Linguistic Holonomy and Statistical Watermarks: Inner Geometry of Meaning-Preserving Transformations

Statistical watermarks for language models live in the freedom of the signifier: they choose among tokens that are nearly equivalent in meaning, and they are therefore eroded by exactly those transformations which move the form of a text while leaving its content in place. The literature measures such transformations by their endpoint, through the semantic similarity between the original and the rewritten text. We show that the endpoint is the wrong statistic. Adapting the formalism of linguistic loops, we prove that the invariant of a chain of meaning-preserving transformations factorises canonically into an endpoint part and a holonomy in the stabiliser of the initial state, the second of which the semantic deficit cannot see; the loop rotation is parallel transport on the unit sphere of the embedding space, so that the analogy with the Wilson loop becomes a theorem rather than a figure of speech. On the side of the detector we prove an exact identity: the residual statistic is proportional to the number of positions whose seeding window survived intact, from which the decay law ρh+1 follows as the independent-edit corollary. The identity has a disconcerting consequence, which we confirm to three decimal places: at one and the same retention rate the surviving signal may be one half of the original, one quarter of it, or exactly nothing, according only to where the edits fall.