2024Diffusion Model Predictive Controlcited by 36
- 2024Entropy-regularized Diffusion Policy with Q-Ensembles for Offline Reinforcement Learningcited by 31
- 2025Implicit Search via Discrete Diffusion: A Study on Chesscited by 11
- 2024Denoising Diffusion Planner: Learning Complex Paths from Low-Quality Demonstrationscited by 2
- 2025Implicit Search via Discrete Diffusion: A Study on Chess27 Feb 2025
- 2024Denoising Diffusion Planner: Learning Complex Paths from Low-Quality Demonstrations28 Oct 2024
- 2024Diffusion Model Predictive Control7 Oct 2024
- 2024Entropy-regularized Diffusion Policy with Q-Ensembles for Offline Reinforcement Learning6 Feb 2024
- 2023Diffusion Models for Reinforcement Learning: A Survey2 Nov 2023
- 2023MADiff: Offline Multi-agent Learning with Diffusion Models27 May 2023
- 2024Survey on Large Language Model-Enhanced Reinforcement Learning: Concept, Taxonomy, and Methodscited by 116
- 2022Investigating Compounding Prediction Errors in Learned Dynamics Modelscited by 47
- 2022Deep Surrogate Assisted Generation of Environmentscited by 40
- 2023Self-Supervised Reinforcement Learning that Transfers using Random Featurescited by 11
- 2022Mingling Foresight with Imagination: Model-Based Cooperative Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learningcited by 6
- 2023Diminishing Return of Value Expansion Methods in Model-Based Reinforcement Learningcited by 6
- 2023Monte Carlo Tree Search in the Presence of Transition Uncertaintycited by 4
- 2022Revisiting Model-based Value Expansioncited by 3
- 2021Explaining Off-Policy Actor-Critic From A Bias-Variance Perspectivecited by 2
- 2022Backward Imitation and Forward Reinforcement Learning via Bi-directional Model Rolloutscited by 2
- 2023Reinforcement Learning under External Influence: Guarantees, Algorithms, and Sample Complexitycited by 1
- 2024Learning Long-Horizon Predictions for Quadrotor Dynamicscited by 1
12 most cited of 14 All 14 (JSON)
- 2025Heterogeneous Decision Making in Mixed Traffic: Uncertainty-aware Planning and Bounded Rationality25 Feb 2025
- 2024Learning Long-Horizon Predictions for Quadrotor Dynamics17 Jul 2024
- 2024Survey on Large Language Model-Enhanced Reinforcement Learning: Concept, Taxonomy, and Methods30 Mar 2024
- 2023Monte Carlo Tree Search in the Presence of Transition Uncertainty18 Dec 2023
- 2023Self-Supervised Reinforcement Learning that Transfers using Random Features26 May 2023
- 2023Reinforcement Learning under External Influence: Guarantees, Algorithms, and Sample Complexity25 May 2023
- 2023Diminishing Return of Value Expansion Methods in Model-Based Reinforcement Learning7 Mar 2023
- 2022Reinforcement Learning in System Identification14 Dec 2022
- 2022Backward Imitation and Forward Reinforcement Learning via Bi-directional Model Rollouts4 Aug 2022
- 2022Deep Surrogate Assisted Generation of Environments9 Jun 2022
- 2022Mingling Foresight with Imagination: Model-Based Cooperative Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning20 Apr 2022
- 2022Revisiting Model-based Value Expansion28 Mar 2022
12 newest of 14 All 14 (JSON)