Cloud-Edge Collaborative Large Models for Robust Photovoltaic Power Forecasting
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Abstract (arXiv)
Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting in edge-enabled grids requires balancing forecasting accuracy, robustness under weather-driven distribution shifts, and strict latency constraints. Existing models work well under normal conditions but often struggle with rare ramp events and unexpected weather changes. Relying solely on cloud-based large models often leads to significant communication delays, which can hinder timely and efficient forecasting in practical grid environments. To address these issues, we propose a condition-adaptive cloud-edge collaborative framework *CAPE* for PV forecasting. *CAPE* consists of three main modules: a site-specific expert model for routine predictions, a lightweight edge-side model for enhanced local inference, and a cloud-based large retrieval model that provides relevant historical cases when needed. These modules are coordinated by a screening module that evaluates uncertainty, out-of-distribution risk, weather mutations, and model disagreement. Furthermore, we employ a Lyapunov-guided routing strategy to dynamically determine when to escalate inference to more powerful models under long-term system constraints. The final forecast is produced through adaptive fusion of the selected model outputs. Experiments on two real-world PV datasets demonstrate that *CAPE* achieves superior performance in terms of forecasting accuracy, robustness, routing quality, and system efficiency.
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References · 19
- 2023iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecastingcited by 906
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- 2023Pushing Large Language Models to the 6G Edge: Vision, Challenges, and Opportunitiescited by 89
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- 2025LimiX: Unleashing Structured-Data Modeling Capability for Generalist Intelligencecited by 65
- 2025Foundation Models for Causal Inference via Prior-Data Fitted Networkscited by 30
7 more
- 2024CE-CoLLM: Efficient and Adaptive Large Language Models Through Cloud-Edge Collaborationcited by 25
- 2022A Survey on Collaborative DNN Inference for Edge Intelligencecited by 23
- 2025FOVA: Offline Federated Reinforcement Learning with Mixed-Quality Datacited by 5
- 2025PV-VLM: A Multimodal Vision-Language Approach Incorporating Sky Images for Intra-Hour Photovoltaic Power Forecastingcited by 4
- 2023PoPeC: PAoI-Centric Task Offloading with Priority over Unreliable Channelscited by 3
- 2025A Novel Distributed PV Power Forecasting Approach Based on Time-LLMcited by 3
- 2026FORLER: Federated Offline Reinforcement Learning with Q-Ensemble and Actor Rectificationcited by 2
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