APEX: A Network-Native Time-Series Foundation Model for Forecasting and Anomaly Detection for Wireless Edge Operations
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Abstract (arXiv)
Generic time-series foundation models transfer poorly to wireless network telemetry whose signals are bursty, zero-inflated, and coupled across protocol layers. We present APEX, a network-native, decoder-only transformer for forecasting enterprise AP telemetry, and evaluate it on DHCP degradation as a representative network task. APEX is pre-trained on 10-channel multivariate telemetry from ~4,500 production wireless networks (~100K AP time series, 34 metrics per AP), and is available as APEX-Large (269M, cloud) and APEX-Edge (10.5M, edge). On a 192-step (4-day) DHCP degradation benchmark, APEX-Large reduces MAE by 18% over the strongest foundation-model baseline (Toto) and 38% over SARIMA, with anomaly-detection F1 = 0.93, while APEX-Edge enables sub-second, privacy-preserving inference on AP-class edge hardware. These results suggest network-native pre-training is a practical foundation for proactive wireless operations.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 7 of its 13 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 Jun 2026.
Builds on
7 of 13 references.
References · 7
- 2015Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learningcited by 4,448
- 2016Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensemblescited by 3,926
- 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 2,039
- 2024Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Seriescited by 759
- 2023A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecastingcited by 692
- 2021MLPerf Tiny Benchmarkcited by 124
- 2024Toto: Time Series Optimized Transformer for Observabilitycited by 48
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.
1 paper.
- 2026Network-Aware Forecasting on Wireless Access Pointscited by 0
- 2026Network-Aware Forecasting on Wireless Access Points2 Sep 2026