mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Rating the Pitch, Not the Product: User Evaluations of LLMs Reflect Expectations More Than Performance

arXiv 2607.05113 ↗First posted 6 Jul 2026cs.CL cs.CY cs.HCcited by 0

Not on the map. Why?

Abstract (arXiv)

Imagine two users interact with the same LLM. One has been told it is the cutting-edge flagship model; the other, an older, weaker model. They walk away with markedly different ratings of its usefulness and intelligence, yet they used the same model. In a controlled study, 162 participants each used one of six LLMs from two families across three collaborative tasks, after first viewing a landing page that matched, overstated, or understated their model's true capability. This pre-interaction framing shifted user opinions and interaction behavior while task performance did not. Oversold users rated the model more favorably and used more directive prompting, while Undersold users wrote longer, more collaborative prompts. The quality of what users and the model produced together depended only on the model's true capability, not on what users were told. Participants' change in model impressions after use, measured across two impression measures, was not predicted by task performance (β = -0.01 and 0.11, both n.s.), but by whether the model met users' expectations (β = 0.47 and 0.50, both p < .001) and how confident they felt working with it (β = 0.47 and 0.36, both p < .001). After interaction, users are still rating the pitch, not the product: user-elicited LLM evaluations, including the preference data driving public leaderboards, measure expectation management at least as much as the model itself.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 21 of its 23 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 6 Jul 2026.

Builds on

21 of 23 references.

References · 21

  1. 2017Outrageously Large Neural Networks: The Sparsely-Gated Mixture-of-Experts Layercited by 3,413
  2. 2021Switch Transformers: Scaling to Trillion Parameter Models with Simple and Efficient Sparsitycited by 3,014
  3. 2023Progress measures for grokking via mechanistic interpretabilitycited by 822
  4. 2022Grokking: Generalization Beyond Overfitting on Small Algorithmic Datasetscited by 599
  5. 2023Are Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models a Mirage?cited by 515
  6. 2022Towards Understanding Grokking: An Effective Theory of Representation Learningcited by 229
  7. 2021Accounting for Variance in Machine Learning Benchmarkscited by 195
  8. 2022Hidden Progress in Deep Learning: SGD Learns Parities Near the Computational Limitcited by 184
  9. 2023The Clock and the Pizza: Two Stories in Mechanistic Explanation of Neural Networkscited by 153
  10. 2022Omnigrok: Grokking Beyond Algorithmic Datacited by 142
  11. 2023A Toy Model of Universality: Reverse Engineering How Networks Learn Group Operationscited by 141
  12. 2023Explaining grokking through circuit efficiencycited by 105
9 more
  1. 2023Grokking as the Transition from Lazy to Rich Training Dynamicscited by 102
  2. 2022The Slingshot Mechanism: An Empirical Study of Adaptive Optimizers and the Grokking Phenomenoncited by 90
  3. 2023A Tale of Two Circuits: Grokking as Competition of Sparse and Dense Subnetworkscited by 78
  4. 2023Grokking modular arithmeticcited by 77
  5. 2021Torch.manual_seed(3407) is all you need: On the influence of random seeds in deep learning architectures for computer visioncited by 76
  6. 2021Nondeterminism and Instability in Neural Network Optimizationcited by 47
  7. 2025Grokking at the Edge of Numerical Stabilitycited by 41
  8. 2023Predicting Grokking Long Before it Happens: A look into the loss landscape of models which grokcited by 31
  9. 2024Grokking Modular Polynomialscited by 18

Built on by

Not cited yet.