A Hybrid Quantum Circuit Born Machine Framework for Financial Volatility Forecasting: Quantum-Assisted Training and Classical Inference
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Abstract (arXiv)
Accurate financial volatility forecasting is crucial but challenged by the non-linear, highly correlated nature of market data. Recently, quantum computing has emerged as a promising paradigm for solving complex high-dimensional sampling problems. To harness this, we propose a novel hybrid framework combining the temporal representation power of classical neural networks with the distribution-learning capabilities of quantum models. Specifically, we integrate a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network with a Quantum Circuit Born Machine (QCBM). The LSTM extracts dynamic features, while the QCBM acts as a learnable generative prior modeling complex market distributions to guide forecasting. Evaluated on 5-minute high-frequency data from the SSE Composite and CSI 300 indices, our model significantly outperforms a classical LSTM baseline across MSE, RMSE, and QLIKE metrics. Furthermore, by introducing a stochastic ``Drop-Prior" mechanism during training, the LSTM implicitly distills structured information from the quantum prior. This establishes a pragmatic paradigm of ``quantum-assisted training with classical-efficient inference", whereby the model retains its quantum-enhanced accuracy even when the quantum module is entirely disabled during deployment. This demonstrates a practical pathway for leveraging quantum computing to enhance classical models without real-time quantum inference latency.
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References · 23
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- 2020Variational Quantum Algorithmscited by 687
- 2018Supervised learning with quantum enhanced feature spacescited by 654
- 2018Barren plateaus in quantum neural network training landscapescited by 624
- 2020The effect of data encoding on the expressive power of variational quantum machine learning modelscited by 328
- 2019Financial Time Series Forecasting with Deep Learning : A Systematic Literature Review: 2005-2019cited by 270
- 2020Noise-Induced Barren Plateaus in Variational Quantum Algorithmscited by 192
- 2018Differentiable Learning of Quantum Circuit Born Machinecited by 90
- 2021Encoding-dependent generalization bounds for parametrized quantum circuitscited by 81
- 2021Noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) algorithmscited by 79
11 more
- 2017Listening to Chaotic Whispers: A Deep Learning Framework for News-oriented Stock Trend Predictioncited by 60
- 2020Foundations for Near-Term Quantum Natural Language Processingcited by 51
- 2020Quantum versus Classical Generative Modelling in Financecited by 21
- 2021Multi-Transformer: A New Neural Network-Based Architecture for Forecasting S&P Volatilitycited by 10
- 2025HQNN-FSP: A Hybrid Classical-Quantum Neural Network for Regression-Based Financial Stock Market Predictioncited by 10
- 2024QADQN: Quantum Attention Deep Q-Network for Financial Market Predictioncited by 8
- 2025Contextual Quantum Neural Networks for Stock Price Predictioncited by 4
- 2026Quantum vs. Classical Machine Learning: A Benchmark Study for Financial Predictioncited by 2
- 2024From GARCH to Neural Network for Volatility Forecastcited by 1
- 2025Quantum Temporal Convolutional Neural Networks for Cross-Sectional Equity Return Prediction: A Comparative Benchmark Studycited by 1
- 2025Hybrid Quantum-Classical Ensemble Learning for S&P 500 Directional Predictioncited by 1
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