Finite Time Identification in Unstable Linear Systems
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Abstract (arXiv)
Identification of the parameters of stable linear dynamical systems is a well-studied problem in the literature, both in the low and high-dimensional settings. However, there are hardly any results for the unstable case, especially regarding finite time bounds. For this setting, classical results on least-squares estimation of the dynamics parameters are not applicable and therefore new concepts and technical approaches need to be developed to address the issue. Unstable linear systems arise in key real applications in control theory, econometrics, and finance. This study establishes finite time bounds for the identification error of the least-squares estimates for a fairly large class of heavy-tailed noise distributions, and transition matrices of such systems. The results relate the time length (samples) required for estimation to a function of the problem dimension and key characteristics of the true underlying transition matrix and the noise distribution. To establish them, appropriate concentration inequalities for random matrices and for sequences of martingale differences are leveraged.
Key facts. Cited by 66 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 5 Oct 2017.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 13; 2022: 14; 2023: 11; 2024: 16; 2025: 7; 2026: 5.
66 papers.
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- 2024Learning Low-dimensional Latent Dynamics from High-dimensional Observations: Non-asymptotics and Lower Bounds9 May 2024
- 2024A least-square method for non-asymptotic identification in linear switching control11 Apr 2024
- 2024Rate-Optimal Non-Asymptotics for the Quadratic Prediction Error Method11 Apr 2024
- 2024Finite Sample Frequency Domain Identification1 Apr 2024
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- 2024Sharp Rates in Dependent Learning Theory: Avoiding Sample Size Deflation for the Square Loss8 Feb 2024
- 2023From Spectral Theorem to Statistical Independence with Application to System Identification16 Oct 2023
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- 2022Statistical Learning Theory for Control: A Finite Sample Perspectivecited by 52
- 2022Learning with little mixingcited by 33
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- 2023A New Approach to Learning Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 23
- 2021Linear Systems can be Hard to Learncited by 20
- 2021Streaming Linear System Identification with Reverse Experience Replaycited by 17
- 2021Joint Learning of Linear Time-Invariant Dynamical Systemscited by 16
- 2021Task-Optimal Exploration in Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 15
- 2022Learning Mixtures of Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 15
- 2022Identifying the Dynamics of a System by Leveraging Data from Similar Systemscited by 15
- 2022Finite Sample Identification of Bilinear Dynamical Systemscited by 12
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12 most cited of 66 All 66 (JSON)
- 2026Learning Linear Systems under Heavy-Tailed Noise: A Non-Asymptotic Analysis from A Single Trajectory30 Sep 2026
- 2026A Memory Efficient Unified Algorithm for Online Learning of Linear Dynamical Systems2 Jul 2026
- 2026CLT-Optimal Parameter Error Bounds for Linear System Identification23 Apr 2026
- 2026Optimal Centered Active Excitation in Linear System Identification7 Apr 2026
- 2026Uniform error bounds for quantized dynamical models17 Feb 2026
- 2025Symmetric Linear Dynamical Systems are Learnable from Few Observations5 Dec 2025
- 2025Learning Linearized Models from Nonlinear Systems under Initialization Constraints with Finite Data8 May 2025
- 2025Boosting-Enabled Robust System Identification of Partially Observed LTI Systems Under Heavy-Tailed Noise25 Apr 2025
- 2025Subgradient Method for System Identification with Non-Smooth Objectives20 Mar 2025
- 2025End-to-End Learning Framework for Solving Non-Markovian Optimal Control7 Feb 2025
- 2025Logarithmic Regret for Nonlinear Control17 Jan 2025
- 2025Finite Sample Identification of Partially Observed Bilinear Dynamical Systems13 Jan 2025
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