mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

LiveHouse-TS: An Open-world Living Benchmark for Time Series Foundation Models

arXiv 2608.17299 ↗First posted 18 Aug 2026cs.AIcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have recently emerged as a highly promising paradigm for cross-domain zero-shot forecasting. However, existing evaluation protocols predominantly rely on static benchmarks with fixed historical test windows. While these benchmarks provide a valuable baseline snapshot, they evaluate an average performance on a fixed history, failing to capture how models behave in continuously evolving real-world environments characterized by seasonal variations, distribution shifts, and unexpected events. To bridge this gap, we introduce LiveHouse-TS, the first open-world living benchmark infrastructure for TSFMs. By evaluating models prequentially on real future data in open-world environments, LiveHouse-TS shifts time series benchmarking from snapshot accuracy to continuous temporal validity. Rather than acting as a one-off leaderboard, our infrastructure serves as a continuous time series infrastructure designed to explore vital, long-term scientific questions: Can model rankings be maintained over the long term? Which models remain genuinely robust under distribution shifts? Extensive streaming evaluations across 11 domains with 17 datasets demonstrate that static rankings undergo a dramatic reshuffling under a live protocol.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 21 of its 57 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Aug 2026.

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References · 21

  1. 2020Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecastingcited by 2,169
  2. 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 2,039
  3. 2024LiveCodeBench: Holistic and Contamination Free Evaluation of Large Language Models for Codecited by 2,004
  4. 2021Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecastingcited by 1,676
  5. 2022FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecastingcited by 1,210
  6. 2017DeepAR: Probabilistic Forecasting with Autoregressive Recurrent Networkscited by 1,013
  7. 2024Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Seriescited by 759
  8. 2019N-BEATS: Neural basis expansion analysis for interpretable time series forecastingcited by 753
  9. 2023One Fits All:Power General Time Series Analysis by Pretrained LMcited by 632
  10. 2024Unified Training of Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformerscited by 614
  11. 2023Long-term Forecasting with TiDE: Time-series Dense Encodercited by 332
  12. 2021Monash Time Series Forecasting Archivecited by 267
9 more
  1. 2024TFB: Towards Comprehensive and Fair Benchmarking of Time Series Forecasting Methodscited by 249
  2. 2025Sundial: A Family of Highly Capable Time Series Foundation Modelscited by 180
  3. 2025TiRex: Zero-Shot Forecasting Across Long and Short Horizons with Enhanced In-Context Learningcited by 120
  4. 2024Context is Key: A Benchmark for Forecasting with Essential Textual Informationcited by 87
  5. 2025Moirai 2.0: When Less Is More for Time Series Forecastingcited by 69
  6. 2025This Time is Different: An Observability Perspective on Time Series Foundation Modelscited by 68
  7. 2024TimeDiT: General-purpose Diffusion Transformers for Time Series Foundation Modelcited by 33
  8. 2024LiveXiv -- A Multi-Modal Live Benchmark Based on Arxiv Papers Contentcited by 17
  9. 2026Impermanent: A Live Benchmark for Temporal Generalization in Time Series Forecastingcited by 4

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