mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

LLM as Forecasting Planner: Training-Free Text Conditioning for Time-Series Foundation Models

arXiv 2607.24892 ↗First posted 27 Jul 2026cs.LG cs.AIcited by 1

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Abstract (arXiv)

Text-conditioned time-series forecasting predicts a series from both its numerical history and natural-language context, allowing forecasts to account for events and constraints that the past alone cannot reveal. This requires both reliable numerical forecasting and the ability to interpret contextual information. Time-series foundation models (TSFMs) provide strong numerical forecasts, while large language models (LLMs) can reason over text, but combining their strengths remains challenging because asking an LLM to generate or revise forecast values directly can distort the temporal structure captured by the TSFM. We instead formulate forecasting as a planning problem over TSFM-generated trajectories. The frozen TSFM acts as a simulator that proposes numerical continuations, while the LLM acts as a policy and value function that guides candidate selection and evaluates completed trajectories against the context. We instantiate this as rc (LLM As Forecasting Planner), a training-free framework that bridges the modality gap without retraining either model, using Monte Carlo tree search (MCTS) over the forecast horizon with a Ranker LLM as policy and a Judge LLM as value function. Experiments on Context-is-Key and Time-MMD across two TSFM backbones (Chronos and TimesFM) and four LLMs show that rc delivers consistent improvements across model choices, supporting sequential search as an effective training-free approach to text-conditioned forecasting.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 24 of its 30 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 27 Jul 2026.

Builds on

24 of 30 references.

References · 24

  1. 2022Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Modelscited by 12,302
  2. 2023Efficient Memory Management for Large Language Model Serving with PagedAttentioncited by 5,767
  3. 2023Let's Verify Step by Stepcited by 3,598
  4. 2023Tree of Thoughts: Deliberate Problem Solving with Large Language Modelscited by 3,155
  5. 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 1,981
  6. 2023Reasoning with Language Model is Planning with World Modelcited by 846
  7. 2017Mastering Chess and Shogi by Self-Play with a General Reinforcement Learning Algorithmcited by 723
  8. 2024Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Seriescited by 712
  9. 2023A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecastingcited by 650
  10. 2024Unified Training of Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformerscited by 588
  11. 2023Large Language Models Are Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasterscited by 491
  12. 2025rStar-Math: Small LLMs Can Master Math Reasoning with Self-Evolved Deep Thinkingcited by 308
12 more
  1. 2024Are Language Models Actually Useful for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 163
  2. 2023TimeGPT-1cited by 149
  3. 2023Lag-Llama: Towards Foundation Models for Probabilistic Time Series Forecastingcited by 102
  4. 2024Language Models Still Struggle to Zero-shot Reason about Time Seriescited by 81
  5. 2024Context is Key: A Benchmark for Forecasting with Essential Textual Informationcited by 78
  6. 2024Time-MMD: Multi-Domain Multimodal Dataset for Time Series Analysiscited by 65
  7. 2025Language in the Flow of Time: Time-Series-Paired Texts Weaved into a Unified Temporal Narrativecited by 35
  8. 2022Evaluating forecasts for high-impact events using transformed kernel scorescited by 11
  9. 2026Spectral Text Fusion: A Frequency-Aware Approach to Multimodal Time-Series Forecastingcited by 5
  10. 2026Nexus : An Agentic Framework for Time Series Forecastingcited by 4
  11. 2026Rethinking Multimodal Time-Series Forecasting Evaluationcited by 3
  12. 2026Does Text Actually Help? Uncovering and Resolving Text Collapse in Multimodal Time Series Forecastingcited by 1

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