Decorrelating the Future: Joint Frequency Domain Learning for Spatio-temporal Forecasting
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Abstract (arXiv)
Standard direct forecasting models typically rely on point-wise objectives such as Mean Squared Error, which fail to capture the complex spatio-temporal dependencies inherent in graph-structured signals. While recent frequency-domain approaches such as FreDF mitigate temporal autocorrelation, they often overlook spatial and cross spatio-temporal interactions. To address this limitation, we propose FreST Loss, a frequency-enhanced spatio-temporal training objective that extends supervision to the joint spatio-temporal spectrum. By leveraging the Joint Fourier Transform (JFT), FreST Loss aligns model predictions with ground truth in a unified spectral domain, effectively decorrelating complex dependencies across both space and time. Theoretical analysis shows that this formulation reduces estimation bias associated with time-domain training objectives. Extensive experiments on six real-world datasets demonstrate that FreST Loss is model-agnostic and consistently improves state-of-the-art baselines by better capturing holistic spatio-temporal dynamics.
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References · 20
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8 more
- 2024SparseTSF: Modeling Long-term Time Series Forecasting with 1k Parameterscited by 103
- 2024FreDF: Learning to Forecast in the Frequency Domaincited by 77
- 2016Stationary Graph Processes and Spectral Estimationcited by 35
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