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Self-Adaptive Scale Handling for Forecasting Time Series with Scale Heterogeneity

arXiv 2606.20010 ↗First posted 18 Jun 2026cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Current time series forecasting (TSF) research predominantly focuses on scale-homogeneous data, where different time series share similar numerical magnitude ranges. However, in real-world industrial scenarios such as financial product sales, different time series often differ by orders of magnitude (scale heterogeneity). Since these series share similar temporal patterns, joint modeling is desirable for better data utilization, yet existing scaling methods either compress low-scale signals (global normalization) or destroy semantic discriminability and amplify inverse-scaling errors (window-based scaling). This paper proposes a self-Adaptive Scale-handling (AS) module that learns adaptive scale factors tailored to each input, preserving semantic discriminability while reducing inverse-scaling errors. AS consists of Scale Calibrating (SC), which calibrates prior mean scaling factors through neural networks, and Scaling Selection (SS), which decides whether to apply calibration or retain the original factor, avoiding over-calibration. Experiments on real-world fund sales datasets from Ant Fortune and Alipay show that AS seamlessly integrates into popular TSF models and consistently improves their performance. The code and dataset are available at the link https://github.com/Meteor-Stars/ASTSF.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 16 of its 24 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Jun 2026.

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References · 16

  1. 2017Attention Is All You Needcited by 60,361
  2. 2016Categorical Reparameterization with Gumbel-Softmaxcited by 2,739
  3. 2021Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecastingcited by 1,676
  4. 2020Rethinking Attention with Performerscited by 1,601
  5. 2022Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 1,424
  6. 2022FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecastingcited by 1,210
  7. 2016The Concrete Distribution: A Continuous Relaxation of Discrete Random Variablescited by 1,148
  8. 2017DeepAR: Probabilistic Forecasting with Autoregressive Recurrent Networkscited by 1,013
  9. 2023TSMixer: An All-MLP Architecture for Time Series Forecastingcited by 240
  10. 2022FiLM: Frequency improved Legendre Memory Model for Long-term Time Series Forecastingcited by 147
  11. 2023TSMixer: Lightweight MLP-Mixer Model for Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 139
  12. 2025Multi-period Learning for Financial Time Series Forecastingcited by 11
4 more
  1. 2026SEMixer: Semantics Enhanced MLP-Mixer for Multiscale Mixing and Long-term Time Series Forecastingcited by 4
  2. 2026A Lightweight Sparse Interaction Network for Time Series Forecastingcited by 3
  3. 2026Diff-MN: Diffusion Parameterized MoE-NCDE for Continuous Time Series Generation with Irregular Observationscited by 2
  4. 2026Lost in the Non-convex Loss Landscape: How to Fine-tune the Large Time Series Model?cited by 1

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