Referential Uncertainty in Human--AI Collaboration
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Abstract (arXiv)
Effective human-AI collaboration requires partners to establish references through interaction, which becomes fragile when descriptions are ambiguous, similar referents compete, or partners see different things. We study referential uncertainty - uncertainty over which candidate object a description refers to - in a collaborative puzzle task where a human Helper instructs an AI Worker to place pieces. The Worker must identify and communicate its uncertainty, and the Helper must recognize and act on it. We show that a separately elicited belief distribution over candidate pieces is better calibrated (ECE 0.15) and better discriminates correct from incorrect placements (AUROC 0.65) than raw action-token probabilities, which are severely overconfident (0.97 mean confidence, ECE 0.44). Across three frontier vision-language models (GPT-4.1, GPT-5, GPT-5.5), this elicited uncertainty rises predictably with instruction vagueness, but not with competing referents in context, even when those increase errors. The models seldom externalize it, asking for clarification on only 3.5-16.7% of turns. In a controlled human study (N=210), participants given only the Worker's default message accept 78% of wrong placements and cannot tell right from wrong (AUC 0.50). Precise descriptions and, especially, well-targeted hedges cut wrong-move acceptance to 36% while largely preserving correct-move acceptance, compensating for missing shared awareness such as not seeing the Worker's action. But this benefit depends on targeting: a deployable hedge derived from the model's own belief entropy inherits that signal's weakness and can do more harm than good. Externalized uncertainty helps a human partner only when it is accurately targeted.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 21 of its 38 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 30 Sep 2026.
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References · 21
- 2017On Calibration of Modern Neural Networkscited by 4,960
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- 2024"I'm Not Sure, But...": Examining the Impact of Large Language Models' Uncertainty Expression on User Reliance and Trustcited by 67
9 more
- 2025A Survey of Uncertainty Estimation Methods on Large Language Modelscited by 62
- 2023Grounding Gaps in Language Model Generationscited by 47
- 2025Navigating Rifts in Human-LLM Grounding: Study and Benchmarkcited by 29
- 2024Language Model Probabilities are Not Calibrated in Numeric Contextscited by 18
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- 2026Does Model Uncertainty Track Human Ambiguity? Evidence from Multi-Annotator Vision Benchmarks
- 2025Gricean Norms as a Basis for Effective Collaboration
- 2025Closing the Expression Gap in LLM Instructions via Socratic Questioning
- 2025Beyond "Hallucinations": A Framework for Stable Human-AI Reasoning
- 2026Human-Alignment, Calibration, and Activation Patterns in Large Language Model Uncertainty
- 2025REI-Bench: Can Embodied Agents Understand Vague Human Instructions in Task Planning?