mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

But How Would AI Agents Run a Town's Economy?

arXiv 2609.11108 ↗First posted 10 Sep 2026cs.MA cs.ETcited by 1

Not on the map. Why?

Abstract (arXiv)

We placed 100 memory-equipped large language model (LLM) agents in charge of a closed, money-conserving spatial economy on real Pokhara Lakeside geography (earning wages, running businesses, setting prices) and ran this multi-agent simulation for up to 26 simulated weeks, well past the 1-2 weeks typical of agent-society studies. Across 91 validated runs (2.44M agent decisions, 21.5B tokens), the money stops moving, in a specific and measurable way. A 12x tourist demand shock raises business revenue 4.62x (p<0.001), which we decompose exactly into a 1.50x extensive margin (more businesses trading) and a 3.07x intensive margin (more revenue each). Monetary transmission stops there. Wages move 1.03x (p=0.42); 0.3% of 3,981 menu items are ever repriced (p=0.47). A randomized cash transfer (NPR 5,000 to 20 of 100 agents) shows the same pattern from the opposite direction: 96.7% is still held 311 pulses later, marginal propensity to consume 3-4% by two independent measures, indistinguishable from zero. The wealth distribution is consequently near-frozen at the horizon this literature uses (ρ=0.964 over 2 simulated weeks), but not frozen. ρ falls to 0.832 at 12 weeks and 0.752 at 26, a horizon-dependence no short study can see. Matched ablations show which knob actually matters. Swapping the backing LLM moves every outcome we measure (p=0.0039); deleting agents' memory moves none of them detectably. A purely social tool fails 94-97% of the time across two model families, compared with ~96% success on economic tools, with no measurable shift away from it. Every headline number is verified twice, by a live validator and by an offline recomputation that reconciles each agent's wealth against its own signed transaction history, and we release the full run corpus for reanalysis.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 10 Sep 2026.

Builds on

No reference list yet.

Built on by

Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.

1 paper.

Similar, not cited

Close in wording, no citation either way

  1. 2026CoffeeBench: Benchmarking Long-Horizon LLM Agents in Heterogeneous Multi-Agent Economies
  2. 2025When AI Agents Compete for Jobs: Strategic Capabilities and Economic Dynamics of AI Labour Markets
  3. 2026A General Equilibrium Theory of Orchestrated AI Agent Systems
  4. 2023CompeteAI: Understanding the Competition Dynamics in Large Language Model-based Agents
  5. 2025SimCity: Multi-Agent Urban Development Simulation with Rich Interactions
  6. 2026Artificial Institutions: How Institutional Design Shapes LLM Simulations
  7. 2026How Agentic Is Agentic Commerce? A Population-Scale Measurement of x402 Adoption and Authenticity
  8. 2026Agent Bazaar: Enabling Economic Alignment in Multi-Agent Marketplaces