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Topological Detection of Hopf Bifurcations via Persistent Homology: A Functional Criterion from Time Series

arXiv 2603.27395 ↗First posted 28 Mar 2026math.DS math.AT stat.MLcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

We propose a topological framework for detecting Hopf-type dynamical transitions directly from scalar time series. The method combines delay-coordinate reconstruction with persistent homology and uses the maximum persistence of one-dimensional homology classes as a scalar descriptor of cyclic structure. For the supercritical Hopf setting, we derive finite-resolution persistence bounds that relate detectability of the reconstructed periodic orbit to its geometry, sampling quality, and finite-data perturbations. A derivative-based estimator is then introduced to localize the critical parameter from the sampled topological functional. The approach is evaluated on the Hopf normal form, the Lorenz system, and a reduced Belousov--Zhabotinsky model. The numerical experiments show accurate finite-resolution localization of the corresponding transitions and illustrate the effects of embedding parameters, temporal sampling, smoothing, observational noise, and transient removal. These results support persistent homology as an interpretable data-driven tool for detecting geometric reorganizations in nonlinear time series.

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References · 6

  1. 2017An introduction to Topological Data Analysis: fundamental and practical aspects for data scientistscited by 172
  2. 2019Ripser: efficient computation of Vietoris-Rips persistence barcodescited by 117
  3. 2018Topological Time Series Analysiscited by 10
  4. 2020Using Zigzag Persistent Homology to Detect Hopf Bifurcations in Dynamical Systemscited by 7
  5. 2013Critical Transitions In a Model of a Genetic Regulatory Systemcited by 2
  6. 2026Topological descriptors of foot clearance gait dynamics improve differential diagnosis of Parkinsonismcited by 1

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