mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Rank Collapse Is Recoverable, Growing |Q| Is Not: Out-of-Sample Early Warning for Value Divergence in High-UTD Soft Actor-Critic

arXiv 2609.32819 ↗First posted 26 Sep 2026cs.AI cs.LGcited by 0

On the map: Deep reinforcement learning methods → RL theory and sample complexity

Abstract (arXiv)

Raising the update-to-data (UTD) ratio breaks off-policy critics in two ways grouped as "plasticity loss": collapsing representations and growing value magnitude |Q|. We separate them in Soft Actor-Critic (SAC) with scaled critics (width 2048, no normalization). Collapse is survivable: at UTD ratio 16, HalfCheetah critics with most units dormant keep learning, and the training guard, which stops runs whose loss or |Q| explodes, never flags them. Within one high-UTD SAC configuration, runs start close together, and how far a critic's log10|Q| has climbed by step 15k, its early growth, ranks the runs by how soon the guard flags them. At 15k, a flagged run's |Q| sits a median of over a hundredfold below its flag level, yet the climb's rate already orders the flags (Harrell's C and out-of-sample AUC 0.78 on Walker2d, 0.98 on Ant, at UTD ratio 4). Dormancy does not. Aborting on this rate saves about a tenth of held-out Walker2d compute and stays net-positive live. A LayerNorm critic lowers the rate, removes the flag on Walker2d at UTD ratio 4 and lowers the return.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in RL theory and sample complexity, one of 15 directions in Deep reinforcement learning methods. Builds on 41 of its 60 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 26 Sep 2026.

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41 of 60 references.

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  1. 2024Overestimation, Overfitting, and Plasticity in Actor-Critic: the Bitter Lesson of Reinforcement Learning1 Mar

Other references · 40

  1. 2016Layer Normalizationcited by 5,669
  2. 2018Soft Actor-Critic: Off-Policy Maximum Entropy Deep Reinforcement Learning with a Stochastic Actorcited by 4,885
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  19. 2023Understanding, Predicting and Better Resolving Q-Value Divergence in Offline-RLcited by 20
  20. 2025Scaling Off-Policy Reinforcement Learning with Batch and Weight Normalizationcited by 19
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  25. 2025Network Sparsity Unlocks the Scaling Potential of Deep Reinforcement Learningcited by 11
  26. 2022Universal Early Warning Signals of Phase Transitions in Climate Systemscited by 10
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  28. 2026Ultra-Early Prediction of Tipping Points: Integrating Dynamical Measures with Reservoir Computingcited by 2

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