mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

SPARK: A General Goodness-of-Fit Assessment via Residual Projection

arXiv 2609.37705 ↗First posted 29 Sep 2026stat.ME math.ST stat.MLcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Goodness-of-fit testing is a basic tool for assessing whether a fitted procedure has captured the systematic information contained in the covariates. While traditional theory has largely focused on parametric regression models, modern data analysis increasingly relies on flexible black-box learners, whose predictive success alone is insufficient to assess model accuracy. In this paper, we propose SPARK, a general framework for goodness-of-fit testing that applies to traditional statistical models and general black-box learning procedures, continuous and binary responses, and low- and high-dimensional predictors. Based on a debiasing strategy, the residuals from an initial fit of a learning procedure are projected onto nearly orthogonal directions to extract any remaining signal. To capture information across all projection directions, we propose a kernel-based projection method and establish both its asymptotic properties and the consistency of a bootstrap procedure. Comprehensive simulations and real data analyses illustrate the effectiveness and flexibility of our proposed method.

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References · 10

  1. 2016XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting Systemcited by 5,120
  2. 2014Deep Learning in Neural Networks: An Overviewcited by 765
  3. 2018Cauchy combination test: a powerful test with analytic p-value calculation under arbitrary dependency structurescited by 20
  4. 2019Is a Classification Procedure Good Enough? A Goodness-of-Fit Assessment Tool for Classification Learningcited by 9
  5. 2019Goodness-of-fit testing in high-dimensional generalized linear modelscited by 8
  6. 2023Sup-Norm Convergence of Deep Neural Network Estimator for Nonparametric Regression by Adversarial Trainingcited by 6
  7. 2015Goodness of fit tests for high-dimensional linear modelscited by 5
  8. 2022Test and Measure for Partial Mean Dependence Based on Machine Learning Methodscited by 2
  9. 2022GRASP: A Goodness-of-Fit Test for Classification Learningcited by 1
  10. 2024Effective Positive Cauchy Combination Testcited by 1

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