Gaming-Resistant Insurance Contracts for Autonomous AI Agents: Strategy-Proof Toll Mechanism Design
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
Paper A defines a time-consistent actuarial runtime that prices each side-effect-bearing action against a contractually fixed safe default and gates execution against a reserve budget. It treats the operator as passive. This paper makes the operator strategic. We characterise a five-attack space for autonomous AI-agent insurance contracts and prove when the actuarial runtime is gaming-resistant. Two attack surfaces -- post-toll safe-default selection and within-boundary action splitting -- are closed by Paper A's minimal-authority and no-splitting clauses. The remaining three require new contract clauses. First, common-control aggregation prevents cross-boundary re-routing from reducing toll below the boundary potential applied to total exposure. Second, interface failures such as invalid JSON are contract-relevant events, not safety wins: treating them as zero-toll safe defaults can reward unreliable models, while escalation fees reverse the incentive. We validate this interface-compliance theorem on committed cross-model traces from the companion empirical paper. Third, a model-identity menu with a componentwise-minimum penalty schedule makes truthful reporting of the deployed model weakly dominant. We then compose these clauses with Paper A's runtime guarantees to obtain joint incentive compatibility over the five-attack space. Finally, a two-parameter premium family discharges operator individual rationality and weak budget balance at the truthful equilibrium. The result is an incentive-compatibility layer for actuarial control of autonomous-agent side effects.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 15 of its 66 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 15 Jun 2026.
Builds on
15 of 66 references.
References · 15
- 2022Training language models to follow instructions with human feedbackcited by 15,971
- 2023SWE-bench: Can Language Models Resolve Real-World GitHub Issues?cited by 3,373
- 2022Constitutional AI: Harmlessness from AI Feedbackcited by 3,050
- 2024τ-bench: A Benchmark for Tool-Agent-User Interaction in Real-World Domainscited by 1,402
- 2023AgentBench: Evaluating LLMs as Agentscited by 1,267
- 2021A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Prediction and Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 792
- 2021Adaptive Conformal Inference Under Distribution Shiftcited by 375
- 2023NeMo Guardrails: A Toolkit for Controllable and Safe LLM Applications with Programmable Railscited by 365
- 2014Optimizing the CVaR via Samplingcited by 99
- 2014Algorithms for CVaR Optimization in MDPscited by 99
- 2026Quantifying Trust: Financial Risk Management for Trustworthy AI Agentscited by 8
- 2021Algorithmic Insurancecited by 5
3 more
- 2026Insuring Every Action: An Authority Frontier Framework for Runtime Actuarial Control of Autonomous AI Agentscited by 4
- 2024Catastrophe Insurance: An Adaptive Robust Optimization Approachcited by 3
- 2026Foundations of a Time-Consistent Counterfactual Actuarial Runtime for Autonomous AI Agentscited by 3
Built on by
Not cited yet.