mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Multi-Agent Deferred-Decision Trajectory Optimization with Anytime-Valid Target Retention for Moving Candidates

arXiv 2610.17003 ↗First posted 12 Oct 2026eess.SY cs.LG cs.ROcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

We study multi-agent terminal interception when one of several moving candidates is the unknown target and both target identity and candidate terminal locations are uncertain. We develop a receding-horizon deferred-decision trajectory optimization (DDTO) controller that combines conformal terminal-location prediction, sequential candidate rejection, capacity-constrained assignment, and candidate-contingent planning. Under exchangeability conditions for terminal and identity residuals, with predictable querying, we establish fixed-time terminal-location coverage and anytime-valid target retention. At the final replan, when one control step remains, we bound the joint probability that a tightened-set DDTO plan passes nonlinear rollout verification but capture fails. The closed-loop controller applies fallback guidance to any agent without a verified DDTO plan and, across 100 paired scenarios, captures 79% of targets under the strict control-effort budget and 85% when that budget is relaxed.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 17 of its 29 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 12 Oct 2026.

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17 of 29 references.

References · 17

  1. 2019Conformalized Quantile Regressioncited by 629
  2. 2022Safe Planning in Dynamic Environments using Conformal Predictioncited by 119
  3. 2022Adaptive Conformal Prediction for Motion Planning among Dynamic Agentscited by 53
  4. 2023Multi-Agent Reachability Calibration with Conformal Predictioncited by 25
  5. 2023Conformal Predictive Safety Filter for RL Controllers in Dynamic Environmentscited by 14
  6. 2023Contingency Games for Multi-Agent Interactioncited by 12
  7. 2024Safe POMDP Online Planning among Dynamic Agents via Adaptive Conformal Predictioncited by 8
  8. 2021Scenario-Based Trajectory Optimization in Uncertain Dynamic Environmentscited by 6
  9. 2019Contingency Model Predictive Control for Automated Vehiclescited by 3
  10. 2025Deferred-Decision Trajectory Optimizationcited by 2
  11. 2025Delayed-Decision Motion Planning in the Presence of Multiple Predictionscited by 2
  12. 2026Lasso Universality Under Linearly Dependent Covariates in the Sparse Regimecited by 2
5 more
  1. 2024DMVC-Tracker: Distributed Multi-Agent Trajectory Planning for Target Tracking Using Dynamic Buffered Voronoi and Inter-Visibility Cellscited by 1
  2. 2025A Novel Adaptive Formation Control Strategy for Teams of Unmanned Vehicles Under Complete Dynamic Uncertaintycited by 1
  3. 2025Hierarchical Planning for Long-Horizon Multi-Target Tracking Under Target Motion Uncertaintycited by 1
  4. 2026Multi-Agent Next-Best-View Optimization for Risk-Averse Planningcited by 1
  5. 2026Active Sensing and Deferred-Decision Trajectory Optimization for Robust Target Identificationcited by 1

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