ST-MLP: A Cascaded Spatio-Temporal Linear Framework with Channel-Independence Strategy for Traffic Forecasting
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Abstract (arXiv)
The criticality of prompt and precise traffic forecasting in optimizing traffic flow management in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) has drawn substantial scholarly focus. Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) have been lauded for their adaptability to road graph structures. Yet, current research on STGNNs architectures often prioritizes complex designs, leading to elevated computational burdens with only minor enhancements in accuracy. To address this issue, we propose ST-MLP, a concise spatio-temporal model solely based on cascaded Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) modules and linear layers. Specifically, we incorporate temporal information, spatial information and predefined graph structure with a successful implementation of the channel-independence strategy - an effective technique in time series forecasting. Empirical results demonstrate that ST-MLP outperforms state-of-the-art STGNNs and other models in terms of accuracy and computational efficiency. Our finding encourages further exploration of more concise and effective neural network architectures in the field of traffic forecasting.
Key facts. Cited by 22 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 29 of its 51 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 14 Aug 2023.
Builds on
29 of 51 references.
References · 29
- 2016Semi-Supervised Classification with Graph Convolutional Networkscited by 11,361
- 2020Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecastingcited by 2,169
- 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 2,039
- 2021Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecastingcited by 1,676
- 2021MLP-Mixer: An all-MLP Architecture for Visioncited by 1,446
- 2022Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 1,424
- 2022FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecastingcited by 1,210
- 2017Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecastingcited by 1,136
- 2019Graph WaveNet for Deep Spatial-Temporal Graph Modelingcited by 829
- 2020Connecting the Dots: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Graph Neural Networkscited by 566
- 2020Adaptive Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network for Traffic Forecastingcited by 530
- 2019GMAN: A Graph Multi-Attention Network for Traffic Predictioncited by 434
17 more
- 2023Long-term Forecasting with TiDE: Time-series Dense Encodercited by 332
- 2021Spectral Temporal Graph Neural Network for Multivariate Time-series Forecastingcited by 299
- 2023FITS: Modeling Time Series with 10k Parameterscited by 195
- 2020Spatial-Temporal Transformer Networks for Traffic Flow Forecastingcited by 180
- 2021Discrete Graph Structure Learning for Forecasting Multiple Time Seriescited by 171
- 2021Dynamic Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network for Traffic Prediction: Benchmark and Solutioncited by 157
- 2022Spatial-Temporal Identity: A Simple yet Effective Baseline for Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 151
- 2023A Survey on Graph Neural Networks for Time Series: Forecasting, Classification, Imputation, and Anomaly Detectioncited by 145
- 2022Decoupled Dynamic Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Network for Traffic Forecastingcited by 123
- 2023Koopa: Learning Non-stationary Time Series Dynamics with Koopman Predictorscited by 113
- 2023The Capacity and Robustness Trade-off: Revisiting the Channel Independent Strategy for Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 101
- 2021Z-GCNETs: Time Zigzags at Graph Convolutional Networks for Time Series Forecastingcited by 67
- 2020FC-GAGA: Fully Connected Gated Graph Architecture for Spatio-Temporal Traffic Forecastingcited by 30
- 2021Historical Inertia: A Neglected but Powerful Baseline for Long Sequence Time-series Forecastingcited by 26
- 2023Do We Really Need Graph Neural Networks for Traffic Forecasting?cited by 20
- 2023ST-GIN: An Uncertainty Quantification Approach in Traffic Data Imputation with Spatio-temporal Graph Attention and Bidirectional Recurrent United Neural Networkscited by 8
- 2022A K-variate Time Series Is Worth K Words: Evolution of the Vanilla Transformer Architecture for Long-term Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 2
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Citing papers per year: 2023: 1; 2024: 13; 2025: 5; 2026: 3.
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- 2026Beyond the Graph: An Adaptive Meta-Learner Fuses Explainability, Weather, and Dynamics for Robust Bus ETA Prediction14 Sep 2026
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- 2026Decorrelating the Future: Joint Frequency Domain Learning for Spatio-temporal Forecasting13 Feb 2026
- 2025How Different from the Past? Spatio-Temporal Time Series Forecasting with Self-Supervised Deviation Learning6 Oct 2025
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- 2025A Gravity-informed Spatiotemporal Transformer for Human Activity Intensity Prediction16 Jun 2025
- 2025Efficient Traffic Prediction Through Spatio-Temporal Distillation15 Jan 2025
- 2024PreMixer: MLP-Based Pre-training Enhanced MLP-Mixers for Large-scale Traffic Forecasting18 Dec 2024
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- 2024Causal Adjacency Learning for Spatiotemporal Prediction Over Graphs25 Nov 2024
- 2024Generative Pre-trained Ranking Model with Over-parameterization at Web-Scale (Extended Abstract)25 Sep 2024
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- 2024Large Language Models for Mobility Analysis in Transportation Systems: A Survey on Forecasting Tasks3 May 2024
- 2024SOFTS: Efficient Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Series-Core Fusion22 Apr 2024
- 2024Unifying Lane-Level Traffic Prediction from a Graph Structural Perspective: Benchmark and Baseline22 Mar 2024
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- 2025How Different from the Past? Spatio-Temporal Time Series Forecasting with Self-Supervised Deviation Learningcited by 4
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- 2024Daily Physical Activity Monitoring -- Adaptive Learning from Multi-source Motion Sensor Datacited by 2
12 most cited of 21 All 21 (JSON)
- 2026Beyond the Graph: An Adaptive Meta-Learner Fuses Explainability, Weather, and Dynamics for Robust Bus ETA Prediction14 Sep 2026
- 2026DWAFM: Dynamic Weighted Graph Structure Embedding Integrated with Attention and Frequency-Domain MLPs for Traffic Forecasting1 Mar 2026
- 2026Decorrelating the Future: Joint Frequency Domain Learning for Spatio-temporal Forecasting13 Feb 2026
- 2025How Different from the Past? Spatio-Temporal Time Series Forecasting with Self-Supervised Deviation Learning6 Oct 2025
- 2025Channel-Independent Federated Traffic Prediction6 Aug 2025
- 2025Fine-Grained Traffic Inference from Road to Lane via Spatio-Temporal Graph Node Generation25 Jul 2025
- 2025A Gravity-informed Spatiotemporal Transformer for Human Activity Intensity Prediction16 Jun 2025
- 2024PreMixer: MLP-Based Pre-training Enhanced MLP-Mixers for Large-scale Traffic Forecasting18 Dec 2024
- 2024APS-LSTM: Exploiting Multi-Periodicity and Diverse Spatial Dependencies for Flood Forecasting7 Dec 2024
- 2024Causal Adjacency Learning for Spatiotemporal Prediction Over Graphs25 Nov 2024
- 2024Generative Pre-trained Ranking Model with Over-parameterization at Web-Scale (Extended Abstract)25 Sep 2024
- 2024Unlocking the Power of LSTM for Long Term Time Series Forecasting19 Aug 2024
12 newest of 21 All 21 (JSON)