Machine Learning Methods Economists Should Know About
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Abstract (arXiv)
We discuss the relevance of the recent Machine Learning (ML) literature for economics and econometrics. First we discuss the differences in goals, methods and settings between the ML literature and the traditional econometrics and statistics literatures. Then we discuss some specific methods from the machine learning literature that we view as important for empirical researchers in economics. These include supervised learning methods for regression and classification, unsupervised learning methods, as well as matrix completion methods. Finally, we highlight newly developed methods at the intersection of ML and econometrics, methods that typically perform better than either off-the-shelf ML or more traditional econometric methods when applied to particular classes of problems, problems that include causal inference for average treatment effects, optimal policy estimation, and estimation of the counterfactual effect of price changes in consumer choice models.
Key facts. Cited by 63 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 24 Mar 2019.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 10; 2022: 15; 2023: 12; 2024: 9; 2025: 6; 2026: 11.
63 papers.
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- 2022Leakage and the Reproducibility Crisis in ML-based Sciencecited by 63
- 2021Evaluating Treatment Prioritization Rules via Rank-Weighted Average Treatment Effectscited by 29
- 2021Causal Decision Making and Causal Effect Estimation Are Not the Same... and Why It Matterscited by 25
- 2022Validating Causal Inference Methodscited by 20
- 2023The Relative Value of Prediction in Algorithmic Decision Makingcited by 14
- 2023REFORMS: Reporting Standards for Machine Learning Based Sciencecited by 13
- 2022Generalization in Neural Networks: A Broad Surveycited by 11
- 2022A Survey of Deep Causal Models and Their Industrial Applicationscited by 10
- 2021Deconfounding Scores: Feature Representations for Causal Effect Estimation with Weak Overlapcited by 9
- 2023Counterfactual Situation Testing: Uncovering Discrimination under Fairness given the Differencecited by 8
- 2023Machine Learning Who to Nudge: Causal vs Predictive Targeting in a Field Experiment on Student Financial Aid Renewalcited by 8
- 2024Can LLMs Learn Macroeconomic Narratives from Social Media?cited by 7
38 more
- 2024Mining Causality: AI-Assisted Search for Instrumental Variablescited by 7
- 2025Causal Inference on Outcomes Learned from Textcited by 6
- 2021CausalNLP: A Practical Toolkit for Causal Inference with Textcited by 5
- 2021Disaggregated Interventions to Reduce Inequalitycited by 5
- 2022On the Pointwise Behavior of Recursive Partitioning and Its Implications for Heterogeneous Causal Effect Estimationcited by 5
- 2024LABOR-LLM: Language-Based Occupational Representations with Large Language Modelscited by 5
- 2022Meta-Learners for Estimation of Causal Effects: Finite Sample Cross-Fit Performancecited by 4
- 2023Monotonicity for AI ethics and society: An empirical study of the monotonic neural additive model in criminology, education, health care, and financecited by 4
- 2024Deep Learning for Economistscited by 4
- 2021Distribution Shift in Airline Customer Behavior during COVID-19cited by 3
- 2022Macroeconomic Predictions using Payments Data and Machine Learningcited by 3
- 2025Moments of Causal Effectscited by 3
- 2024Calibrating doubly-robust estimators with unbalanced treatment assignmentcited by 2
- 2025Counterfactual Situation Testing: From Single to Multidimensional Discriminationcited by 2
- 2021Business analytics meets artificial intelligence: Assessing the demand effects of discounts on Swiss train ticketscited by 1
- 2021Public Policymaking for International Agricultural Trade using Association Rules and Ensemble Machine Learningcited by 1
- 2022Who Increases Emergency Department Use? New Insights from the Oregon Health Insurance Experimentcited by 1
- 2022Cryptocurrency Valuation: An Explainable AI Approachcited by 1
- 2022Causal Ordering Without Effect Estimation: A Framework for Using Proxies in Treatment Prioritizationcited by 1
- 2022pystacked: Stacking generalization and machine learning in Statacited by 1
- 2023Recursive deep learning framework for forecasting the decadal world economic outlookcited by 1
- 2023Machine Learning for Economics Research: When What and How?cited by 1
- 2023Econometrics of Machine Learning Methods in Economic Forecastingcited by 1
- 2023Perceptions and Detection of AI Use in Manuscript Preparation for Academic Journalscited by 1
- 2024Adventures in Demand Analysis Using AIcited by 1
- 2021Use of High Dimensional Modeling for automatic variables selection: the best path algorithmcited by 0
- 2021Matrix Completion of World Tradecited by 0
- 2022Hierarchical Clustering and Matrix Completion for the Reconstruction of World Input-Output Tablescited by 0
- 2022Machine Learning based Framework for Robust Price-Sensitivity Estimation with Application to Airline Pricingcited by 0
- 2022Differentiable and Transportable Structure Learningcited by 0
- 2022The Best Path Algorithm automatic variables selection via High Dimensional Graphical Modelscited by 0
- 2023Generalized Autoregressive Score Trees and Forestscited by 0
- 2023Improving the Validity of Decision Trees as Explanationscited by 0
- 2023Machine Learning and Consumer Datacited by 0
- 2024Optimal Bias-Correction and Valid Inference in High-Dimensional Ridge Regression: A Closed-Form Solutioncited by 0
- 2024Bellwether Trades: Characteristics of Trades influential in Predicting Future Price Movements in Marketscited by 0
- 2024This Candidate is [MASK]. Prompt-based Sentiment Extraction and Reference Letterscited by 0
- 2025HMM-LSTM Fusion Model for Economic Forecastingcited by 0
50 most cited of 63 All 63 (JSON)
- 2026An End-to-End Pipeline for Causal ML with Continuous Treatments: An Application to Financial Decision Making24 Sep 2026
- 2026Explainable Machine Learning for Broadband Adoption Disparities: Tract-Level Prediction and SHAP-Based Factor Profiling29 Aug 2026
- 2026Beyond the Black Box: Interpretable Models of Human Randomisation Failures7 Aug 2026
- 2026Tabular Foundation Models for Discrete Choice Estimation14 Jul 2026
- 2026Position: Prioritize Identifying Structure, Not Complex Models, for Scientific Discovery30 May 2026
- 2026BenCSSmark: Making the Social Sciences Count in LLM Research6 May 2026
- 2026Leveraging Large Language Models for Sentiment Analysis: Multi-Modal Analysis of Decentraland's MANA Token4 Apr 2026
- 2026Integrating Unstructured Text into Causal Inference: Empirical Evidence from Real Data15 Feb 2026
- 2026AI Assisted Economics Measurement From Survey: Evidence from Public Employee Pension Choice2 Feb 2026
- 2026Assessing the informative value of macroeconomic indicators for public health forecasting21 Jan 2026
- 2026Towards Public Administration Research Based on Interpretable Machine Learning8 Jan 2026
- 2025Geopolitics, Geoeconomics, and Sovereign Risk: Different Shocks, Different Channels14 Oct 2025
38 more
- 2025Predictive economics: Rethinking economic methodology with machine learning6 Oct 2025
- 2025Moments of Causal Effects8 May 2025
- 2025Causal Inference on Outcomes Learned from Text2 Mar 2025
- 2025Counterfactual Situation Testing: From Single to Multidimensional Discrimination3 Feb 2025
- 2025HMM-LSTM Fusion Model for Economic Forecasting1 Jan 2025
- 2024Adventures in Demand Analysis Using AI31 Dec 2024
- 2024This Candidate is [MASK]. Prompt-based Sentiment Extraction and Reference Letters18 Oct 2024
- 2024Mining Causality: AI-Assisted Search for Instrumental Variables21 Sep 2024
- 2024Bellwether Trades: Characteristics of Trades influential in Predicting Future Price Movements in Markets8 Sep 2024
- 2024Deep Learning for Economists22 Jul 2024
- 2024LABOR-LLM: Language-Based Occupational Representations with Large Language Models25 Jun 2024
- 2024Can LLMs Learn Macroeconomic Narratives from Social Media?17 Jun 2024
- 2024Optimal Bias-Correction and Valid Inference in High-Dimensional Ridge Regression: A Closed-Form Solution1 May 2024
- 2024Calibrating doubly-robust estimators with unbalanced treatment assignment3 Mar 2024
- 2023The Relative Value of Prediction in Algorithmic Decision Making13 Dec 2023
- 2023Perceptions and Detection of AI Use in Manuscript Preparation for Academic Journals19 Nov 2023
- 2023Machine Learning Who to Nudge: Causal vs Predictive Targeting in a Field Experiment on Student Financial Aid Renewal12 Oct 2023
- 2023Econometrics of Machine Learning Methods in Economic Forecasting21 Aug 2023
- 2023REFORMS: Reporting Standards for Machine Learning Based Science15 Aug 2023
- 2023Machine Learning and Consumer Data25 Jun 2023
- 2023Improving the Validity of Decision Trees as Explanations11 Jun 2023
- 2023Generalized Autoregressive Score Trees and Forests30 May 2023
- 2023Machine Learning for Economics Research: When What and How?31 Mar 2023
- 2023Counterfactual Situation Testing: Uncovering Discrimination under Fairness given the Difference23 Feb 2023
- 2023Recursive deep learning framework for forecasting the decadal world economic outlook25 Jan 2023
- 2023Monotonicity for AI ethics and society: An empirical study of the monotonic neural additive model in criminology, education, health care, and finance17 Jan 2023
- 2022On the Pointwise Behavior of Recursive Partitioning and Its Implications for Heterogeneous Causal Effect Estimation19 Nov 2022
- 2022The Best Path Algorithm automatic variables selection via High Dimensional Graphical Models14 Nov 2022
- 2022A Survey of Deep Causal Models and Their Industrial Applications19 Sep 2022
- 2022Generalization in Neural Networks: A Broad Survey4 Sep 2022
- 2022Macroeconomic Predictions using Payments Data and Machine Learning2 Sep 2022
- 2022pystacked: Stacking generalization and machine learning in Stata23 Aug 2022
- 2022Leakage and the Reproducibility Crisis in ML-based Science14 Jul 2022
- 2022Causal Ordering Without Effect Estimation: A Framework for Using Proxies in Treatment Prioritization25 Jun 2022
- 2022Differentiable and Transportable Structure Learning13 Jun 2022
- 2022Machine Learning based Framework for Robust Price-Sensitivity Estimation with Application to Airline Pricing4 May 2022
- 2022Hierarchical Clustering and Matrix Completion for the Reconstruction of World Input-Output Tables16 Mar 2022
- 2022Validating Causal Inference Methods9 Feb 2022
50 newest of 63 All 63 (JSON)
- 2022Leakage and the Reproducibility Crisis in ML-based Sciencecited by 63
- 2021Evaluating Treatment Prioritization Rules via Rank-Weighted Average Treatment Effectscited by 29
- 2021Causal Decision Making and Causal Effect Estimation Are Not the Same... and Why It Matterscited by 25
- 2022Validating Causal Inference Methodscited by 20
- 2023The Relative Value of Prediction in Algorithmic Decision Makingcited by 14
- 2023REFORMS: Reporting Standards for Machine Learning Based Sciencecited by 13
- 2022Generalization in Neural Networks: A Broad Surveycited by 11
- 2022A Survey of Deep Causal Models and Their Industrial Applicationscited by 10
- 2021Deconfounding Scores: Feature Representations for Causal Effect Estimation with Weak Overlapcited by 9
- 2023Counterfactual Situation Testing: Uncovering Discrimination under Fairness given the Differencecited by 8
- 2023Machine Learning Who to Nudge: Causal vs Predictive Targeting in a Field Experiment on Student Financial Aid Renewalcited by 8
- 2024Can LLMs Learn Macroeconomic Narratives from Social Media?cited by 7
12 most cited of 63 All 63 (JSON)
- 2026An End-to-End Pipeline for Causal ML with Continuous Treatments: An Application to Financial Decision Making24 Sep 2026
- 2026Explainable Machine Learning for Broadband Adoption Disparities: Tract-Level Prediction and SHAP-Based Factor Profiling29 Aug 2026
- 2026Beyond the Black Box: Interpretable Models of Human Randomisation Failures7 Aug 2026
- 2026Tabular Foundation Models for Discrete Choice Estimation14 Jul 2026
- 2026Position: Prioritize Identifying Structure, Not Complex Models, for Scientific Discovery30 May 2026
- 2026BenCSSmark: Making the Social Sciences Count in LLM Research6 May 2026
- 2026Leveraging Large Language Models for Sentiment Analysis: Multi-Modal Analysis of Decentraland's MANA Token4 Apr 2026
- 2026Integrating Unstructured Text into Causal Inference: Empirical Evidence from Real Data15 Feb 2026
- 2026AI Assisted Economics Measurement From Survey: Evidence from Public Employee Pension Choice2 Feb 2026
- 2026Assessing the informative value of macroeconomic indicators for public health forecasting21 Jan 2026
- 2026Towards Public Administration Research Based on Interpretable Machine Learning8 Jan 2026
- 2025Geopolitics, Geoeconomics, and Sovereign Risk: Different Shocks, Different Channels14 Oct 2025
12 newest of 63 All 63 (JSON)