From Concentration to Differentiation and Back: Routing Effective Rank in MoE Reasoning Cohorts

Test-time scaling produces cohorts of reasoning rollouts, yet there is no standard label-free account of how their internal computation reorganizes as inference unfolds. We introduce routing effective rank deff, the entropy-effective dimensionality of a cross-rollout graph built from MoE expert-routing similarity. Across ten MoE configurations and five math/science benchmarks, deff exhibits a reproducible low-high-low trajectory, with a prominent interior maximum in 98.5% of 3,105 model-question cohorts: routing similarity is concentrated early, maximally differentiated at intermediate budgets, and reconcentrated later, and the timing of this maximum varies systematically with architecture and reasoning effort. An exact decomposition separates cohort-wide common-mode mass from residual spectral dimensionality: common-mode reallocation accounts for about two thirds of the trajectory, while the residual spectrum contributes about one quarter and retains substantial variation beyond the common mode. The decomposition further localizes behavior: among non-unanimous cohorts, increases in common-mode concentration strongly predict same-answer recoverability, and higher reasoning effort delays the maximum by 2.59 octaves (doublings of the token budget) and consistently expands the high-rank period across all four tested architectures, locating the effort effect in timing and duration rather than peak amplitude. Correctness comparisons separate structural monitoring from answer selection, positioning routing effective rank as a decomposable, label-free diagnostic of cohort organization - a principled spectral lens on how MoE reasoning cohorts differentiate and reconcentrate over inference time.