mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Think Through Uncertainty: Improving Long-Form Generation Factuality via Reasoning Calibration

arXiv 2604.12046 ↗First posted 13 Apr 2026cs.CLcited by 2

On the map: LLM reasoning → Test-time compute and efficient thinking

Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models (LLMs) often hallucinate in long-form generation. Existing approaches mainly improve factuality through post-hoc revision or reinforcement learning (RL) with correctness-based rewards, but they do not teach the model to estimate which parts of its generation are reliable. As a result, models may still state incorrect claims confidently in their responses. Recent advances in reasoning have significantly improved LLM performance, and have been leveraged to estimate confidence by incorporating calibration into RL objectives. However, existing approaches remain limited to a single scalar confidence for the entire response, which is insufficient for long-form generation where uncertainty varies across individual claims. To mitigate this problem, we propose CURE, a framework that improves long-form factuality by teaching LLMs to reason about uncertainty at the claim level. We first introduce a Claim-Aware Reasoning Protocol, which structures outputs into atomic claims paired with explicit confidence estimates. We then develop a multi-stage training pipeline that aligns model confidence with claims' correctness and then optimizes on factuality. The resulting calibrated confidence further enables selective prediction, allowing the model to abstain from uncertain claims at inference time. Experiments on four long-form factuality benchmarks show that CURE consistently improves factual accuracy over competitive supervised and RL baselines, while maintaining factual recall. In particular, it improves claim-level accuracy by up to 39.9% on Biography generation. These gains are accompanied by improved calibration, as reflected by a 16.0% increase in AUROC on FactBench.

Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Test-time compute and efficient thinking, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 12 of its 24 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 13 Apr 2026.

Builds on

12 of 24 references.

References · 12

  1. 2024The Llama 3 Herd of Modelscited by 14,715
  2. 2024DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Modelscited by 9,379
  3. 2025Qwen3 Technical Reportcited by 8,820
  4. 2025DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learningcited by 6,330
  5. 2024OpenAI o1 System Cardcited by 1,244
  6. 2023Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMscited by 974
  7. 2023FacTool: Factuality Detection in Generative AI -- A Tool Augmented Framework for Multi-Task and Multi-Domain Scenarioscited by 251
  8. 2025Beyond Binary Rewards: Training LMs to Reason About Their Uncertaintycited by 117
  9. 2023LitCab: Lightweight Language Model Calibration over Short- and Long-form Responsescited by 44
  10. 2025Mask-DPO: Generalizable Fine-grained Factuality Alignment of LLMscited by 24
  11. 2025Learning to Reason for Factualitycited by 24
  12. 2025Reasoning Models Hallucinate More: Factuality-Aware Reinforcement Learning for Large Reasoning Modelscited by 19

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Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 2.

2 papers.

Similar, not cited

Close in wording, no citation either way

  1. 2026Only Say What You Know: Calibration-Aware Generation for Long-Form Factuality
  2. 2025Trustworthy Reasoning: Evaluating and Enhancing Factual Accuracy in LLM Intermediate Thought Processes
  3. 2025Trusted Uncertainty in Large Language Models: A Unified Framework for Confidence Calibration and Risk-Controlled Refusal
  4. 2026Evaluating LLM Uncertainty in Long-Form Generation Using Deterministic Ground Truth
  5. 2026Understanding and Mitigating Premature Confidence for Better LLM Reasoning
  6. 2026Calibration Drift Under Reasoning: How Chain-of-Thought Budgets Induce Overconfidence in Large Language Models
  7. 2026Double-Calibration: Towards Reliable LLMs via Calibrating Knowledge and Reasoning Confidence
  8. 2024LoGU: Long-form Generation with Uncertainty Expressions