Bad Genius: Counterfactual-Guided Harness Evolution Beyond Task-Specific Shortcuts
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Abstract (arXiv)
Reliable agent evaluation is complicated by automatic harness optimization, which repeatedly uses a released benchmark Brel to guide a Proposer that edits prompts, memory, retrieval, tools, and control code around a fixed foundation model. Task holdout is commonly used to guard against harness overfitting. It varies semantic tasks but leaves the benchmark protocol fixed, so a bad genius Proposer can produce a cheating harness whose improvement over the initial harness on Brel depends on a benchmark-wide shortcut. We introduce Counterfactual Harness Search and Evolution (CHASE), which casts harness evolution as constraint generation over valid counterfactual benchmarks. After each Proposer update, a Challenger searches for an executable protocol transformation with large gain destruction. A validity firewall checks that task semantics are preserved, while a held-out confirmation set determines whether the counterfactual enters a finite archive. We formalize an ideal shortcut-neutralized benchmark B0 and establish theoretical guarantees linking finite counterfactual archives to B0 and characterizing sequential Challenger search. We evaluate CHASE on Syn-Ledger and OfficeQA, where CHASE retains strong released-benchmark gains while substantially reducing gain destruction under valid protocol transformations.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 42 of its 46 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 Sep 2026.
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References · 42
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30 more
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