Optimal No-Regret Learning for Repeated Prophet Inequality
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Abstract (arXiv)
We study repeated prophet inequalities under prefix feedback. In each of T rounds, a learner encounters fresh values drawn independently from n boxes with unknown [0,1]-supported distributions in a fixed order and must irrevocably accept one, observing only the prefix up to its stopping box. Regret is measured against the optimal stopping policy that knows the distributions. We give an efficient algorithm achieving widetilde O(√T) expected regret, matching the lower bound up to logarithmic factors. Our algorithm explores directly through near-optimal policies, combining empirical backward induction with box-specific reach bonuses. A relative-drop aggregation rule then exploits the nesting structure of observed prefixes to preserve exploration, thereby removing the polynomial dependence on the box number n. This resolves an open question posed by Liu et al. (2025).
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 10 of its 16 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 20 Sep 2026.
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References · 10
- 2019Settling the Sample Complexity of Single-parameter Revenue Maximizationcited by 24
- 2019Generalizing Complex Hypotheses on Product Distributions: Auctions, Prophet Inequalities, and Pandora's Problemcited by 22
- 2013Prophet Inequalities with Limited Informationcited by 13
- 2022Bandit Algorithms for Prophet Inequality and Pandora's Boxcited by 13
- 2024Sample Complexity of Posted Pricing for a Single Itemcited by 11
- 2019Optimal Single-Choice Prophet Inequalities from Samplescited by 9
- 2023Semi-Bandit Learning for Monotone Stochastic Optimizationcited by 8
- 2021Tight Guarantees for Multi-unit Prophet Inequalities and Online Stochastic Knapsackcited by 6
- 2025Improved Regret and Contextual Linear Extension for Pandora's Box and Prophet Inequalitycited by 5
- 2019Prophet inequality for bipartite matching: merits of being simple and non adaptivecited by 3
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