mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Establishing Construct Validity in LLM Capability Benchmarks Requires Nomological Networks

arXiv 2603.15121 ↗First posted 16 Mar 2026cs.LG stat.MLcited by 6

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Abstract (arXiv)

Recent work in machine learning increasingly attributes human-like capabilities such as reasoning or theory of mind to large language models (LLMs) on the basis of benchmark performance. This paper examines this practice through the lens of construct validity, understood as the problem of linking theoretical capabilities to their empirical measurements. It contrasts three influential frameworks: the nomological account developed by Cronbach and Meehl, the inferential account proposed by Messick and refined by Kane, and Borsboom's causal account. I argue that the nomological account provides the most suitable foundation for current LLM capability research. It avoids the strong ontological commitments of the causal account while offering a more substantive framework for articulating construct meaning than the inferential account. I explore the conceptual implications of adopting the nomological account for LLM research through a concrete case: the assessment of reasoning capabilities in LLMs.

Key facts. Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 16 of its 57 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 Mar 2026.

Builds on

16 of 57 references.

References · 16

  1. 2022Locating and Editing Factual Associations in GPTcited by 2,691
  2. 2019Do ImageNet Classifiers Generalize to ImageNet?cited by 1,515
  3. 2025Open Problems in Mechanistic Interpretabilitycited by 179
  4. 2021Can Machines Learn Morality? The Delphi Experimentcited by 141
  5. 2025Measuring what Matters: Construct Validity in Large Language Model Benchmarkscited by 119
  6. 2025Language Models Use Trigonometry to Do Additioncited by 70
  7. 2025Measurement to Meaning: A Validity-Centered Framework for AI Evaluationcited by 57
  8. 2025Medical Large Language Model Benchmarks Should Prioritize Construct Validitycited by 38
  9. 2025A Definition of AGIcited by 27
  10. 2024A Philosophical Introduction to Language Models - Part II: The Way Forwardcited by 18
  11. 2025The Benchmarking Epistemology: Validity Theory for Evaluating Machine Learning Modelscited by 13
  12. 2016Estimating Psychological Networks and their Accuracy: A Tutorial Papercited by 12
4 more
  1. 2024What is it for a Machine Learning Model to Have a Capability?cited by 10
  2. 2025Position: Stop Evaluating AI with Human Tests, Develop Principled, AI-specific Tests insteadcited by 7
  3. 2024The Costs of Pretending That There Are Data-Generating Probability Distributions in the Social Worldcited by 4
  4. 2023Artificial Neural Nets and the Representation of Human Conceptscited by 3

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Citing papers per year: 2026: 6.

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  1. 2024Probing the Robustness of Theory of Mind in Large Language Models
  2. 2026Measuring Reasoning Quality in LLMs: A Multi-Dimensional Behavioral Framework
  3. 2026UniCog: Uncovering Cognitive Abilities of LLMs through Latent Mind Space Analysis
  4. 2025Position: On the Methodological Pitfalls of Evaluating Base LLMs for Reasoning
  5. 2023Are LLMs the Master of All Trades? : Exploring Domain-Agnostic Reasoning Skills of LLMs
  6. 2026LLM Reasoning Is Latent, Not the Chain of Thought
  7. 2025Reasoning Capabilities and Invariability of Large Language Models
  8. 2025Evaluating the Goal-Directedness of Large Language Models