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A Hybrid Quantum Circuit Born Machine Framework for Financial Volatility Forecasting: Quantum-Assisted Training and Classical Inference

arXiv 2603.09789 ↗First posted 10 Mar 2026cs.LG cs.AI quant-phcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Accurate financial volatility forecasting is crucial but challenged by the non-linear, highly correlated nature of market data. Recently, quantum computing has emerged as a promising paradigm for solving complex high-dimensional sampling problems. To harness this, we propose a novel hybrid framework combining the temporal representation power of classical neural networks with the distribution-learning capabilities of quantum models. Specifically, we integrate a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network with a Quantum Circuit Born Machine (QCBM). The LSTM extracts dynamic features, while the QCBM acts as a learnable generative prior modeling complex market distributions to guide forecasting. Evaluated on 5-minute high-frequency data from the SSE Composite and CSI 300 indices, our model significantly outperforms a classical LSTM baseline across MSE, RMSE, and QLIKE metrics. Furthermore, by introducing a stochastic ``Drop-Prior" mechanism during training, the LSTM implicitly distills structured information from the quantum prior. This establishes a pragmatic paradigm of ``quantum-assisted training with classical-efficient inference", whereby the model retains its quantum-enhanced accuracy even when the quantum module is entirely disabled during deployment. This demonstrates a practical pathway for leveraging quantum computing to enhance classical models without real-time quantum inference latency.

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References · 23

  1. 2017Attention Is All You Needcited by 59,932
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  12. 2021Noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) algorithmscited by 79
11 more
  1. 2017Listening to Chaotic Whispers: A Deep Learning Framework for News-oriented Stock Trend Predictioncited by 60
  2. 2020Foundations for Near-Term Quantum Natural Language Processingcited by 51
  3. 2020Quantum versus Classical Generative Modelling in Financecited by 21
  4. 2021Multi-Transformer: A New Neural Network-Based Architecture for Forecasting S&P Volatilitycited by 10
  5. 2025HQNN-FSP: A Hybrid Classical-Quantum Neural Network for Regression-Based Financial Stock Market Predictioncited by 10
  6. 2024QADQN: Quantum Attention Deep Q-Network for Financial Market Predictioncited by 8
  7. 2025Contextual Quantum Neural Networks for Stock Price Predictioncited by 4
  8. 2026Quantum vs. Classical Machine Learning: A Benchmark Study for Financial Predictioncited by 2
  9. 2024From GARCH to Neural Network for Volatility Forecastcited by 1
  10. 2025Quantum Temporal Convolutional Neural Networks for Cross-Sectional Equity Return Prediction: A Comparative Benchmark Studycited by 1
  11. 2025Hybrid Quantum-Classical Ensemble Learning for S&P 500 Directional Predictioncited by 1

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