Automatic Differentiation Variational Inference
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Abstract (arXiv)
Probabilistic modeling is iterative. A scientist posits a simple model, fits it to her data, refines it according to her analysis, and repeats. However, fitting complex models to large data is a bottleneck in this process. Deriving algorithms for new models can be both mathematically and computationally challenging, which makes it difficult to efficiently cycle through the steps. To this end, we develop automatic differentiation variational inference (ADVI). Using our method, the scientist only provides a probabilistic model and a dataset, nothing else. ADVI automatically derives an efficient variational inference algorithm, freeing the scientist to refine and explore many models. ADVI supports a broad class of models-no conjugacy assumptions are required. We study ADVI across ten different models and apply it to a dataset with millions of observations. ADVI is integrated into Stan, a probabilistic programming system; it is available for immediate use.
Key facts. Cited by 159 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 2 Mar 2016.
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Citing papers per year: 2020: 1; 2021: 26; 2022: 20; 2023: 33; 2024: 31; 2025: 19; 2026: 29.
159 papers.
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- 2023Provable convergence guarantees for black-box variational inferencecited by 29
- 2021Pathfinder: Parallel quasi-Newton variational inferencecited by 26
- 2023On the Convergence of Black-Box Variational Inferencecited by 22
- 2024Batch and match: black-box variational inference with a score-based divergencecited by 22
- 2026EdgeBench: Unveiling Scaling Laws of Learning from Real-World Environmentscited by 20
- 2021Amortized Variational Inference for Simple Hierarchical Modelscited by 19
- 2022Mean-field Variational Inference via Wasserstein Gradient Flowcited by 19
- 2023Black Box Variational Inference with a Deterministic Objective: Faster, More Accurate, and Even More Black Boxcited by 17
- 2023Variational Inference with Gaussian Score Matchingcited by 17
- 2023Fortuna: A Library for Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Learningcited by 14
- 2022Partitioned Variational Inference: A Framework for Probabilistic Federated Learningcited by 13
- 2021Geometric variational inferencecited by 12
38 more
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- 2024Variational Inference for Uncertainty Quantification: an Analysis of Trade-offscited by 11
- 2024EigenVI: score-based variational inference with orthogonal function expansionscited by 11
- 2023The Shrinkage-Delinkage Trade-off: An Analysis of Factorized Gaussian Approximations for Variational Inferencecited by 10
- 2023Linear Convergence of Black-Box Variational Inference: Should We Stick the Landing?cited by 10
- 2023Partially factorized variational inference for high-dimensional mixed modelscited by 10
- 2024Optimal Classification under Performative Distribution Shiftcited by 10
- 2021Automatic variational inference with cascading flowscited by 9
- 2021ARMS: Antithetic-REINFORCE-Multi-Sample Gradient for Binary Variablescited by 9
- 2022Hybridizing Physical and Data-driven Prediction Methods for Physicochemical Propertiescited by 9
- 2024Variational Inference in Location-Scale Families: Exact Recovery of the Mean and Correlation Matrixcited by 9
- 2021The computational asymptotics of Gaussian variational inference and the Laplace approximationcited by 8
- 2021Breiman's two cultures: You don't have to choose sidescited by 8
- 2024Batch, match, and patch: low-rank approximations for score-based variational inferencecited by 8
- 2021BDNNSurv: Bayesian deep neural networks for survival analysis using pseudo valuescited by 7
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- 2024Particle Semi-Implicit Variational Inferencecited by 7
- 2024What's the score? Automated Denoising Score Matching for Nonlinear Diffusionscited by 7
- 2022Foundation Posteriors for Approximate Probabilistic Inferencecited by 6
- 2022Markov Chain Score Ascent: A Unifying Framework of Variational Inference with Markovian Gradientscited by 6
- 2022Cooperation in the Latent Space: The Benefits of Adding Mixture Components in Variational Autoencoderscited by 6
- 2023Practical and Matching Gradient Variance Bounds for Black-Box Variational Bayesian Inferencecited by 6
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- 2023Embracing the chaos: analysis and diagnosis of numerical instability in variational flowscited by 6
- 2024Stable Training of Normalizing Flows for High-dimensional Variational Inferencecited by 6
- 2024On Divergence Measures for Training GFlowNetscited by 6
- 2025Variational Inference with Mixtures of Isotropic Gaussianscited by 6
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- 2023Learning to solve Bayesian inverse problems: An amortized variational inference approach using Gaussian and Flow guidescited by 5
- 2024Annealed Stein Variational Gradient Descent for Improved Uncertainty Estimation in Full-Waveform Inversioncited by 5
- 2021ADAVI: Automatic Dual Amortized Variational Inference Applied To Pyramidal Bayesian Modelscited by 4
- 2021Evaluating Sensitivity to the Stick-Breaking Prior in Bayesian Nonparametricscited by 4
- 2021CARMS: Categorical-Antithetic-REINFORCE Multi-Sample Gradient Estimatorcited by 4
- 2023Automatically Marginalized MCMC in Probabilistic Programmingcited by 4
- 2023Bayesian Pseudo-Coresets via Contrastive Divergencecited by 4
50 most cited of 159 All 159 (JSON)
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- 2026A Hybrid Nested Harness for Decoupling Structure and Parameters in LLM-Driven Optimization8 Aug 2026
- 2026PYPM-GGD: Pitman-Yor Process Mixture with Generalized Gaussian Density using ADAM27 Jul 2026
- 2026Predicting Activities in Aqueous Electrolyte Solutions with Hybrid Machine Learning21 Jul 2026
- 2026EdgeBench: Unveiling Scaling Laws of Learning from Real-World Environments6 Jul 2026
- 2026Causal Gaussian Processes for Robust Treatment Effect Evaluation with Unobserved Confounding20 Jun 2026
- 2026Overfitted high-dimensional matrix factorizations via adaptive spectral shrinkage17 Jun 2026
- 2026Integrated Marketing Attribution: A Bayesian Framework for Privacy-Safe Granular Measurement Anchored in MMM15 Jun 2026
- 2026Structured Nonparametric Variational Inference for Dependent Latent Modeling13 Jun 2026
- 2026Large-scale empirical tuning and comparison of default optimizers for variational inference5 Jun 2026
38 more
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- 2026Variational Inference for Bayesian MIDAS Regression23 Feb 2026
- 2026Stochastic Gradient Variational Inference with Price's Gradient Estimator from Bures-Wasserstein to Parameter Space21 Feb 2026
- 2026Large-scale Score-based Variational Posterior Inference for Bayesian Deep Neural Networks5 Feb 2026
- 2026A Flexible Empirical Bayes Approach to Generalized Linear Models, with Applications to Sparse Logistic Regression29 Jan 2026
- 2026Going NUTS with ADVI: Exploring various Bayesian Inference techniques with Facebook Prophet27 Jan 2026
- 2025A variational Bayes latent class approach for EHR-based patient phenotyping in R16 Dec 2025
- 2025A Novel Framework Using Variational Inference with Normalizing Flows to Train Transport Reversible Jump Proposals14 Dec 2025
- 2025Generalized Guarantees for Variational Inference in the Presence of Even and Elliptical Symmetry2 Nov 2025
- 2025Fisher meets Feynman: score-based variational inference with a product of experts24 Oct 2025
- 2025Stick-Breaking Mixture Normalizing Flows with Component-Wise Tail Adaptation for Variational Inference9 Oct 2025
- 2025metabeta -- A fast neural model for Bayesian mixed-effects regression8 Oct 2025
- 2025A theoretical framework for M-posteriors: frequentist guarantees and robustness properties1 Oct 2025
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- 2025Variational Inference with Mixtures of Isotropic Gaussians16 Jun 2025
- 2025Testing Hypotheses of Covariate Effects on Topics of Discourse5 Jun 2025
- 2025Nearly Dimension-Independent Convergence of Mean-Field Black-Box Variational Inference27 May 2025
- 2025Normalizing Flow Regression for Bayesian Inference with Offline Likelihood Evaluations15 Apr 2025
- 2025An Image is Worth K Topics: A Visual Structural Topic Model with Pretrained Image Embeddings14 Apr 2025
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- 2025DeepRV: Accelerating Spatiotemporal Inference with Pre-trained Neural Priors27 Mar 2025
- 2025Understanding the Trade-offs in Accuracy and Uncertainty Quantification: Architecture and Inference Choices in Bayesian Neural Networks14 Mar 2025
- 2025Seeded Poisson Factorization: leveraging domain knowledge to fit topic models4 Mar 2025
- 2024Optimal Classification under Performative Distribution Shift4 Nov 2024
- 2024EigenVI: score-based variational inference with orthogonal function expansions31 Oct 2024
50 newest of 159 All 159 (JSON)
- 2024What's the score? Automated Denoising Score Matching for Nonlinear Diffusions10 Jul 2024
- 2024Demystifying SGD with Doubly Stochastic Gradients3 Jun 2024
- 2023Diffusion models for probabilistic programming1 Nov 2023
- 2020A similarity-based Bayesian mixture-of-experts modelcited by 3
- 2020A similarity-based Bayesian mixture-of-experts model3 Dec 2020
- 2023Provable convergence guarantees for black-box variational inferencecited by 29
- 2021Pathfinder: Parallel quasi-Newton variational inferencecited by 26
- 2023On the Convergence of Black-Box Variational Inferencecited by 22
- 2024Batch and match: black-box variational inference with a score-based divergencecited by 22
- 2026EdgeBench: Unveiling Scaling Laws of Learning from Real-World Environmentscited by 20
- 2021Amortized Variational Inference for Simple Hierarchical Modelscited by 19
- 2022Mean-field Variational Inference via Wasserstein Gradient Flowcited by 19
- 2023Black Box Variational Inference with a Deterministic Objective: Faster, More Accurate, and Even More Black Boxcited by 17
- 2023Variational Inference with Gaussian Score Matchingcited by 17
- 2023Fortuna: A Library for Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Learningcited by 14
- 2022Partitioned Variational Inference: A Framework for Probabilistic Federated Learningcited by 13
- 2021Geometric variational inferencecited by 12
12 most cited of 154 All 154 (JSON)
- 2026QuanVI: Score-based Variational Inference via Quantum Maximally Mixed States30 Sep 2026
- 2026Large Language Bayes Is Not Reparameterisation-Invariant24 Sep 2026
- 2026Information Geometry of Message Passing16 Aug 2026
- 2026A Hybrid Nested Harness for Decoupling Structure and Parameters in LLM-Driven Optimization8 Aug 2026
- 2026PYPM-GGD: Pitman-Yor Process Mixture with Generalized Gaussian Density using ADAM27 Jul 2026
- 2026Predicting Activities in Aqueous Electrolyte Solutions with Hybrid Machine Learning21 Jul 2026
- 2026EdgeBench: Unveiling Scaling Laws of Learning from Real-World Environments6 Jul 2026
- 2026Causal Gaussian Processes for Robust Treatment Effect Evaluation with Unobserved Confounding20 Jun 2026
- 2026Overfitted high-dimensional matrix factorizations via adaptive spectral shrinkage17 Jun 2026
- 2026Integrated Marketing Attribution: A Bayesian Framework for Privacy-Safe Granular Measurement Anchored in MMM15 Jun 2026
- 2026Structured Nonparametric Variational Inference for Dependent Latent Modeling13 Jun 2026
- 2026Large-scale empirical tuning and comparison of default optimizers for variational inference5 Jun 2026
12 newest of 154 All 154 (JSON)