Paired Exact-Reset Evaluation of a Prediction-Derived Medium-to-Full World-Model Cascade
On the map: World models → Embodied and robot world models
Abstract (arXiv)
Existing adaptive-inference and world-action-model systems use cheap-stage outputs or predicted futures to allocate additional computation. We study a narrower question: under paired exact-reset physical outcomes, can a Medium-derived interface predict when switching to a separately frozen Full predictor improves task-specific decision loss enough to justify sequential overhead? Our contribution is a paired evaluation and audit protocol, not a new generic routing rule: all candidate actions are executed from the same reset state, Medium and Full act on the same candidate set and task, and their paired physical-loss difference defines the routing target. On a fresh PushT bank (V106; 1,600 states, 39 tasks, three checkpoint pairs), a frozen prediction-interface router lowers overhead-inclusive decision cost relative to standalone Medium, standalone Full, and a latency-advantaged task-only router. We then prospectively seal a second 1,600-state PushT confirmation (V107) against a stronger current-state control using the task, a dimension-matched projection of current DINO features, and all five candidate actions, with no DINO encoder latency charged. The prediction interface lowers priced physical decision cost by 0.002549 (state-clustered 95% interval [-0.002867, -0.002238]; one-sided 95% upper bound -0.002286), with negative effects for all three checkpoint pairs. A controlled-PyBullet audit independently supports a composite task-prediction-regime router. The sequential router remains slower than fixed policies, and its advantage is restricted to low compute prices. The evidence supports incremental routing information in the tested prediction interface beyond one deliberately favoured current-DINO control, but not causal sufficiency, compute saving, closed-loop value, or cross-family generality.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Embodied and robot world models, one of 11 directions in World models. Builds on 18 of its 25 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 30 Jul 2026.
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18 of 25 references.
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- 2026Test-Time Scaling for World Action Models via Zero-Shot Geometric Evaluation20 Jul
- 2026AHA-WAM:Asynchronous Horizon-Adaptive World-Action Modeling with Observation-Guided Context Routing8 Jun
- 2026SANTS: A State-Adaptive Scheduler for World Action Models27 May
- 2026When to Trust Imagination: Adaptive Action Execution for World Action Models7 May
- 2026Fast-WAM: Do World Action Models Need Test-time Future Imagination?17 Mar
Other references · 13
- 2023DINOv2: Learning Robust Visual Features without Supervisioncited by 7,974
- 2024DINO-WM: World Models on Pre-trained Visual Features enable Zero-shot Planningcited by 386
- 2020Consistent Estimators for Learning to Defer to an Expertcited by 271
- 2018Melding the Data-Decisions Pipeline: Decision-Focused Learning for Combinatorial Optimizationcited by 227
- 2017Adaptive Neural Networks for Efficient Inferencecited by 163
- 2021Calibrating Predictions to Decisions: A Novel Approach to Multi-Class Calibrationcited by 79
- 2023When Does Confidence-Based Cascade Deferral Suffice?cited by 60
- 2020Right Decisions from Wrong Predictions: A Mechanism Design Alternative to Individual Calibrationcited by 7
- 2026ACID: Action Consistency via Inverse Dynamics for Planning with World Modelscited by 5
- 2014Le Cam meets LeCun: Deficiency and Generic Feature Learningcited by 3
- 2018The Variational Deficiency Bottleneckcited by 2
- 2026Calibrating conditional riskcited by 1
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